Sixteen games are scheduled for the diamond tonight with a Tuesday matinee between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 of a doubleheader. The 15 games scheduled to be played under the lights are the focus of today’s daily fantasy baseball tips and suggestions article. A full card means a lot of different options and there are not a lot of premier pitchers slated to throw this evening. There are some, and the prices are high, but it seems like the value is on the guys in the middle tier.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 15:
Detroit – The Tigers got a bad start from Kyle Lobstein and weren’t very concerned about Monday night’s game. Perhaps they’ll care on Tuesday against Phil Hughes. Hughes is returning from a back issue that put him on the DL and he has not pitched since August 9. Back issues don’t get the attention and buzz that elbow or shoulder injuries get, but back issues are a big deal for pitchers. They can’t finish their deliveries and often leave pitches up in the zone. Hughes gave up 15 runs in 13.2 innings over three starts before going on the DL. Is he fixed? I don’t know, but stacking Detroit is a good way to find out.
Minnesota – Alfredo Simon was sailing along against the Indians for the fifth straight time this season before they figured him out. Simon was 4-0 with a 1.50 ERA against Cleveland entering that game and had a 5.48 ERA against everybody else. There’s absolutely nothing exciting about Simon’s profile and his ERA is inching up towards 5.00. The Tigers aren’t all that engaged defensively right now and Simon doesn’t miss many bats. With Miguel Sano in the middle of the order, the Twins have some offensive upside that they didn’t have earlier this season.
Boston – Or Baltimore, really. You could take your pick in this game as well. For me, I’m not buying into Ubaldo Jimenez at any point the rest of the season. Any offense with a pulse worries me against Jimenez. He’s coming off a pretty good start against the Yankees, but his inconsistencies are way too much to overlook. In the first half, Jimenez had a 2.81 ERA with a 98/32 K/BB ratio and a .245/.309/.352 slash against. In the second half, Jimenez has a 6.53, 48/24, .278/.356/.500. He’s also allowed 11 home runs and we know how dingers add up in DFS.
Here are the best value hitters for September 15:
Steven Moya ($3,300) – Steven Moya is sort of a “two true outcomes” type of guy. The 6-foot-7 behemoth has effort power. Between rookie ball and Double-A, he hit 40 home runs in 2014. He hit 23 between High-A and Double-A this season. He’s got all kinds of holes in his swing, but the 24-year-old has undeniable power with a very long, almost Adam Dunn-esque swing. In certain spots, he can have some value, and one of those spots is against a guy like Phil Hughes with spotty, to put it nicely, command.
Alex Gordon ($3,400) – Undeniably the best value on the board is Alex Gordon. Gordon is back in the leadoff spot for Ned Yost’s offense and he led off Monday’s game with a home run and added three other hits. Against Josh Tomlin, Gordon has a right-hander that he can have some success against and the Royals may actually get things rolling offensively in this one. You can’t beat a good leadoff hitter at this price. It just won’t happen.
Corey Seager ($3,600) – Why get off this train now? Seager has a .432/.543/.676 slash and a .516 wOBA in 11 games. No, that’s not sustainable, but he has a platoon advantage against Chris Rusin on Tuesday and he’s swinging the bat with a ton of confidence right now. He’s hit at every level of the minors, so the hit tool is very real. No hitter will sustain this kind of performance of the long haul, but in small bursts, guys like Seager are worth riding the wave until things level off.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 15:
Mark Buehrle ($6,100) – One cortisone shot later, Mark Buehrle is ready to return to the Jays rotation. This is about as good of a matchup as it gets for Buehrle. The problem with Buehrle is that he doesn’t strike people out, so you miss out on those value points, but Buehrle has tremendous pitchability and the Braves have a lineup that can’t hit average lefties, let alone ones with deception and veteran knowhow. The Braves are 27th in wOBA against lefties and 28th in wRC+. Make no mistake, this is a team that cannot hit southpaws. That gives Buehrle some streaming value.
Brett Anderson ($6,500) – A calf cramp prevented Anderson from a quality start last time out, but he’ll get that and then some against the Rockies in this one. Speaking of teams that are terrible against lefties, the Rockies fit that bill. The Rockies have the league’s worst wRC+ against lefties, by a wide margin, and rank 28th in wOBA. Anderson isn’t necessarily a strikeout guy, but the Rockies have the third-highest K% against lefties.
Jacob deGrom ($11,900) – With all of these value plays above, you can find a way to fit Jacob deGrom in there. The Mets ace has elite numbers. A 26.6 percent K% is the one that I like the most here against the worst offense in baseball against right-handed pitching. The amazing thing about the Marlins and how bad they are against righties is that they have a good amount of team speed, and yet they can’t get on base, even by accident. deGrom has a great shot at double digit strikeouts and at least seven innings, if not more.