Daily MLB Moneyline Odds Analysis & Betting Picks 8/22/19

Date | AuthorAllen Moody

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

A smaller slate of games than normal, so we’ll run down the entire slate.

San Francisco at Chicago: Hendricks and Samardzija get the starts in this afternoon game, where Chicago opened -165 and have climbed slightly to -175 with pretty even betting. I have the Cubs -126.

Washington at Pittsburgh: Scherzer returns to the mound for the Nationals, who last started July 25, and the Nats have moved from -200 to -220 after getting three-quarters of the wagers. I made Washington -150.

Miami at Atlanta: Soroka and the Braves opened -290 and the line has dipped slightly to Atlanta -275, while I have the Braves -183 in this one. The Braves have received more than 75% of the wagers, but the drop in the line is more of the correction in moving from the overnight line to the regular game day line.

Colorado at St. Louis: Decent pitching match-up here, with Marquez and Mikolas, as the Cardinals moved from -145 to -137 after getting a slight majority of the wagers. I made St. Louis -108.

Tampa Bay at Baltimore: The Rays opened -240 and the line has dropped to -210 with Tampa Bay getting three-quarters of the early bets. I made Tampa Bay -250 here.

Detroit at Houston: The Astros and Cole opened -500 and have pretty much stayed there with three-quarters of the wagers coming in on Houston. The Astros are just 17-17 this season after a loss. I made Cole -260 over Zimmermann.

Texas at White Sox: Jurado and Texas opened -115 and have dropped a cent or two and are -114 with the betting being pretty well mixed on this one. I made Texas -150.

New York at Oakland: Tanaka and the Yankees opened -130 over Roark and the Athletics and the line has dropped down to NY -113 with the Yanks getting a little more than 60% of the early wagers in this one. I made New York -150 here.

Cleveland at Mets: Syndergaard and the Mets opened -140 and the line is down to New York -134 with the Indians getting 57% of the early wagers in the game. I made Cleveland -150 in this one, so will take a shot on the Tribe +124, although not thrilled they’re getting the majority of the wagers.

Toronto at Dodgers: The Dodgers and Maeda opened -265 and the line is down to LA -225 with the Dodgers getting close to two-thirds of the wagers in the game. I have LA just -130.

Record 27-31 +4.23

END OF AUG. 22 PICKS

The Red Sox came up a run short last night in a strange game, as Philadelphia scored three runs in the first and Boston scored two in the third and that was all she wrote. A couple of early games on today’s slate.

San Diego at Cincinnati: Castillo and the Reds opened -180 and the line is still holding there with three-quarters of the wagers coming in on Cincinnati. I have San Diego -155, but Castillo has been pretty good about bouncing back after a poor home start. In the five games the Reds have allowed 6 or more runs with him on the hill, they’ve allowed two or fewer runs in four of those five, so will stay away.

Colorado at Arizona: The Diamondbacks opened as slight favorites and now this one is -105 both ways with Colorado and Gray getting two-thirds of the wagers. I made the Rockies -178.

Washington at Pittsburgh: Corbin and the Nationals opened -150 and are now -145 in a game I have Washington -215.

Miami at Atlanta: Julio Teheran and Atlanta opened -210 and the line has dropped to -190 after the Braves received three-quarters of the early wagers. I made Atlanta -141.

Milwaukee at St. Louis: Wainwright and the Cardinals opened -130 and the line has dropped to -108 with pretty even betting coming in. I made St. Louis -131.

San Francisco at Cubs: Darvish and the Cubs opened -190 and are now up to -225 with 60% of the wagers in this one. I have it a lot closer, with Chicago -105.

Philadelphia at Boston: Porcello and the Sox opened -160 and are still hovering in that area with more than 70% of the early wagers. Smyly doesn’t have the best of numbers, but has been pretty decent in his road starts, where the Phillies allow 3.75 runs. The Sox are averaging 5.56 runs against LHP at home, but that’s a little misleading, as Boston has scored 4.0 runs or less in 11 of 18 games, so I have the Phillies -170 and will take Philadelphia +150 here.

Cleveland at Mets: The Mets are -145 in this one with Plutko and Stroman and I made this one even.

Toronto at Dodgers: Buehler and the Dodgers are -340 over Font and the Blue Jays and I have LA just -140 due to Font’s starts this year, although history says he isn’t as good of a pitcher as he looks right now.

Record 26-31 +2.73

END OF AUG. 21 PICKS

Bigger slate of games for Tuesday, so we’ll get right to it.

Washington at Pittsburgh: The Nationals and Strasburg opened -170 and the line has dropped all the way to Washington -148 even though more than 80% of the early wagers are on Washington. I made Strasburg -115 in this one.

San Diego at Cincinnati: Sonny Gray and the Reds opened -170 and the line has dropped a bit to Reds -158 with Cincinnati getting a bit more than 60% of the early wagers in this one. I have the Reds -115 in this one.

Miami at Atlanta: Keuchel and the Braves have gone from -325 to -265 with more than three-quarters of the wagers, while I have Atlanta -185 in this spot.

Milwaukee at St. Louis: The Brewers and Gonzalez opened -115 in this one and the line is now -105 both directions with Milwaukee getting the slightest of the majority of wagers so far. I made Gonzalez -154.

San Francisco at Cubs: Cole Hamels and the Cubs opened -187 and the line is up slightly to Chicago -195. I made the Cubs -200 over Beede.

Colorado at Arizona: Young and the Diamondbacks opened -155 and the line has come down slightly to Arizona -150 after the home team received 55% of the early wagers in the game. I have Young -200 over Freeland in this one.

Philadelphia at Boston: Aaron Nola and the Phillies opened -115 over Brian Johnson and Boston and the line is now Red Sox -112 with Philadelphia getting close to 60% of the wagers in the game. I made Boston -163 here, so will go ahead and take the slight favorite in the Red Sox.

Cleveland at Mets: Shane Bieber and the Tribe opened -140 over Matz and New York and now Cleveland has climbed a couple of cents to -142 after getting pretty close to two-thirds of the wagers in this one. I made Cleveland -128 in this spot.

Toronto at Los Angeles: Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers opened -315 and the line is now hovering around the LA -310 mark with Los Angeles getting a little more than 80% of the early wagers in this one. I made Kershaw and the Dodgers -220, as Reid-Foley hasn’t been all that bad in his limited starts, with the Blue Jays allowing 4.17 runs per game.

Record 26-30 +3.85

END OF AUG. 20 PICKS

The Reds’ rally came up a run short for us on Sunday and now we move to the typical smaller slate of games for Monday, so we’ll go down the list of all the games on the schedule.

Washington at Pittsburgh: The Nationals and Joe Ross opened -135 and the line is now -125 with the Nats getting more than 75% of the early wagers in this one. Ross has looked much better this year and I have Washington -160.

San Diego at Cincinnati: Lauer and Bauer get the starts for their respective teams in this one and the Reds opened -165 and are now -160 with two-thirds of the wagers coming in on the Reds. Lauer’s away numbers aren’t that great, but he did have a couple of brutal outings in Colorado and the Padres have allowed four runs or less in six of his 11 starts, so I made San Diego -125 and will take the Padres +150 in this one.

Milwaukee at St. Louis: Hudson and the Cardinals opened -125 and are now -120 after getting a little more than 60% of the wagers here. I have St. Louis -116.

Colorado at Arizona: The Diamondbacks just opened at -170 with Gallen and Gonzalez the starters and I made Arizona -150.

Kansas City at Baltimore: Means and the Orioles opened -140 and are now -130 with a little more than 60% of the early wagers. I have Baltimore -200 in this one.

Seattle at Tampa Bay: McKay and the Rays opened -185 and are still there for the most part, with the Rays getting a small majority of the wagers. I have Seattle -105 here, and will take Seattle +165 in this one for a second play today.

Angeles at Texas: The Angeles and Peters opened as slight favorites over Allard and the Rangers and Los Angeles is -114. I have the Rangers -125 in this one.

White Sox at Minnesota: Gibson and the Twins opened -190 and are now up to -200 over Nova and the Sox after getting more than three-quarters of the early bets. I made the Twins -170.

Detroit at Houston: The Astros and Miley opened -400 and the line has dropped to -390 or so at the majority of sportsbooks, with the buyback on Detroit in the +330 range. I made the Astros -339 in this one. Favorites of -390 and higher are 15-5 over the past 15 years.

Record 24-30 +.70

END OF AUG. 19 PICKS

The usual assortment of day games for Sunday, along with the Williamsport game between the Cubs and the Pirates tonight.

San Diego at Philadelphia: The Phillies and Vargas opened -135 and the line has dropped to -105 both ways after the Phils received three-quarters of the early wagers in what has been a bit of a strange series in relation to opening numbers. I have the Phillies -125.

St. Louis at Cincinnati: The Cardinals and Flaherty opened -165 and the line is now St. Louis -160 after the Cards received 60% of the early wagers. The Cardinals have allowed three runs or less in Flaherty’s last seven starts, while Wood has had one poor start in his four outings. I have the Reds -125 in this one and will take a shot on Wood +150.

Dodgers at Atlanta: The Braves opened -120 in this one, which was posted late, and the line has dropped to Atlanta -112, while I have the Dodgers -130.

Milwaukee at Washington: The Brewers opened -115 in this one and the line is now Milwaukee -108, which is more of a reflection of the overnight line being phased out for the regular line. The Brewers are getting 58% of the early wagers in this one and I made Anderson -125 over Fedde.

Miami at Colorado: Lambert and the Rockies opened -150 and the line is now up to Colorado -175 after the home team received more than 70% of the early bets. I have the Rockies -254 in this one, primarily due to the difference in offense between the two teams.

San Francisco at Arizona: Burmgarner and Kelly take the mound for their respective teams in this one, which saw the Giants opened -130 and fall down to -107 after getting close to two-thirds of the wagers. I have the Giants -109 in this spot.

Cubs vs. Pittsburgh: The Pirates are the home team in this one and at least it’s in their home state, as Quintana and Keller get the starts. Keller has been a little better in his last few starts, but always tough to get involved with these type of games, which are played at different stadiums. I have the Cubs -150 in this one.

Mets at Kansas City: The Mets opened -180 and are now up to -185 in this one, with Wheeler and Sparkman the starters. I have this one even, as Sparkman has been decent at home, but no interest with Kansas City a dismal 15-31 as home underdogs.

Record 24-29 +1.70

END OF AUG. 18 PICKS

Some shoddy relief work by the Braves sent us to a loss on Friday, as the Dodgers rallied in the final three innings to take the victory. For Saturday, the usual couple of day games, with the majority of action taking place under the lights.

Cubs at Pittsburgh: The Cubs opened -140 and have climbed a little bit to -143 after getting close to 80% of the early bets in this one. The Cubs haven’t been that great against southpaws on the road, going 4-10 and 1-10 in games they didn’t score 10 or more runs in. I made Chicago -150 here.

St. Louis at Cincinnati: The Reds opened as slight favorites and now the Cardinals and Mikolas are -116 after getting more than 70% of the early wagers. I have the Cardinals -115 here.

San Diego at Philadelphia: For the second straight day, the Padres were made slight favorites over the Phillies and for the second straight day, bettors have disagreed, as the Phillies and Eflin are now -113 over Lamet and the Padres after getting more than 70% of the early wagers. I have the Padres -150.

Milwaukee at Washington: Sanchez and the Nationals opened -125 over Lyles and the Brewers and the line has held pretty steady, while I made Washington -135.

Dodgers at Atlanta: Ryu and the Dodgers opened -155 and the line has dropped a little to -148 after Los Angeles received more than 70% of the wagers. The Braves are 14-7 after losing at home last time to today’s opponent, but no desire to go against LA here, who I made -200.

San Francisco at Arizona: The Giants prized pitching prospect makes his debut tonight, as Logan Webb and Taylor Clarke take the mound for their respective teams. Clarke opened -125 and the line has held there, but going to take a stab on the Giants in this one with Webb +115.

Miami at Colorado: Marquez and Colorado opened -250 and are still there with three-quarters of the early wagers. I made Colorado -175.

Mets at Kansas City: The Mets and deGrom opened -210 and are hovering around -200, while I made New York -175.

Record 23-29 +.55

END OF AUG. 17 PICKS

The A’s got the job done for us last night, but still a bit miffed I didn’t have the cahones to pull the trigger on the Marlins, so on to Friday’s games, where we have just one interleague game.

Milwaukee at Washington: Corbin and the Nationals opened -150 in this one and the line has trickled up a few cents this morning, with Washington getting three-quarters of the early wagers in the game. I made the Nats -175 here.

San Diego at Philadelphia: Paddock and the Padres opened -115 in this one and bettors don’t agree, with more than three-quarters of the early wagers landing on the Phillies. Velasquez is now -112, while I have the Padres -140.

Cubs at Pirates: Hendricks and the Cubs opened -150 and have dropped to -140 with close to 70% of the wagers coming in on Chicago. I made the Cubs -140 here.

St. Louis at Cincinnati: Castillo and the Reds opened -160 over Wainwright and the Cardinals and the line has since dropped to Cincinnati -143 with the Reds getting 60% of the wagers. I made the Reds -160.

Dodgers at Atlanta: The Braves and Soroka opened -125 and the line has come down a few cents to Atlanta -118 with the Dodgers getting the majority of the wagers. I have the Braves -160 in this one, so will take a rare favorite and go against my Dodgers and take Atlanta -118 in this one.

Miami at Colorado: Jon Gray and the Rockies opened -185 and the line has shot up to Colorado-235 with the Rockies getting more than 65% of the early wagers in the game. I have Colorado -250.

San Francisco at Arizona: Leake and the Diamondbacks opened -120 and the line has climbed to Arizona -135 although the betting has been pretty equal in this one. I have San Francisco -160, but much of that has to do with Leake’s struggles with the Mariners, which are overblown a little as he has decent more often than not at home, but his numbers are a bit misleading due to a couple of poor starts and his teams allowed four runs or less in seven of 11 home starts.

Mets at Kansas City: Syndergaard and the Mets opened -190 and the line has dropped to New York -170 even though the Mets are getting more than three-quarters of the wagers. I made the Mets -150 here.

Record 23-28 +1.75

END OF AUG. 16 PICKS

Fairly small slate of games for Thursday, with just five contests involving National League teams.

Dodgers at Miami: The Dodgers and Walker Buehler opened as hefty -270 favorites over Caleb Smith and the Fish and the line is holding steady for the most part, with Los Angeles getting more than 80% of the early wagers in the game. The Dodgers are 5-0 this season against the Marlins and have won the last three games by a combined 33-2 margin and scored at least nine runs in each of the last four meetings. Buehler hasn’t been the same pitcher on the road, however, as the Dodgers are 6-5 in his road starts, allowing 5.27 runs per game, compared to 8-3 in his home starts, where they allow 3.36 runs per game. Miami is 4-3 with Smith on the mound as a home, dog, but have only scored more than four runs once in those seven outings. I have the Dodgers -135.

Cubs at Philadelphia: The Cubbies opened -140 and this one has also held pretty steady with Chicago getting more than 70% of the early wagers in the game. Chicago is 30-25 after a loss and 8-4 after a loss of five or more runs. I have Chicago -113 in this spot.

St. Louis at Cincinnati: Gray and the Reds opened -160 over Wacha and the Cardinals, which seems a bit on the high side, and I have the Reds -144. The betting is pretty even in this one.

Mets at Atlanta: Decent match-up here, with Stroman and Teheran getting the starts, where the Braves opened -140 and the line is now down to -122 after New York has received a slight majority of the wagers. I have the Mets -110, as Stroman has been solid on the road, but Teheran is pretty decent at home.

San Francisco at Arizona: The Diamondbacks opened -125 and the line is now up to Arizona -140 with the home team getting more than 80% of the early wagers. I made Arizona -135 in this one.

Houston at Oakland: Will jump down to an American League game, as the Astros send Aaron Sanchez to the mound to face Mike Fiers and the A’s. Houston opened -125 and the line is now Astros -118 with 58% of the early wagers on the road team. I made the A’s -150, so will go ahead and take Oakland +108 in this one.

Record 22-28 +.67

END OF AUG. 15 PICKS

A couple of early starts today, although the majority of the action is taking place under the lights.

Arizona at Colorado: Arizona and Robbie Ray opened -125 and are now -140 after getting 70% of the early wagers. I have the Diamondbacks -175 and it’s practically impossible to go with Freeland now.

Cincinnati at Washington: Washington opened -154 and after dropping a bit in the early morning, Washington is now -165 after receiving more than 60% of the bets. I made Strasburg -111.

Cubs at Phillies: The Phillies opened -117 and are now -115 after Chicago received two-thirds of the wagers. I made Philadelphia -150, so will take a rare favorite in this one and grab Nola at home.

LA Dodgers at Miami: The Dodgers opened -280 and are still there after receiving more than 80% of the early wagers in the game. I made LA -175, as Kershaw hasn’t quite been himself on the road this season, as LA is 5-3 in his road starts and 11-1 in his home starts.

Mets at Atlanta: The Braves have moved from -145 to -142 after getting 57% of the wagers in this one and I have Keuchel and Atlanta -225.

Minnesota at Milwaukee: Gonzales and the Brewers opened -130 over Gibson and the Twins and the line has moved all the way down to Milwaukee -114 after 55% of the wagers have come in on the road team. I have the Brewers -130 in this one.

Tampa Bay at San Diego: The Padres opened -120 in a game that was posted late due to the Rays not naming a starter, although it doesn’t really matter much, as Beeks isn’t likely to throw too much. The Padres are down to -107 and I made the Rays -140 here.

Oakland at San Francisco: The A’s and Homer Bailey opened -120 and the line is holding pretty steady even with three-quarters of the wagers coming in on Oakland. I have the A’s -150, which has more to do with the Giants’ offense than it does Bailey.

Pittsburgh at Angeles: Peters and the Angeles have moved from -135 to -124 even after getting two-thirds of the early wagers. I have Los Angeles -150 in this one.

St. Louis at Kansas City: Hudson and the Cardinals opened -145 in this one and the line has dropped down to St. Louis -127 after two-thirds of the wagers came in on the Cards. I have the Royals -128.

Record 21-28 -.33

END OF AUG. 14 PICKS

The usual slate of day games for this Sunday, so we’ll get right to it.

Atlanta at Miami: The Braves opened -200 and are still hovering in that vicinity with a little more than 80% of the early wagers. The line is a little too high given how Foltynewicz has performed this season, so I have the Braves -125 in this one, although would like to see a few more starts out of Noesi after his return to the majors. Ideally, he would be coming out of the pen.

Cubs at Cincinnati: The Reds and Castillo opened -135 and are now -127 after getting 57% of the wagers and that move is basically the change in the 20-cent overnight line to the traditional 10-cent line. I made the Reds -145.

Washington at Mets: Jacob DeGrom and the Mets opened -190 and are still there with 60% of the wagers in this one. Sanchez has pitched well on the road for the most part, so I have the Nats -140 in this one and will take a shot on Washington +175.

Pittsburgh at St. Louis: Mikolas and the Cardinals opened -185 and are now up to -195, while I madr the Cardinals -125 in this one, so a bit of value with the away dog.

Colorado at San Diego: This line opened late and Lamet and the Padres moved from -120 to -113 pretty quickly. I have the Rockies and Marquez -150.

Philadelphia at San Francisco: The game here opened -110 both ways and now the Giants are slight favorites at -107. I have the Phillies and Arrieta -125.

Arizona at Dodgers: Interesting game here, as the Diamondbacks have been strong Against Lefties on the road, checking into this one with a 10-8 record and scoring 6.72 runs per game. That record would be even better if the Diamondbacks weren’t allowing 5.89 runs in those games. But the Dodgers only allow 2.0 runs per game at home with Ryu on the mound, while Leake has been pretty inconsistent this season, so I have the Dodgers -210. LA opened -240 and the line has come down all the way to Dodgers -200 even with the boys in blue getting more than 80% of the early wagers.

Texas at Milwaukee: The Brewers and Lyles opened -150 and the line has dropped all the way to Brewers -135. I have Texas and Minor -145 in this spot.

Record 20-28 -2.08

END OF AUGUST 11 PICKS

 

MyBookie Sign-Up Bonus

  • 100% Deposit Bonus up to $1000
  • $20 Risk Free First Bet

Leave a Reply

2019 MLB Betting Guide

MLB Power LinesView all

(967) CLEVELAND @ (968) NY METS | 7:10 pm 8/22/2019

Play Line: CLEVELAND 115
BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND -106

Edge On: CLEVELAND 21Bet Now
(961) DETROIT @ (962) HOUSTON | 8:10 pm 8/22/2019

Play Line: DETROIT 429
BTB PowerLine: DETROIT +387

Edge On: DETROIT 42Bet Now
(969) TORONTO @ (970) LA DODGERS | 10:10 pm 8/22/2019

Play Line: TORONTO 213
BTB PowerLine: TORONTO +140

Edge On: TORONTO 73Bet Now