A nice day of baseball is ahead with six day games and nine night games for this Saturday April 23 slate. With the day split the way that it is, we’ll look at players from both the day and night segments for daily fantasy purposes. We’re still waiting to reach stabilization points and points of significance for a lot of hitters, as the league leader in plate appearances is Josh Donaldson with 80. Some stats stabilize at low sample sizes, but most of them need some more time in the oven before they are done. Regardless, we’ll keep our noses to the DFS grindstone.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for April 23:
Detroit (early) – I’m not entirely sure what’s wrong with Corey Kluber. As an Indians fan, I did a large amount of digging earlier in the week, but never came up with a concrete conclusion. It’s mostly about command. Dating back to last season, Kluber has allowed 14 HR over his last 107.2 innings of work. His ground ball rate is down quite a bit over that sample size, but it has gone back up in this season’s small sample. His velocity is down and his cutter/slider usage is down, while his changeup usage is up. Maybe that’s an underlying injury? Either way, he’s getting a lot of the fat part of the plate and the Tigers can take advantage.
Colorado (late) – We’ll give this a shot tonight. A lot of people will probably look to stack the Dodgers against Tyler Chatwood, but there’s a learning curve to pitching at Coors Field and I’m interested to see how Kenta Maeda handles that learning curve. Maeda has been very good thus far, but only one of the 19 baserunners he has allowed has scored. That one was a solo home run. That’s an unsustainable development and a place like Coors Field is a good venue for projecting regression.
Pittsburgh (late) – The inconsistency of Rubby de la Rosa may be his undoing tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have the second-best wOBA in baseball against right-handed pitching and also have the top batting average, if you’re in to that sort of thing. RDLR actually lost his spot in the rotation and his last two appearances have come in relief. He hasn’t started a game since April 13. With inconsistent mechanics, that type of setup early in the season is probably going to affect him more than it would other pitchers. That should play well for Pittsburgh and its hitters.
Here are the top value hitters for April 23:
Oswaldo Arcia (early) ($3,600) – Against power pitchers, Oswaldo Arcia is probably not a guy you want to have on your radar. Against a pitch-to-contact guy like Tanner Roark, feel free to let him fly. Arcia possesses some excellent raw power, but the holes in his swing are exposed by anybody with plus velo. Roark is a guy that Arcia can handle and he’ll have a platoon advantage. He owns a .250/.322/.485 slash against right-handed pitchers and his wRC+ of 122 means he is 22 percent above league average with that split.
Justin Bour (late) ($2,900) – We’ve gone this route before, but it makes sense to try it again at this low price. Justin Bour draws a platoon advantage on Saturday night against Jake Peavy. In 500 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Bour owns a .270/.332/.484 slash. He’s used to hitting in a suboptimal environment in Miami, so AT&T Park shouldn’t be a big issue for him. The high wall does suppress right-handed power a little bit, but the command of Jake Peavy should help balance that out.
Adonis Garcia (late) ($3,100) – In the punchless Braves lineup, Adonis Garcia is a guy that is still worth a look any time he runs into a left-handed pitcher. Over a modest 82-plate appearance sample size, Garcia has a .307/.354/.560 slash line. Any time you can get good power at a price like this, it’s worth a gamble, particularly in those GPPs where scratching off lottery tickets is usually the way to have success.
Here are the top value pitchers for April 23:
JA Happ (early) ($7,400) – The Athletics have had their share of issues with left-handed pitching over the last couple of seasons. They batted .251/.315/.392 as a team against left-handed starters last season. They have faced four southpaws this season to start a ballgame and own a collective .231/.278/.336 slash with a 32/7 K/BB ratio. Happ has a good defense behind him and some minor regression should be heading Oakland’s way after a strong week so far.
Michael Wacha (late) ($8,900) – Even though the Padres scratched out a win against Adam Wainwright and the Cardinals last night, this is still a very bad offensive ballclub. Michael Wacha has seen some improvements in his K/BB marks so far this season and it’s best to jump on Wacha and his upside while he’s still healthy. The Padres are 29th in wOBA against right-handed starters this season and owns one of baseball’s highest strikeout rates against them.
Juan Nicasio (late) ($5,400) – It’s not a great day for finding value pitching, but somebody will step up. Hopefully it’s Juan Nicasio. The latest Ray Searage project to be touched by the hand of the Pitching God is Nicasio, who has struck out 17 batters in 15 innings. The idea here is that Nicasio can find a way to give us six innings with six or seven strikeouts to more than validate this low price. He has the most strikeout upside of the cheaper options today, so that’s why we settle for him as our third value guy.