Friday night brings all sorts of MLB action as some key series begin and some four-game series continue. Fifteen games are available for player selection in today’s daily fantasy baseball contests. Pitchers start high and drop off rather rapidly from a salary standpoint, so it could be an interesting night of results. With everybody looking ahead to the football weekend, it’s easy to forget about baseball, but you shouldn’t do that because there’s still money to be made.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 11:
Oakland – There has been some interesting betting line movement in this game, which leads me to believe that the A’s may have some good success in this game. Lewis is now up over 175 innings this season, the most he’s thrown in a year since 2011. He missed part of 2012 and all of 2013, so the back-to-back 170+ IP workload may be catching up with him. He’s allowed 18 runs over his last 15.2 innings with 23 hits allowed and a 8/9 K/BB ratio. Oakland is a middle of the pack offense away from home and Arlington tends to elevate teams like that.
Miami – We’re going contrarian here again. The Marlins hit lefties really well, with the third-best batting average and eighth-best wOBA. The issue isn’t necessarily with Gio Gonzalez in this start, but more about the Nationals and how concerned they are with this game. They’ve already been a bad defensive team throughout the season. The Marlins will put a lot of balls in play and Washington’s effort level in the field may not be up to par. That has plagued Gonzalez already this season, which is why he has a 3.96 ERA with better peripherals.
Tampa Bay – Another team with strong platoon splits against lefties just happens to be the other team in Florida. The Rays are a top-five offense in wOBA against southpaws and Wade Miley could be the next victim. The Rays have moved up to fourth in wOBA and remain third in wRC+. They are actually outslugging the Yankees when it comes to hitting lefties and trail only the Tigers and Blue Jays, two very right-handed heavy lineups. Miley has a 4.43 ERA on the season and righties have a .332 wOBA against him. The Rays’ success with LHP stems from their use of platoon advantages, so Miley will face a lot of righties on Friday.
Here are the best value hitters for September 11:
Brandon Guyer ($2,700) – Guyer has been batting leadoff for Kevin Cash against lefties and we know how important lineup placement is for finding value. Guyer owns a .273/.383/.429 slash against lefties this season, which is good enough for a .360 wOBA. He’s the table setter for this lineup against southpaws and as the guy that gets it going, he should have some trips around the basepaths.
Hector Olivera ($2,000) – It didn’t work out on Thursday, but Hector Olivera is in a similar spot on Friday, but with a better pitching matchup. Olivera goes up against a left this time in Steven Matz. Matz has great stuff, but it’s hard to see him being very sharp after missing time with the lat problem and then leaving last start with a blister. Olivera has been batting at the top of the Braves order and now has a platoon advantage.
Abraham Almonte ($2,200) – Almonte has brought an interesting dynamic of power and some speed to the Indians lineup. He’s got 17 extra base hits already in 61 games and has also swiped five bases. The Indians have had some past success against Justin Verlander and Almonte has been batting sixth for the Indians of late. He could be the one to clean up after the middle of the order does its thing and that could yield a lot of value at this price.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 11:
Andrew Cashner ($6,200) – Cashner has a good matchup against a Giants lineup that hasn’t really done a whole lot lately. He’s been victimized by bad defense, but hopefully some of that bad batted ball luck will even out down the stretch here. He has the chance at a strikeout per inning and will be pitching in a friendly road environment to make mistakes, so maybe this is the start where Cashner starts to build some positive things for next season.
Hisashi Iwakuma ($8,500) – The Rockies never really see Hisashi Iwakuma and Asian pitchers always have that element of deception in their motions that make them hard to hit. This is the type of start where Iwakuma could be really dominant. The Rockies are one of the worst offensive teams on the road this season and they have absolutely nothing to play for right now. Iwakuma is a free agent after the season, so he has that, and the Mariners seem to be playing hard in an effort to keep manager Lloyd McClendon around.
Jered Weaver ($5,000) – Call me crazy, or certifiably insane, whichever one you want to go with, but Weaver’s not the worst streaming idea tonight. The Astros are a very aggressive lineup on pitches in the zone and Weaver’s entire skill set is based off of his pitchability and how he mixes speeds. Expect the Astros to be out in front quite often. Not that it’s predictive, but there’s a reason why Weaver has held the Astros to two runs over 15 innings this season. He’s not a good matchup for them because of his slow, slower, and slowest type of arsenal.