It’s a strange day around Major League Baseball with three doubleheaders, so be aware of that when filling out your DFS lineups for the night games. None of the afternoon games in those doubleheaders are available in today’s contests, but they will have a major impact on the starting lineups. That’s an extra wrinkle for tonight that players don’t really need added on because the last week of the regular season is full of uncertainty anyway. It could be a challenge today, so let’s see if we can find those top value players to help out.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for September 30:
Texas – Matt Boyd is an extreme fly ball guy with no command at the Major League level. Pitching at Globe Life Park in Arlington probably won’t help his numbers very much. In 54.2 innings, Boyd has a 6.91 ERA with a 6.07 FIP and a 5.12 xFIP. The Rangers have been a strong offensive team since the All-Star Break with more than five runs per game. Even though Boyd is a lefty, and they’ve had some trouble with them at various points this season, Boyd’s style is not a good fit for a start in this park.
Los Angeles Angels – This will be the most popular stack of the day as the Angels take their swings against Barry Zito. Zito showed no semblance of command in his celebrated start last week against San Francisco and former teammate Tim Hudson. The fact that Zito is getting another start is pretty laughable. It was a novelty for him to start against Hudson. To start another game? That’s a great spot to take the Angels. That being said, if they don’t hit, going contrarian will be beneficial.
San Francisco – The Giants supported their NL West brethren in winning the division on Tuesday night with some scoreboard congratulations, but maybe the players will let out some frustration on Mike Bolsinger. The Dodgers are likely to sit a lot of their top players for this one, so they may not have the best defensive team or may have a strange defensive lineup. If that’s the case, the Giants could get some batted ball luck that way. Bolsinger has some pretty sharp splits, as lefties have hit .289/.381/.424 this season. At the very least, consider taking the Giants’ top left-handed bats.
Here are the best value hitters for September 30:
Matt Adams ($2,300) – With the doubleheader on Wednesday, the Cardinals will likely use Matt Adams in the starting lineup in one of the two games. It remains to be seen which one, but the best guess would be in the night game against Charlie Morton rather than the day game against Gerrit Cole. Adams has mostly pinch-hit since returning from the DL, but he was 2-for-3 with a double and a run scored on Monday when he started. This could be an outstanding value pick in the middle of the St. Louis lineup on Wednesday night.
Marcell Ozuna ($2,900) – Over 90 plate appearances against LHP at the big league level this season, Marcell Ozuna has a .341/.389/.500 slash. For his career, he has a .295/.335/.473 slash against southpaws. Ozuna has swung a good bat since he returned to the Marlins after spending most of the season in Triple-A. He’s batting .273/.311/.490 in the second half. He’s also making more contact since his recall, which is a great sign going forward.
Mike Trout ($4,900) – He’s not cheap, but Mike Trout is batting .311/.422/.585 against lefties this season. He’s an incredible hitter and his numbers are spectacular across the board. Barry Zito is not spectacular. At all. Not anymore. And Trout should get at least a couple of cracks at Zito before he leaves the game for a terrible bullpen to take the field. Trout doesn’t fit the usual mold of this article, but he’s still a great value at this price regardless.
Here are the best value pitchers for September 30:
Chase Anderson ($5,600) – Apparently some time off helped Chase Anderson. Anderson missed exactly 15 days and then came back to allow one hit, a home run, and strike out 10 in his last start against the Dodgers. He’s had a couple extra days between starts and should put together a fine outing against a Colorado team that doesn’t have much incentive to show up at the park.
Garrett Richards ($9,200) – Richards has a fine matchup against an Oakland offense that can’t possibly keep up with the boatloads of runs that the opposition is scoring. The A’s are now 24-43 in the second half as things have completely bottomed out for them. It would be a surprise to see them put up a good offensive show against Richards. Also, Richards basically just has to get through five innings to add the win points to his stat line for the night with the Zito matchup.
Jon Lester ($9,600) – Jon Lester under $10k? Yes, please. Lester draws a Reds lineup that couldn’t care less at this point. If he can avoid Joey Votto, Lester has a chance to have a really dominant outing here. The only worry for DFS players is whether or not Joe Maddon will pull his top left-hander early, but I would say no because the bullpen has worked a lot in the second half. Lester should dominate in this start and you’ll be happy to stream him.