A Thursday with no day games is a rarity, but that’s the case today. Eleven night games are on tap and only a couple of aces are on the mound, so it could be a very interesting daily fantasy sports Thursday. Chris Archer is the most expensive pitcher with Max Scherzer taking the ball in Colorado. Offense could be the theme of the night with most pitchers priced at $7,000 or below on DraftKings. That means it’s a good night to find value.
As you know, this DFS article is a lot different from others, because we’re not projecting the best hitters and pitchers to take, rather trying to seek out the best values to add to your lineup. Keep that in mind as you peruse today’s suggestions looking for the magic formula to cash a big winner.
New to daily fantasy sports? Need to reload? DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Sportsbook.ag has betting lines and daily fantasy sports all under one roof. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for August 20:
New York Yankees – Josh Tomlin has a home run problem. Yankees Stadium is a good park for hitting home runs. Put those two things together and it could be a very profitable day for stacking the Yankees. Because pitching is cheap, paying the price to stack the Yankees is a bit easier to take. Tomlin has given up 72 home runs in 454 innings pitched in his career. Among starters with 400 IP pitched since 2010, Tomlin’s 1.43 HR/9 is third among 157 pitchers. A rough outing here and he could pass Joe Blanton for second.
Detroit – Another pricey stack, but one that could work out nicely. The Tigers own the league’s second-best wOBA and wRC+ against left-handed pitching. Martin Perez doesn’t miss many bats and the Tigers don’t miss many mistakes. People were talking about Toronto’s “historic” offense against lefties earlier this year. Detroit’s recent performance has closed the gap and now Miguel Cabrera is back.
Arizona – John Lamb has some strikeout upside, but the command is still an issue. The National League leader in runs scored is the Arizona Diamondbacks and they have a top-10 offense against left-handers on the season. Lamb gave up five runs on eight hits in his MLB debut and, as mentioned, his command troubles were a big reason why. Great American Ball Park isn’t at Chase Field level from a park factor standpoint, but it’s still a pretty good yard for hitting.
Here are the best value hitters for August 20:
Aaron Altherr ($2,800) – Altherr had quite a night on Wednesday with his first Major League home run. He’s a pretty intriguing prospect because he possesses some 15/15 HR/SB upside over the course of a season. As we know, power and speed are the two most important things in daily fantasy formats and Altherr has those two things. This season, he had 14 HR and 16 SB between Double-A and Triple-A with some good bat to ball skills and plate discipline. He’s an exciting young player and has a platoon advantage against lefty Brad Hand on Thursday.
Nick Castellanos ($3,100) – Castellanos had a huge game on Wednesday night, but that’s not the only reason he makes the article today. Overall, Castellanos is batting .356/.414/.567 against lefties on the year. That’s 72 percent above league average. It’s easy to forget that this is just the second full season in the bigs for the 23-year-old and that he hit well in the minor leagues before struggling last season. Here, he’s in a good matchup situation with a lineup that should do some damage.
Jayson Werth ($3,700) – Jayson Werth has had a throwaway season in 2015, but he’s doing his best to salvage what he can by enjoying the Coors Field conditions for one more day. Werth has a platoon advantage in this one against Yohan Flande and those have been very kind to Werth throughout his career. Werth is a .293/.394/.529 hitter against lefties and has posted OPSes of .933, 1.092, and 1.037 over the last three seasons.
Here are the best value pitchers for August 20:
Nick Tropeano ($6,000) – Tropeano draws a White Sox offense that hasn’t done much of late. He has a great changeup with good swing-and-miss movement and changeups are one of the best pitches for getting whiffs. He doesn’t walk a whole lot of batters and the White Sox don’t walk much anyway. Pitching in Angel Stadium should be good for him. He has strikeout per inning upside and should be able to navigate his way through one of the worst lineups in baseball.
Jerome Williams ($4,400) – If you think this pick is bad, well, there’s not much to work with. Williams pitches at Marlins Park, which is a good park to pitch in, and the Marlins had been struggling mightily on offense before going to Miller Park. The Phillies have been playing a lot better of late, so if Williams can bob and weave his way into a win, that would almost validate the low price tag. While trying to find anything to get excited about, I came across how Williams has a 3.14 ERA in 28.2 innings since the All-Star Break, so we’ll see what happens.
Collin McHugh ($8,700) – McHugh has greatly improved his command over his last few starts and there’s a lot of room for optimism. After giving up 14 HR in 114 innings in the first half, McHugh has allowed one home run in 38 innings in the second half. He has 32 strikeouts in 38 innings, so the swing-and-miss upside is still there. The Rays are 27th in wOBA against right-handed pitching on the season because they don’t hit for a whole lot of power. That adds value to McHugh in this start.