A midweek rarity this week as all of Wednesday’s MLB games are at night, so DFS contest players won’t have to enter early and late pools to get their fill of the action. It’s pretty clear which pitchers are the top of the mountain with four guys priced at $11,600 or higher on DraftKings. That means that there’s a lot of value among the other guys and, as always, value to be found on offense as well. There are just 2.5 weeks left of the regular season, so time is running out to be the next big winner.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 16:
Washington – If the Nationals are concerned at all, they should blast Alec Asher on Wednesday night. Asher was one of the prospects acquired in the Cole Hamels trade with the Texas Rangers. Asher is probably going to wind up in the bullpen down the line, but the Phillies have no reason not to see what he can do. In three starts, Asher has allowed 17 runs on 23 hits and has given up five home runs. He’s struck out just seven of the 72 batters he has faced and has issued six walks. Asher has the frame and the two-pitch mix for relief, but not for starting.
Minnesota – Daniel Norris returns from the disabled list to pitch for the first time in almost a month and the Twins have to be salivating. Norris should eventually develop into a quality middle of the rotation or better starting pitcher, but he’s not there yet. His control is suspect and his command at the big league level has been non-existent. After a long layoff without game conditions, I’d be surprised to see Norris have any level of success against Minnesota in this matchup.
San Francisco – I think there’s some potential with Michael Lorenzen in the future, but we’re not seeing much of it this season. Lorenzen has a 5.45/5.54/4.95 pitcher slash and has allowed 121 hits in 105.2 innings of work. He’s not missing many bats, but he is missing the strike zone a lot. The Giants seem to be working their way out of their funk on offense and should get some good swings in against Lorenzen. The big worry for me about Lorenzen is that he has a 9.44 ERA in the second half with a .360/.436/.589 slash against. He should be improving as he gets accustomed to the league, not getting worse.
Here are the best value hitters for September 16:
Corey Seager ($3,200) – He’s going to be in here just about every day until he starts getting priced correctly. Seager draws Jorge de la Rosa in this one and he has a .346/.382/.584 slash over 199 plate appearances against lefties this season. There’s no platoon split there with Seager. He hits everybody. Normally DraftKings will adjust for handedness, which is probably why we’re getting a better price on Seager. We’ll take it.
Travis Shaw ($3,400) – We were ahead of the Travis Shaw train back when he was priced around the contest minimum. Since then, he’s not flying under the radar as much, but he hit his 11th homer of the season on Tuesday night and has another favorable matchup against Mike Wright. Mike Wright has allowed seven home runs in 39.2 innings at the big league level and lefties own a .304/.368/.500 slash in 87 plate appearances.
AJ Pollock ($4,900) – Pollock goes against the grain of what this article is usually about, but it’s really hard to ignore the production that Pollock is putting up. He has 17 home runs and 35 stolen bases, which is like gold in all fantasy formats. Taking on Andrew Cashner, whose command has been poor, Pollock could be in line for another big stat line. The Padres defense is horrible, turning Pollock’s speed into even more of a weapon. If a high-priced player is going to have a big game, there’s still value in that.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 16:
Alex Wood ($6,600) – This is a stunningly low price for a lefty taking on the worst team against lefties in all of baseball. Wood has struggled with the Dodgers thus far, but his walk troubles appear to be correctable and, again, it’s the Rockies. This is a team that, by park-adjusted metrics, is 39 percent below league average against left-handed pitching. They’re not at home in this game. If Wood doesn’t pitch well, I’d be very surprised.
Robbie Ray ($7,000) – Speaking of teams that are not good against lefties, the San Diego Padres. The concern with Ray is that he has been limited by the Diamondbacks down the stretch here in an effort to conserve bullets for the future. Ray hasn’t worked more than 5.2 innings since August 19. But, if he can give five strong innings, pick up a win, and strike out more than a batter per inning, five innings is all that’s needed to put up a quality score. The Padres are 25th in wOBA against lefties with one of the highest strikeout rates.
Luis Severino ($8,400) – Strikeouts are on the menu for the pitcher’s duel in Tampa between Luis Severino and Chris Archer. Severino may not go pitch-for-pitch with Archer, but it wouldn’t come as a shock if he did. The Rays, who are great against lefties, are equally terrible against righties with a .304 wOBA. That ranks 25th in baseball. They’re also tied with the Twins for seventh in K%. This is a good matchup for Severino and he should be able to have a strikeout per inning with a low amount of runs allowed.