Major League Baseball is in the limelight tonight as the only major professional sport playing regular season games. Tuesday nights are always fun for daily fantasy players because there aren’t any day games to throw a wrench into the research process. Players can use the day to study matchups and should get lineups with enough lead time to swap out any players that aren’t playing. All 30 teams are in action with just two Tuesdays left of the regular season (barring a tiebreaker).
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 22:
Chicago Cubs – Tyler Cravy will make a couple of regular turns in the rotation after Jimmy Nelson was domed by a comebacker in his last start. That will send Cravy back into the starting five for the first time since August 18, when he lost his rotation spot by giving up seven runs in 2.2 innings to the Marlins. In five starts and a handful of relief appearances, Cravy has a 6.15 ERA with a 4.63 FIP and a 4.75 xFIP. He last worked on September 19 and has worked 6.2 innings since that August 18 outing. The Cubs should be able to do some damage here.
Boston – Another start for Matt Moore, another chance to stack the team he’s pitching against. Moore got it all figured out in his last start and threw seven shutout with nine strikeouts against Baltimore. Here, however, he’s on the road against a Boston lineup that has scored 14 runs off of him in just eight innings this season. Small sample sizes don’t excite me one way or another, but Moore’s still not really sharp and Fenway is a bad park to pitch without command in. Moore is also an extreme fly ball guy. It could get ugly.
Pittsburgh – The Pirates rewarded us on Monday with a solid offensive performance, though the three runs they got in the ninth were a big help. Chris Rusin isn’t exactly an exciting pitcher, so the Pirates, with their combination of speed and power are worth another look at Coors Field on Tuesday. Rusin doesn’t miss many bats and that’s never a good thing for a guy that pitches in Denver. He has allowed a .295/.332/.453 slash at home this season. That’s somehow better than his road performance, but the point is that he’s not very good.
Here are the best value hitters for September 22:
Richie Shaffer ($2,200) – The Rays continue their usage of platoon advantages on Tuesday night against left-hander Henry Owens. Owens will be monitored closely by Boston going forward and that could mean some work for the bullpen. Shaffer homered off of Eduardo Rodriguez on Monday night and the Clemson product owns a .500 SLG against lefties on the season over three levels. The Rays hit lefties well as a team, so Shaffer should have some opportunities to drive in runs or touch home plate.
Mike Napoli ($3,300) – In a down year, Mike Napoli has still hit lefties very well. Napoli owns a .270/.379/.555 slash against southpaws. For advanced metrics fans, that’s a .396 wOBA and a 149 wRC+. On the year, 11 of Napoli’s 17 home runs have come in his 161 PA against left-handers. His awful performance against righties gives him a lot of platoon value from a salary standpoint as he takes on left-hander Sean Nolin on Tuesday.
Trayce Thompson ($3,500) – Trayce Thompson has destroyed left-handed pitching this season. He owns a .329/.361/.551 slash between Triple-A and the bigs this season. At the Major League level, Thompson, who has a 60-grade in raw power from Kiley McDaniel of Fangraphs, has a .375/.405/.750 slash against lefties in 42 plate appearances. Nine of his 15 hits have gone for extra bases, so he’s shown the ability to drive the ball against southpaws. Daniel Norris, a lefty, goes for the Tigers on Tuesday.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 22:
Logan Verrett ($4,500) – Logan Verrett is taking the place of Jacob deGrom in the Mets rotation on Tuesday against the lowly Atlanta Braves. This is only his second start, but he has been extremely effective as a starter. It’s a credit to Verrett’s unselfishness that he’s been able to be a valuable part of this team while having no concrete role. He hasn’t pitched since September 14, but he’s been strong in his two starts and we don’t need much more than five quality innings and a few strikeouts to be worth this low price.
Martin Perez ($5,300) – The Athletics don’t fare very well against lefties. He doesn’t bring in a whole lot of value from a strikeout standpoint, but this is a great park for a guy that pitches to contact. If he can manage three or four punchouts and six or seven quality innings, the return on investment will be huge here. He’s taking on an A’s lineup that has very little to play for and they don’t seem like the type of team to get the competitive juices flowing to play spoiler.
Tom Koehler ($8,100) – I’m really disappointed to see Koehler priced this high at home. The Phillies are awful, though, and that explains the price increase. Koehler at home is one of the sneakiest DFS plays that you can make on most occasions. With Koehler’s 2.97 ERA and .218/.290/.339 slash against at home, you can safely stream him. He also has a decent enough strikeout rate at home to give you some upside with that as well. Over the last two seasons at home, Koehler has a sub-3.00 ERA with a slash against of around .222/.291/.340 and he’s been really consistent. That’s worth a play.