The last Friday of the 2015 regular season features all 30 teams playing night games. Chilly weather is the theme in a lot of the cities around Major League Baseball and that does affect flight of the ball, so keep that stuff in mind as you’re filling out your lineups. Also, rain is more prevalent this time of the year and that’s something that will definitely affect the eastern part of the U.S. this weekend. Games with no implications will get called rather quickly, so don’t get caught with a lineup full of guys that won’t play.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from the twice-a-week MLB betting podcast, The Bettor’s Box, to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for October 2:
San Francisco – Stacking is going to be really hard to do over the last weekend of the regular season, so choose carefully. One that carries the least risk for Friday is San Francisco and that’s because Kyle Kendrick is awful. Kendrick has, as expected, been terrible at home, but he hasn’t been very good on the road either. His 5.55 ERA and .290/.343/.509 slash away from Coors Field shouldn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence. The Giants don’t have anything to play for, so who knows how engaged they’ll be, but even if they’re at less than 100 percent, they have a chance to beat Kendrick around.
Tampa Bay – Unfortunately, Mark Buehrle needs to throw 8.2 innings to keep alive one of baseball’s most incredible streaks. He has thrown at least 200 innings in 14 straight seasons. He’s been pretty shaky in the second half with a 4.50 ERA and a .290/.325/.458 slash against. The Rays, for all of their problems against righties, have been a great offense against lefties this season. Buehrle strikeout rate has dropped to a measly 9.1 percent, so he’ll have to hope that everything is hit at a fielder.
Texas – Of course Texas is worth a gamble with Jered Weaver on the mound. We all know the road splits. Weaver has a 6.33 ERA with a .275/.326/.523 slash against. Last season his road ERA was 4.70 with a .469 SLG against. His strikeout rate is the lowest it has even been and his command is continuing to decline. The top of the Rangers order, with Delino DeShields, Shin-Soo Choo, and Prince Fielder, along with others like Mitch Moreland, should be considered in all lineups.
Here are the best value hitters for October 2:
Andre Ethier ($2,900) – Former top prospect Casey Kelly has had a rough time in his MLB career and Ethier is a good guy to stream on Friday. As mentioned several times throughout the season, Ethier is a very good platoon bat against right-handed pitching. This season, Ethier sports a .308/.384/.522 slash against righties. That .906 OPS is really strong he’s added some value with walks and homers for a .388 wOBA. This isn’t a one-year anomaly either. Ethier has a .304/.383/.507 slash in his career against right-handed pitching. It’s really surprising to see him at this price day after day.
Travis Shaw ($3,500) – It’s another day to stream Travis Shaw. Josh Tomlin throws a lot of strikes and gives up a lot of home runs. It simply comes with the territory. Shaw, born in Ohio, played his college ball at Kent State University, so a lot of family and friends will be on hand to see the 25-year-old in action. He has a .433 SLG against righties on the season with seven of his 13 home runs. He may also have some chances and a struggling Indians bullpen.
Mitch Moreland ($3,600) – It’s been a fine season for Mitch Moreland, who has put up a .298/.353/.537 slash against righties on the season. His .378 wOBA and 136 wRC+ rate very well among league leaders and other bigger names. He’s hit 18 of his 23 home runs with the platoon advantage and he’s facing Jered Weaver. Weaver has allowed a .266/.325/.456 slash to left-handed hitters and, of course, has those ugly road splits. Moreland is definitely a good look for Friday night.
Here are the best value pitchers for October 2:
Francisco Liriano ($10,000) – This one is too easy. Liriano draws a Cincinnati team that could not care less at this point in the season. They’ve lost 12 straight games and there’s no end in sight, unless the Pirates play a Single-A lineup on Sunday. Liriano should mow through this lineup without much of an issue. Liriano has a 3.27 ERA with a 3.18 FIP and a 3.20 xFIP on the year and well over a strikeout per inning. He’s a must stream in all formats.
Julio Teheran ($7,600) – This is a big time gamble, but it could pay off depending on the lineup that St. Louis sends out. They don’t have any reason to be concerned about this series and that could benefit Teheran, who has actually thrown the ball really well lately. He’s issued some walks, but the Cardinals will be aggressive and swing early in counts. It’s been a really rough season for the Braves’ ace, but he posted a 1.91 ERA in September and seemed to sequence his pitches better.
Hisashi Iwakuma ($9,900) – In what could be Iwakuma’s last start with Seattle, he draws an Oakland lineup that isn’t going to be very excited about this series. The Athletics have had some chances to play spoiler and dictate the AL West race, but they don’t have that opportunity here and they’ve been giving up runs in bunches. Kuma has a 3.18 ERA with a 3.16 FIP and a 3.14 xFIP in the second half of the season. The first half was lost due to injury. He’s going to get a nice contract this winter. It’s just a matter of where he ends up.