One getaway day game and 14 night games are on tap for the Wednesday night slate in daily fantasy. The Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals wrap up their series in the afternoon and everybody else will wait until the evening to get underway. It’s a rough day for pitching, which generally means a good day for offense. Cooler temperatures and more minor league hitters may alter that dynamic, though, so it’s important to be on top of everything in order to win big on September 9.
New to daily fantasy sports? Need to reload? DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 9:
Miami – Let’s start unconventional today and look at the Miami Marlins. Yes, they’re awful against right-handed pitching. We all know that. They do have a pretty good shot at a productive day against Brewers right-hander Ariel Pena. Pena is essentially a two-pitch pitcher with below average control. He can run his fastball into the upper 90s and has a slider that flashes plus, but Major League hitters are smart and they’ll be able to guess the right situations. The Marlins are very cheap to stack and they could have some fun in this one.
Tampa Bay – The Rays draw Kyle Lobstein on Wednesday night as they get another lefty that they can batter around the ballpark. The Rays are still holding on to that top-five spot in wOBA against southpaws and have now moved into third in wRC+ at 115. Lobstein was demoted on May 23 and got recalled to face the Indians in his last start on September 4. He gave up six runs on eight hits over 4.1 innings and now has a 5.02/4.34/4.68 pitcher slash on the season and one of the worst K/BB ratios among pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched.
Atlanta – Sometimes it’s worthwhile to take a cue from the betting market. The Braves are a comfortable road favorite at Philadelphia, even though they have lost 20 of their last 22. The reason? David Buchanan. The Phillies right-hander is a pitch-to-contact starter with very little upside. This season, his command has been terrible at the big league level. In 49 innings, he has a 9.00 ERA with a 5.35 FIP and a 5.19 xFIP. Some of it has to do with how awful the Phillies are defensively. A lot of it has to do with how bad Buchanan’s command has been and how little batted ball luck he has had with men on base. Pay attention to the Braves lineup before stacking, but it’s going to be very cheap and could be a magic formula with two top starters and this stack.
Here are the best value hitters for September 9:
Mikie Mahtook ($2,200) – Third day’s a charm, right? Mikie Mahtook has been one of my top value plays each of the last two days and has rewarded us with 12 points both nights at a $2,000 price tag. Mahtook batted second in both of those games. He was lifted early for a pinch hitter, which cheapened his value a tad, but you cannot argue with this kind of production. Against yet another lefty in Kyle Lobstein, we’ll roll with this again and see if we can’t catch in yet again.
Travis Shaw ($2,800) – Travis Shaw just missed the cut last night and of course he homered. Shaw drove in the only run of the night for the Red Sox. On Wednesday, the Red Sox and Blue Jays have a betting total of 10 runs, so this one could be a shootout with Drew Hutchison on the mound for the Jays. Hutch has shown some poor command this season and has given up some long balls. In 97 PA against righties, Shaw has eight extra base hits, with five home runs, 12 RBI, and has nine home runs in 132 PA overall. He’s been a valuable asset for those looking for cheap players in DFS.
Corey Seager ($2,900) – Pitchers don’t really know how to attack Corey Seager so far and it shows. The top position player left in the minors owns a .381/.458/.571 slash and those that have held onto him in full-season fantasy leagues are finally getting rewarded. Seager’s hit tool was never in question. It’s mostly been a question about which position he will play at the big league level. He’s yet to hit his first big league bomb after 18 in the minors in 550 plate appearances this season. Garrett Richards is a tough customer, but that just adds value to Seager’s price tag.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 9:
Zack Godley ($4,800) – Listeners of my podcast or readers of my content know how I feel about the Giants right now. I’d stream you or me against them. Godley’s K% at the MLB level probably isn’t sustainable given how he did in a small sample in Double-A, but there’s good raw stuff here and the Giants aren’t all that interested in figuring out rookie pitchers right now. Godley can let it all hang out in this start since Arizona has announced that they are shutting him down. After a long layoff between appearances from August 22 to September 4, he’s back on regular rest and back into a routine.
Tom Koehler ($6,400) – Terrific Tom Koehler has actually been pretty terrific at home. His home splits look almost identical over the last two seasons with a low-3s ERA and a pretty impressive slash line against in the .225/.295/.340 range. Marlins Park is a good run environment to pitch in and Koehler has been evidence of that. The Brewers are a pretty poor offensive team. They’re not as bad against righties as they are against lefties, but there’s nothing to write home about. There’s good value here, especially with Miami’s offensive potential.
James Shields ($9,400) – Command hasn’t been James Shields’s best asset this season, but he’s taking on a Rockies lineup that has basically done nothing on the road this season. Carlos Gonzalez is carrying the team, but he’s about the only one doing much lately. Shields has enjoyed the best K% of his career with the shift to the National League. Colorado ranks 29th in road wOBA on the season, with one of the highest strikeout rates and worst walk rates. Shields could dazzle in this start.