Twelve games are on the docket for Monday night in Major League Baseball and some of the game’s top pitchers will be in action. Clayton Kershaw, Sonny Gray, Carlos Carrasco, and Cole Hamels are the “five-figure crowd” at DraftKings, with Kershaw priced over $4,000 higher than Gray. Some interesting options follow on what should be a good night of baseball. Let’s dig deep and see what value plays we can find so that you can maybe fit Kershaw into your lineup for September 14.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 14:
Minnesota – After tagging Chris Sale over the weekend, Kyle Lobstein should look like child’s play. This could be a great series for streaming the Twins, beginning with Monday night. Lobstein is clearly below average as a MLB pitcher right now. He has a 5.31/4.57/4.64 over 57.2 innings of work. Overall, his minor league numbers aren’t all that impressive either. The Twins should get some good swings against him as he makes his third start back from the minor leagues/disabled list.
New York Mets – The Mets are hitting just about everything in sight once again. Justin Nicolino throws a lot of stuff that is hittable. Nicolino is a pitch-to-contact southpaw with a K% of eight percent. That’s not going to get it done at any level, let alone the big leagues. Small samples aside, Nicolino should get hit hard outside of Marlins Park where pitching to contact is okay. The Mets are going to put a ton of balls in play in this game and that always gives a team the opportunity to put up a lot of offense.
Arizona – James Shields has some impressive strikeout totals, but that’s about the only impressive thing about his 2015 season. The Padres are horrible defensively and that has impacted Shields. That being said, his command problems fall solely on him. He has allowed 29 home runs this season in 182.1 innings of work. On the road, opposing offenses are slugging .471 with a .345 wOBA. Arizona is a good hitter’s park and the Diamondbacks are still playing out the season. Can’t say the same about San Diego.
Here are the best value hitters for September 14:
CJ Cron ($3,000) – CJ Cron quietly has 14 dongs in 306 at bats this season and has posted a .471 SLG. Surprisingly, Cron has some reverse-split power, with 11 of his 14 against righties. He’s got the potential to hit one in this game against Taijuan Walker. Walker has inconsistent command and his biggest problem this season has been the long ball. Cron’s .275/.319/.500 slash against righties is 29 percent above league average, so there’s some value in him with the way he’s swinging the bat right now.
Danny Valencia ($3,800) – It’s been a while since we’ve gone to this well, but Danny Valencia against a lefty is always an interesting opportunity. Unfortunately, DraftKings caught on and has adjusted his salary, but the fact that John Danks has a .292/.347/.478 slash against versus right-handed hitters is good reason to go back to Valencia. Valencia has a .310/.368/.469 slash against lefties on the season. The impressive thing is what he has been doing against righties, which is a big reason why his salary has increased.
Nolan Reimold ($2,600) – In an effort to spark the offense, Buck Showalter has used Nolan Reimold as the leadoff hitter in each of the last five games and he has responded with a couple of home runs and six hits. Getting a leadoff hitter with some pop at this price is very nice. He also has a platoon advantage in this one and owns a .310/.373/.425 slash against lefties on the season.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 14:
Logan Verrett ($4,100) – Verrett threw eight stunning innings the last time he got an opportunity to start and could do the same against a poor Marlins lineup against right-handed pitching. Verrett hasn’t worked since pitching back-to-back days on August 28, but the Mets have been stretching him out in side sessions because they knew that they would need to spell their starters a bit. At this price, why wouldn’t you take a gamble on Verrett against the worst offense in baseball versus righties?
John Danks ($6,100) – Say what?! That’s right, John Danks has a lot of value on Monday night. The A’s aren’t really doing much offensively right now and have struggled with lefties most of the season. Danks has a 3.75 ERA since the start of July, though three huge blow-ups skew those numbers a little bit. Danks pitches deep into games and has really turned in some gems this season. If you want to spend on offense or take Kershaw, gambles like Danks are necessary.
Tyler Duffey ($6,800) – After a long day and a long weekend in Cleveland, the hapless Detroit Tigers are in Minnesota. The Twins have a lot to play for and send Tyler Duffey to the mound for this one. I like the stuff that Duffey has. He has 30 strikeouts in 32.1 innings of work and a nice ground ball rate. The Tigers rallied in Sunday’s second game, though Trevor Bauer helped a lot. I don’t think the Tigers get excited for this game at all and Duffey will be the biggest benefactor.