We begin a new week with a new set of matchups and no afternoon baseball on Monday. It should be a good day for DFS players to get back in the swing of things after a very strange weekend of baseball. One thing that stands out heading into Monday’s action is that there are some bullpens around Major League Baseball that are completely taxed. Extra-inning games and slugfests over the weekend forced managers to ask a lot of their relief pitchers and that could play a big role early in the week. Remember that when looking for stacking options or when picking starting pitchers.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
DraftKings or FanDuel are the industry leaders in ease of use and safe, free transactions. Use these tips and the tips from our daily radio show to improve your abilities and fill out the winning lineup. Our MLB daily fantasy tips and suggestions article is different in that we’re not looking for the top scorers, but for the best values so that you can get the edge that you need in order to save money for the game’s best players.
The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for April 25:
Pittsburgh/Colorado – You already know the drill. If there’s a game at Coors Field, you need those players in your lineup. We see it every series. There are games that go against the grain, but too many of them end up looking like Sunday’s Rockies vs. Dodgers game. With Jeff Locke on the mound for Pittsburgh, the expectation is that Colorado will do better, but it’s never a bad idea to stack a bunch of Coors players and plug-and-play after that.
Cleveland – The new-look Indians are loaded with right-handed hitters and that doesn’t bode well for Tommy Milone. The Indians have had a mix of results with lefties this season, but they faced David Price, Chris Sale, Matt Moore, and Drew Smyly, so that’s not all that easy of a road. They knocked John Danks and Wade Miley around. Milone is more Danks/Miley than those other four. Righties have a .266/.311/.434 career slash against Milone and he has had some decent home pitching environments in his career.
Texas – The Rangers draw Nate Eovaldi on Monday and should have a platoon advantage in the bulk of their plate appearances. Eovaldi has done a decent job of limiting left-handed power, but lefties still own a .295/.356/.423 career slash against him with a .341 wOBA. The Rangers have some very good offensive pieces and should be able to have success in this matchup. Eovaldi may be due some positive regression, but he allows a ton of hard contact, so it’s hard to see large-scale BABIP improvements.
Here are the top value hitters for April 25:
Nomar Mazara ($3,500) – Nomar Mazara launched his second career home run last night as he continues to be an excellent value buy against right-handed pitching. He’s now 12-for-28 with two home runs, a double, and four RBI against righties. He’s also walked five times and has only struck out once. On Monday night, Mazara has the aforementioned Nate Eovaldi to contend with and I mentioned Eovaldi’s exit velocities. Mazara is a star in the making and DFS pricing has not caught up yet.
Ryan Raburn ($4,000) – The fact that Jeff Locke is terrible has bumped up Ryan Raburn’s price a little bit, but we’re still confidently streaming one of the game’s most productive platoon bats against left-handed pitching. Raburn was inexplicably benched by Walt Weiss for Sunday’s matchup against Alex Wood, but he should be back in the fray against Locke. He owns a .265/.340/.493 career slash line vs. LHP and already has a couple of home runs off of southpaws this season.
Brian Dozier ($3,900) – Consider this a little bit of a gut instinct play. Brian Dozier has always shown a good feel for hitting high fastballs and he has a chance to do that against Danny Salazar in this start. Dozier has issues with spin, as he rates below average against sliders and changeups throughout his career, but Baseball Info Solutions rates him 25.9 runs above average against fastball variations. Even though it’s a righty-righty matchup, sometimes it’s good to trust what your eyes have seen in the past.
Here are the top value pitchers for April 25:
Julio Teheran ($7,200) – I may end up regretting this, but this could be a pretty bad spot for the Boston Red Sox tonight. The Red Sox played the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game and it took over five hours to play. Boston likely got into Atlanta at probably 5 or 6 a.m. local time after going through all the postgame stuff and after the flight to Georgia. That’s assuming they got right into the hotel and avoided any morning traffic. The Red Sox haven’t seen much of Teheran, so maybe that’s the advantage he needs to throw a quality start.
Marcus Stroman ($8,700) – The White Sox are in first place in the AL Central, but they haven’t done a whole lot of hitting this season. It has all been on the strength of their pitching staff. The White Sox rank 28th in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and Stroman is a good one. The strikeout numbers aren’t there quite yet, but the command has been pretty good. Opponents are beating the ball into the ground and haven’t been making quality contact. The White Sox lineup is not good.
Taijuan Walker ($9,000) – The Astros face a similar problem to the one that the Red Sox face. Houston had a much longer flight to Seattle after that five-hour marathon on Sunday night. The two-hour time change got Houston a couple hours back on the clock, but not on the body clock. I’m a big believer in Circadian Rhythm and a lot of players have routines that get thrown off by these unfamiliar situations, particularly early in the season. Expect some late swings and some sluggish hitters for Houston today.