A nice day of baseball is on tap for daily fantasy players. We’ve got six day games and nine night games to consider on the full 15-game slate. All 30 teams will be in action, weather permitting, so there are a lot of options on the board. In the night games, there is not a single pitcher priced over $9,900, so that means that just about every arm can be considered a value pick and hitters are going to have some minor inflation in their prices. During the day slate, Jacob deGrom and Chris Archer are on the bump, representing the two highest-priced arms of the day.
With the day spread out, we’ll take at least one player/team from the daytime and the nighttime games.
Remember that our column here at BangTheBook is centered exclusively on finding value. You know who the good players are. So does everybody else. It’s those under-the-radar guys that you pair with those high-salary players that allow you to come out on top.
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The salaries listed are from DraftKings:
Here are the top teams to stack for April 30:
Chicago Cubs (early) – The Cubs are almost like a team playing at Coors in that you can almost stack them every single day. There’s an obscene amount of talent on this team and it seems like just about everybody is carrying his own weight. If you take the pitcher out of the equation offensively, the Cubs have a .259/.372/.443 slash with a .356 wOBA and a 117 wRC+. Only division rivals St. Louis and Pittsburgh have a higher wOBA. The next potential victim is Julio Teheran, who has shown subpar control and command so far this season.
Pittsburgh – The aforementioned Pittsburgh Pirates get to face Alfredo Simon today and that’s probably all the justification you need. Simon’s 16.35 ERA through 9.1 innings this season is taken with a grain of salt because it’s such a small sample size, but he’s given up 131 runs over his last 196.1 innings of work. He’s given up 223 hits in that span. He’s just not a good pitcher. He needs to be in a bullpen somewhere, preferably in Triple-A.
Baltimore – Mat Latos is being followed around by the Regression Monster and it will make an appearance here very soon. With a 13.8 percent strikeout rate, Latos has a .167 BABIP against and a 96.9 percent strand rate. These are two wildly unsustainable numbers. The Orioles offense is really good. The White Sox defense is overachieving. This is a bad spot for Latos and this seems like the type of situation where regression will happen very fast as opposed to happening in a gradual manner.
Here are the top value hitters for April 30:
Michael Conforto (early) ($3,600) – When will the DFS algorithm learn? Michael Conforto racked up 16 more points last night in DraftKings formats with a couple knocks, a couple runs, and a couple RBI. He’s not a flash in the pan. He’s a bona fide Major League hitter. He’s up to .343/.427/.614 on the season and he’s a .297/.369/.571 hitter against right-handed pitching. He’s still criminally underpriced. But, whatever, we’ll keep taking him at these mid-$3000s salaries and keep racking up great value.
Eugenio Suarez ($3,900) – Eugenio Suarez is off to a solid start with a .271/.326/.459 slash on the campaign. Three of his five dingers have come in his 28 PA against left-handed pitching. With Francisco Liriano all over the place, Suarez is a good streaming option here in this one. Even with a poor performance against southpaws in 2014, Suarez owns a .286/.352/.458 slash in 217 PA. Take away that 2014 campaign and Suarez’s numbers are more like .320/.380/.550. That’s very impressive and it’ll play at this price.
Travis Shaw ($3,400) – Michael Pineda has been a mess this season and a guy like Travis Shaw is a perfect candidate to take advantage at a low price. Truthfully, a Boston stream is not a bad idea. Pineda has the strikeouts, but he’s living in the middle of the plate and there’s a lot of hard contact coming from opposing barrels. Shaw quietly has a 150 wRC+ in 91 PA on the season with a .309/.385/.506 slash. In 75 PA against RHP, Shaw is up to .354/.440/.585 on the season. Overall, he’s a .273/.353/.464 hitter with the platoon advantage.
Here are the top value pitchers for April 30:
Joe Ross (early) ($8,100) – I’m a big fan of the Nationals today and of Joe Ross. The Cardinals got into town very early Friday morning and then got shut down by Stephen Strasburg. With compromising travel spots and time zone changes, most players say that the second day is the hardest. This early start for St. Louis represents a lot of challenges. Ross has enough stuff to get by, even though he hasn’t shown the strikeout stuff that he had last season.
Kevin Gausman ($7,500) – Kevin Gausman was excellent when he went toe-for-toe and pitch-for-pitch with Chris Archer in his first start of the season. He draws a light-hitting Chicago White Sox lineup here in this one and that’s a great streaming option. He should work a little bit deeper into the game here this time after picking up seven strikeouts in five innings. This is a great value for a guy that has some good stuff.
Jerad Eickhoff ($7,900) – The Phillies are a team that I was extremely high on before the season and they have lived up to, and exceeded, my expectations. Jerad Eickhoff is part of the reason why. Eickhoff has a 3.12 FIP and a 3.16 xFIP in his 24.1 innings this season with well over a strikeout per inning. The Indians are striking out a ton right now and struck out 17 times against Adam Morgan and the Phillies pen on Friday night. Eickhoff’s slider is a legit weapon and it shouldn’t come as a surprise if he shuts down the Tribe’s lineup.