The Labor Day holiday brings us 11 day games on Monday, so it’s going to be a tricky day for DFS players. Also, the late posting time of this article doesn’t leave a whole lot of lead time, so I apologize for that. There’s a lot going on at BangTheBook right now, so be sure to check out all of the great content we have, including college football daily fantasy lineup suggestions for Saturdays and we’ll debut our NFL DFS article this week. Podcasts, previews, picks, analysis, and just about everything else you want is available right now.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 7:
Tampa Bay – This one is too easy. The Rays are a top-five offense in wOBA and wRC+ against left-handers this season and the shine came off of Randy Wolf during his last start. The Tigers probably won’t be too engaged to help out defensively behind Wolf either and it has the potential to be a perfect storm of problems for him. Wolf now owns a 6.11 ERA and has a strand rate below 60 percent because the stuff just isn’t good anymore. The Rays got into Detroit early after a day game on Sunday, so fatigue shouldn’t be a factor.
Chicago White Sox – Stacking the White Sox?! It’s worth a shot on Monday for the South Side matinee at US Cellular Field. Trevor Bauer is on the mound for the Indians and there are some major issues with him right now. Aside from the command and control problems that have plagued him all season, Indians pitching coach Mickey Callaway had some very candid thoughts on Bauer as a pitcher and those couldn’t have sat well with the right-hander. There’s some pushback from Bauer as to how the Indians are approaching this and that will affect how he goes about his business. As an Indians fan, it’s something I’ve worried about for a while now and it’s no surprise that it’s coming to the forefront while he struggles.
Philadelphia – Let’s just stack ugly lineups all day! The Phillies draw Williams Perez in the late games and it could get ugly. Perez is having some major command and control issues this season with an 11.1 percent walk rate and an 11.6 percent HR/FB%. The Braves have lost 19 of their last 20 games, which is just staggering. It’s hard to envision Perez, with a 5.65/5.22/5.17 pitcher slash coming up with a way to stop the bleeding, even against a below average lineup.
Here are the best value hitters for September 7:
Mikie Mahtook ($2,000) – If the Tampa Bay Rays have an offensive field day, as I expect, Mahtook could be in the middle of it. The rookie has good power and will be batting second in Kevin Cash’s lineup on Monday afternoon. Over the Triple-A and MLB levels this season, Mahtook has a .279/.331/.457 slash against left-handed pitching. He’s already hit three home runs in just 40 at bats at the big league level, so there’s definitely some power potential there. To get a #2 hitter in a lineup that should have success at this price is a bargain.
Chris Young ($2,700) – I’ve gone down this path before and will continue to do so. Chris Young draws Wei-Yin Chen on Monday and you’ve seen the numbers against lefties before. For a refresher, Young is batting .323/.392/.591 against lefties on the season. That’s 68 percent above league average and good enough for a .415 wOBA. Any time he faces a lefty, he’s a must-stream and this is another one of those examples.
Logan Morrison ($3,100) – A big part of the reason why the Mariners have been playing so well of late is because of Logan Morrison. Morrison owns a .462/.490/1.247 slash over his last 10 games and has hit four home runs with a couple of doubles and 13 RBI. All 16 of Morrison’s home runs have come against right-handed pitchers and he’ll get one on Monday in Yovani Gallardo. For the season, Morrison has a .461 SLG against righties and a .336 wOBA.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 7:
Anthony DeSclafani ($6,800) – I’m banking on a tired Pirates team in this one. The Pirates played late into the night in St. Louis during the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game and I think that DeSclafani could have an edge because of that. Some slow bats and some early-count swings may be in order for the Pirates. If DeSclafani’s got his good changeup, he could get a lot of weak contact throughout the afternoon. There’s certainly value in that at this price.
Patrick Corbin ($8,000) – I’m all about Patrick Corbin in this start. He’s averaging nearly a strikeout per inning and the Giants are done. The Giants had a team meeting over the weekend and the final takeaway was a moral victory about playing hard even though the team won’t be returning to the playoffs to defend its World Series title. There’s not a lot of excitement in going to the ballpark at that point and the Giants won’t be very excited about playing in Arizona this afternoon. Because of that, Corbin, whose stuff has looked really sharp post-Tommy John, has the opportunity to dazzle against a watered down, uninspired lineup.
Yordano Ventura ($10,100) – Looking a pitcher to take in the night games is really difficult. With Zack Greinke priced at a ridiculously high salary, Ventura is the guy to look at. The Royals sent Ventura down earlier this season for a day prior to Jason Vargas’s incinerated UCL and everybody panicked. The fact is that Ventura’s problems have simply been from sequencing and bad luck. The stuff hasn’t regressed. The luck element has. After posting a strikeout per inning in August with a 3.41 ERA and an 11-strikeout performance last time out, it’s safe to say that positive regression has found Ventura.