With so much emphasis on football on Sunday, it’s easy to forget about baseball. We never do here at BangTheBook. For Sunday’s MLB DFS tips and suggestions piece, we’re just going to focus on the late games because of the lead time for today’s article. That also means just two teams to stack, since there are so few options out of the 10 teams. Apologies for that, but please tune into The Bettor’s Box tonight with Adam Burke as he runs down the latest happenings in Major League Baseball.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 13:
Kansas City – The Royals may have the opportunity to put on a show offensively tonight against the Orioles. Wei-Yin Chen’s best asset is that he doesn’t walk many guys, but the Royals don’t walk anyway. That puts extra emphasis on Chen’s command, which has not been particularly good this season. He has allowed 28 home ruins in 165.2 innings of work. He’s inducing more soft contact this season than usual, but this truly seems like a bad matchup for him and the Royals need to get serious again if they want to hold off the Blue Jays for home field advantage.
Cleveland – It just makes sense to try a stack against Randy Wolf. The Indians utilize a lot of platoons, which is advantageous today because guys like Ryan Raburn and Jerry Sands are not playing the first game of the doubleheader, but they will be playing the second game. Those are some low-cost options that you can stream against the left-hander. Doubleheaders are always tricky because you don’t know about lineups, but the Indians have some guys that will be good options later today and you know that they will play.
Here are the best value hitters for September 13:
Jerry Sands ($2,400)/Ryan Raburn ($2,500) – This is precisely what I’m talking about. The Indians are going to use their two platoon bats against Randy Wolf in the nightcap. Frankly, Mike Aviles at $2,500 is also worthy of some consideration. The Indians have had success against lefties this season because of these guys and Randy Wolf isn’t going to be a dominant force for the Tigers.
Corey Seager ($3,400) – Seager just keeps right on raking. He had a 40-point day in DraftKings on Saturday and has a platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin on Sunday in a good hitting environment. I’m not sure why Don Mattingly wants to hold the kid back by taking away ABs when Jimmy Rollins gets back, but for now, keep taking the value on Seager.
JD Martinez ($4,300) – You don’t normally see me go this high with a salary, but with just 10 teams to pick from, it happens. JD Martinez could be in for a big day with Trevor Bauer in the first game and Cody Anderson in the second game. Anderson has mediocre command and throws a lot of strikes, so if JD Mart is in the second game, he’ll be a decent play, despite the high salary. If he isn’t, make sure to adjust accordingly.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 13:
Mike Leake ($6,400) – You have to like this matchup for Leake against the right-handed heavy Padres at home. Since joining the Giants, four of Leake’s five starts have come on the road. AT&T Park is a good yard for pitching, so one would expect that he should have some success there. With the quick turnaround from last night’s game, I’m expecting a lot of early swings and not a lot of offense.
Johnny Cueto ($9,600) – The problems with Johnny Cueto are severely overblown. The strikeout rate decrease was to be expected in a league with an extra hitter in the lineup, but most of Cueto’s ERA problems are due to bad luck with batted balls and sequencing. Cueto was a constant BABIP overachiever with the Reds. It’s ironic that he goes to the Royals, one of the best defensive teams in baseball, and suddenly has bad batted ball luck. I don’t see it continuing and I think this is a start in which he has a lot of success, specifically with his offspeed stuff.
Zack Greinke ($11,800) – This is the obvious pick, but you have plenty of cheaper options for offense, specifically with an Indians stack, so you can afford to take both Cueto and Greinke here and see how things play out. Everything about Greinke is elite this season and he’s been a tremendous fantasy pitcher in all formats. He doesn’t hurt himself with walks, has impeccable command, and wins a lot of games. Frankly, at this price, he seems a little bit undervalued as DFS accounts for the park factor in Arizona.