Regular readers of this daily MLB DFS article know that Tuesday nights are my favorite nights because everybody plays at night and that makes it very convenient to fill out a lineup. There’s plenty of time to study the matchups and then time to wait out the lineup releases. All 15 teams are in action at 7:05 p.m. ET or later tonight, so it should be a pretty standard day after the Labor Day holiday. There are a lot of great pitchers on the mound tonight, so let’s see where we can make some money. Yesterday’s set of “best value” hitters combined for 48 points!
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 8:
Toronto – Tried to stay away from this one for a few days. I can’t stay away on Tuesday. Henry Owens will be the latest victim of the Blue Jays’ offensive juggernaut. Owens has given up six home runs in his 30.2 innings on the season. His GB/FB split concerns me, especially with his home park, and it’s the Blue Jays. They massacre left-handed pitching. Two really bad starts have skewed Owens’s numbers, as he’s been pretty good in the other four, but the Blue Jays are not a team to have command issues against. It will be a very expensive stack on a night with expensive pitchers, but you can find a way to do it.
Arizona – Tim Hudson returns to the Giants rotation for one of the final few starts of his impressive career. Hudson hasn’t started for the Giants since July 26, but has made a couple of relief appearances. This almost seems like a courtesy start for Hudson and it comes in a really tough spot at Chase Field against a pretty good Diamondbacks lineup. Bruce Bochy has to walk the fine line of respecting Hudson, while allowing him as much leash as he can because his career is coming to a close. That means Hudson could get knocked around for a bit before he exits the game.
St. Louis – Ever since Jason Hammel had a hamstring issue around the All-Star Break, I’ve looked for opportunities to bet against him in daily fantasy. It can be frustrating because he never really gets blown up, but Hammel has pitched more than six innings just once since he left that July 8 start against St. Louis. The stuff clearly isn’t as sharp and he’s getting pulled early in games. Since the Break, Hammel has a 5.19 ERA and a .291/.347/.548 slash against, a huge increase from the first half. He’s also walked 14 in 43.1 innings after walking 18 in 103.2 innings prior to the Break. He’s trending in the wrong direction when they Cubs need him the most.
Here are the best value hitters for September 8:
Mikie Mahtook ($2,000) – It worked last night against a lefty, so let’s do it again today. At this same price on Monday, Mikie Mahtook had 12 points in DraftKings while batting in the #2 hole against a lefty. The Rays are taking on Matt Boyd, who has been a punching bag in his limited MLB time this season and Tampa Bay still boasts a top-five offense in wOBA against lefties. If Mahtook is going to be near the top of the order again on Tuesday, there’s some serious value here. With pitching as expensive as it is, finding guys like Mahtook will be worth their weight in gold.
Ryan Raburn ($2,500) – Ryan Raburn continued to showcase his platoon value with two bombs and a walk off of Chris Sale on Monday afternoon. Raburn takes on Carlos Rodon on Tuesday, yet another lefty. Raburn has had a difficult year with injuries and a bad case of gastroenteritis, but he’s clubbing lefties to the tune of a .321/.403/.597 slash and now has a .262/.336/.487 in his career.
Joey Gallo ($2,800) – Taijuan Walker’s biggest problem is that his command is inconsistent. Joey Gallo is going to strike out at least once against Walker, but if he can barrel up a mid-90s fastball from Walker, he’ll pay for this price and then some. Walker has allowed 22 dongs on the season and this power vs. power matchup is definitely worth the price of admission. Gambling on power at low salaries is a worthwhile endeavor and Gallo certainly fits that bill.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 8:
Andrew Heaney ($7,400) – Picking pitchers is difficult today because there are a lot of great arms going. Andrew Heaney won’t rack up a lot of strikeout points, but he doesn’t walk guys and has a friendly environment for pitching, so there’s some upside in this pick. He’s going up against Clayton Kershaw, which obviously limits his chances at picking up a win, but Heaney has allowed 12 of his 28 runs over two starts, which means that he has allowed just 16 runs over his 11 other starts.
Chase Anderson ($5,600) – How much do the Giants care right now? They’re averaging three runs per game in the month of September and 14 of their 21 runs came in games over the weekend at Colorado. They were baffled by Patrick Corbin to fall 8.5 games back in the division and the Wild Card is out of reach as well. Anderson hasn’t flashed the same strikeout upside this season as he did last season, but he’s taking on a lineup that would like the season to be over. He could throw an easy six innings and be worth 15-18 points at this price and you’ll take it.
Taylor Jungmann ($9,200) – I think there’s some minor regression coming for Jungmann this month, but I don’t think that the Marlins are the team to deliver it. Jungmann has strikeout per inning upside against a Marlins team that is among the worst in baseball against right-handed pitching. Marlins Park is also very forgiving on balls well struck to the outfield. Jungmann has shown tremendous command with just three home runs allowed in 96.2 innings of work. This may be the last start to ride the wave with Jungmann, so take the value on him while you can.