One-third of the league is enjoying a day off on Monday to kick off the final week of the regular season. Most of the teams in action play under the lights, with a makeup game between the Reds and Nationals in the afternoon. The Cubs and Royals will also play a makeup game, but that one will be tonight at Wrigley Field after the Cubs played late on Sunday night. Only two pitchers cost over $10,000 on DraftKings, so this should be a very interesting night of baseball.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 28:
Los Angeles Angels – Felix Doubront is continuing to eat innings for the Athletics and that means a lot of opportunities for the other team. The Angels are beginning this week with a great chance to make up ground on Houston for the AL Wild Card. Doubront has a 5.53 ERA with a 4.38 FIP and a 4.29 xFIP on the year. With the Athletics, in 45.2 innings, he owns a 5.91 ERA with a 4.88 FIP and a 4.51 xFIP. He’s had no luck pitching out of jams this season, so the Angels have the chance to put up a big number if they can get clutch hits.
Toronto – The Blue Jays are always worth consideration for stacking. Chris Tillman’s 5.16 ERA, 4.49 FIP, and 4.58 xFIP are a pretty good reason to consider stacking the Blue Jays. Tillman has gotten knocked around over his last 46.2 innings with an ERA over 7 and nine home runs allowed. He’s not exactly finishing the season on a high note as he approaches his second year of arbitration. Save for a great month of July, he’s been terrible most of the season.
Pittsburgh – Lance Lynn pulled a rabbit out of his hat last start against a hapless Reds team, but the stuff still wasn’t very sharp. Lynn only struck out four over those six innings and there wasn’t a lot of bite. He’s really struggled to generate swings and misses, but has managed to avoid getting blasted in most of his starts because of the St. Louis defense. The Pirates have a good chance to put up a number on Lynn on a day when there aren’t many good stacking options.
Here are the best value hitters for September 28:
Pedro Alvarez ($2,800) – The Pirates slugger has 26 home runs on the season and has a solid .469 SLG overall. He’s a good bet to do some damage against Lynn, who is predominantly a fastball pitcher. Alvarez has 23 home runs against righties this season and owns a .474 SLG. He’s also posted a .257/.330/.526 slash in the second half of the year.
Brian Dozier ($3,800) – Like the last time Brian Dozier faced Corey Kluber and homered, we’ll take the value with one of the top second basemen on the board. Dozier is still two home runs shy of the 30-HR mark this season and it’s a good time to back guys looking to reach personal milestones. Dozier had a strong series in Detroit and has been picking it up of late when his team needs it the most. He’s a good hitter and Kluber has had some command issues in the second half.
Travis Shaw ($3,300) – Travis Shaw should enjoy the short porch and Ivan Nova on Monday night. Shaw has hit 11 home runs in just 218 plate appearances and has a strong .270/.335/.490 slash in his time in the big leagues. He shows some reverse platoon splits at the MLB level, but that’s a lot of small sample size noise. His .264 BABIP against RHP should go up in the future and this is a great hitting environment.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 28:
Yordano Ventura ($7,200) – This is undoubtedly the best bargain of the day. Ventura has strikeout per inning upside against a team that strikes out a lot and rarely gets to face him. He’ll also be facing one less hitter his first couple of times through the lineup and that should have a positive impact on his walk rate. There are a lot of things to like about Ventura in this start and this price tag is the cherry on top.
JA Happ ($7,600) – Ray Searage’s latest project is going really well. Happ has been tremendous for the Pirates and his strikeout rate has also taken a significant bump as well. Happ has 58 K in 51.1 innings of work with the Pirates now and just looks better all around. An improved defense and a league change have both helped. The Cardinals struggle badly with left-handed pitching, which is another advantage for Happ in this start. He’s definitely worth streaming on Monday.
Marco Estrada ($6,800) – Are the Orioles going to be interested in playing this week? They were shut out in three straight games by the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. Marco Estrada isn’t a big strikeout guy, but his changeup will be a major weapon against an aggressive Orioles lineup. If he can spot his fastball, four or five strikeouts over six quality innings will be more than enough to validate this price tag.