Thursday night brings another opportunity to be the next big winner in daily fantasy MLB contests. Six night games are on the docket, eight overall, as just under half of the league enjoys one of the few days off remaining in the season. It’s definitely crunch time as some key four-game series open up and some mid-week three-gamers finish off. As always, be sure to double and triple check lineups during the month of September, especially with teams that have nothing to play for.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 10:
Milwaukee – Stacking options seem rather few and far between for the night games on Thursday, but we’ll start with one that could pay off handsomely if it hits. AJ Burnett makes his return from the disabled list for the Pirates against the Brewers. Burnett did not make any rehab starts, just a bullpen session earlier in the week. The Brewers aren’t a very good lineup, but it would be a surprise to see Burnett at the top of his game after not pitching since July 30. Prior to hitting the DL for an elbow injury, Burnett had allowed 19 runs on 32 hits in his last three starts.
Cleveland – The Indians, inexplicably, have not been able to solve Alfredo Simon this season. The “Big Pasta” has a perfect 4-0 record and a 1.50 ERA over 24 innings against the Indians. The Indians have managed just 27 baserunners in those 24 innings. Take away Simon’s performance against the Indians and his 4.86 ERA balloons to 5.48. Obviously we can’t do that, but 24 innings is not a big sample size. The Indians return home, where they hit very well prior to beginning a nine-game, 10-day road trip and every game is a must-win at this point.
Atlanta - We had good success with Atlanta yesterday against David Buchanan. Can they ride any of that momentum into this game against Bartolo Colon? That remains to be seen, but there aren’t a lot of stacking options, as I already mentioned, so we have to get creative. Colon has a 4.62 ERA with a .292/.320/.457 slash against away from pitcher-friendly Citi Field. Lefties are batting .290/.314/.444, so the better hitters in Atlanta’s lineup should have a better chance. It’s a rough day for stacking, but maybe this lottery ticket is a winner.
Here are the best value hitters for September 10:
Hector Olivera ($2,000) – Right out of the gate, we’ll look at an Atlanta Brave batting in a premier spot in the order. Hector Olivera has been hitting second for the Braves of late. The Cuban import 2B/3B came to the States with a questionable medical history, but there has never been a lot of dissention among scouts regarding his hit tool. He owns a respectable .286/.355/.429 over his first 31 PA and hit at most every level in the Dodgers system this season, though his development path was rather unconventional. He’s already 30, so he is basically a professional hitter from his time in Cuba. There’s upside here, especially at this price, and especially against a guy that will throw him a lot of fastballs.
Chris Young ($2,300) – We’ll trust the splits again with Chris Young. The Yankees platoon bat owns a .328/.399/.595 slash against lefties this season. Twenty-one of his 43 hits against lefties have gone for extra bases and it’s hard to argue with a .420 wOBA and a 171 wRC+ in 149 PA against southpaws. David Price is one of the best, as we know, and he has had Young’s number thus far, but 15 plate appearances is not enough of a sample size to make a major judgment.
Francisco Lindor ($4,000) – The young phenom is overachieving at the plate right now, but that’s just fine for DFS purposes. Known more for his glove, the rookie is batting .309/.347/.458 and he’s driving the ball to all fields. He also has some good speed and could be a 10/10 player in just over half a season. Seven of Lindor’s home runs have come right-handed, along with both of his triples and 10 of his 17 doubles. He’s batting in a premier spot in the lineup and sometimes it’s best to just ride the hot hand.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 10:
John Lamb ($6,500) – There’s strikeout potential with Lamb, whose strange 6.11/3.50/3.37 pitcher slash over five starts is certainly an attention grabber. Lamb has struck out 26.8 percent of the batters that he has faced, but bad batted ball luck and shaky command have driven up his ERA. The Cardinals rank 27th in wOBA against lefties and 28th in SLG, so this should be a good matchup for the rookie.
Shelby Miller ($8,600) – Miller has hit some bumps in the road lately, but I’m anticipating a letdown from the Mets after their big sweep of the Nationals. That series effectively locked up the NL East for the Metropolitans and they may not be as engaged for a game against the hapless Braves, who have lost 20 of their last 23. Miller has increased his strikeout output in the second half of the season, so hopefully we can get a strikeout per inning and six or seven quality frames.
Danny Salazar ($10,600) – Salazar was blasted by the Tigers his last time out. That was the end of four straight rough road opponents with Boston, New York, Toronto, and Detroit. He returns home now, which doesn’t necessarily mean anything because Progressive Field is pretty neutral, but he can make some adjustments for this start. Salazar has allowed five or more runs five times this season. He threw six shutout against Chicago in his next start the first time, 7.2 of one-run ball the second time, 8.2 shutout with an unearned run the third time, and seven innings of two-run ball against Toronto last time. He makes adjustments and the Tigers aren’t at a stage of the season where they care to make many of their own.