Daily MLB Moneyline Odds Analysis & Betting Picks 6/16/19

Date | AuthorAllen Moody

Last Updated: 2019-06-16

Full slate of games, so we’ll get right to it.

St. Louis at Mets: The Mets opened -115 and now the Cardinals and Hudson are -120 after getting 57% of the early wagers. I have the Mets -140 in this one.

Pittsburgh at Miami: This one opened even and now Archer and the Pirates are favored -125 after getting more than 62% of the early wagers. I have Pittsburgh -110 in this one.

Philadelphia at Atlanta: This one came out late, as the Phillies were late naming a starter and the Braves are -160, while I have the Phillies at -200 due to Foltynewicz really struggling at home so far this season, so will take a shot on the Phils +150.

Arizona at Washington: The Nats are -140 in another game that was posted late, while I have Arizona -125.

San Diego at Colorado: The Rockies have moved from -155 to -150 after getting 70% of the wagers. I have this one Rockies -170.

Milwaukee at San Francisco: The Brewers have moved from -130 to -148 after getting 80% of the wagers. I have Milwaukee -220 in this one.

Cubs at Dodgers: The Dodgers opened -220 and the line is all the way down to -170 after the Dodgers received 70% of the wagers. I have Los Angeles -220.

Boston at Baltimore: The Sox have moved from -145 to -155 after getting 70% of the wager and I have Boston -150.

Angels at Tampa Bay: This one also came out late and the Rays are -136, while I made Tampa Bay -175.

Cleveland at Detroit: The Indians opened -165 and the line has trickled down slightly to -157 and I have Cleveland -225 in this one.

Kansas City at Minnesota: I have the Twins -200 in this one and the line is -185.

Yankees at White Sox: The Yankees are climbing and are now -240, while I have this one at New York -180.

Toronto at Houston: The Astros are holding at -230, while I have Houston -150.

Seattle at Oakland: Oakland is holding steady at -150 and I made the Mariners -140 in this one.

Texas at Cincinnati: The Reds have climbed from -150 to -170 with just one-third of the wagers in this one. I have the Rangers favored in this one.

Record 4-4 +1.50

END OF JUNE 16PICKS

Full slate of MLB on tap for Saturday, so we’ll get right to it.

Milwaukee at San Francisco: The Giants opened -115 and now the Brewers are -110 after getting close to 60% of the wagers. I made the Brewers -160 in this one due to their offense.

Arizona at Washington: The Nats opened -210 and the line has climbed slightly to -220 with 58% of the wagers on Washington. I only have Washington -130.

Pittsburgh at Miami: The Fish opened -125 and are still there with decent two-way action on the game. I have Miami -105.

St. Louis at Mets: The Mets opened -150 and the line has dropped to -135 with two-thirds of the wagers coming in on New York. I have Wacha -140 in this one, so will take a shot on the Cardinals +125.

Philadelphia at Atlanta: The Braves opened -125 and this one is down to -105 both ways after the early wagers have been split right down the middle. I have Atlanta as huge favorites in this one but do have to respect the moves.

San Diego at Colorado: The Rockies opened -155 and are now -170 after getting more than 60^ of the early wagers. This one is a rematch of a pitching matchup a few weeks ago here and the Rockies won by 10. I have Colorado -180.

Cubs at Dodgers: The Dodgers moved from -180 to -185 with a good majority of the wagers and I made LA -125 in this one.

Angels at Tampa Bay: The Rays are -200 with 80% of the wagers and I made Tampa By -230.

Boston at Baltimore: The Red Sox opened -260 and are now all the way up to -320. I made Boston -245 in this spot.

Toronto at Houston: The Astros opened -220 and are still there with a little more than 80% of the wagers. I made Houston -175.

Cleveland at Detroit: The Indians have moved from -250 to -245 and I have Bieber -270 in this one.

Kansas City at Minnesota: The Twins opened -240 and have climbed a little bit to -255 with more than 85% of the early wagers. I have the Twins -350.

New York at Chicago: The Yankees just announced Green as their starter, so no line out on this one yet.

Seattle at Oakland: The A’s have moved from -240 to -220 in this one, while I have Oakland -200.

Texas at Reds: The Reds opened -125 and the line is holding pretty steady even with the Rangers getting a large majority of the wagers. I have Texas -180.

Record 4-3 +2.50

END OF JUNE 15 PICKS

Another tough schedule in MLB tonight, as last night’s play was drubbed, and to top it off our over 7 play in New York was no action with the score tied 4-4 in the ninth when the game was suspended. One of those nights that also saw a 1-point loss in the WNBA and a three-point loss in the CFL after watching our quarterback get knocked out on the first series, so glad to turn the page to Friday.

Arizona at Washington: The Nats opened -190 and the line has come down to -178 on pretty decent two-way action here. I have Washington -140.

St. Louis at NY Mets: Matz is -124 in another game that has seen pretty good two-way action, while I have New York -250 in a game I know little about the Cardinals’ starter and assigned him the standard of five runs allowed.

Pittsburgh at Miami: The game opened -110 in both directions and now the Fish are -115 in another game getting decent action on both sides. I have the Pirates a healthy favorite in this one, but no real interest in going against the slight line move here.

Philadelphia at Atlanta: The Braves have moved from -125 to -138 and I have them -200, so would agree with the line move.

San Diego at Colorado: The Rockies opened -112 and are now -120, while I have the Rockies -160.

Cubs at Dodgers: The Dodgers opened -150 and are now down to -127 after getting a little more than 50% of the wagers. I have LA -150.

Milwaukee at San Francisco: The Brewers opened -155 and are down to -137 even though they’re getting the majority of the wagers. Pomeranz has been very good or very bad in practically every start, so would avoid his games as much as possible.

Boston at Baltimore: The Orioles are still listing undecided for a starting pitcher here, so no line out.

Cleveland at Detroit: The Indians opened at -160 and the line has dipped slightly to -148, while I have Cleveland -250 in this one.

Kansas City at Minnesota: The Twins opened at -185 and the line has climbed to Minnesota -220, while I have the Twins at -240.

Yankees at White Sox: This one opened even and now the Yankees are -112 after getting 60% of the wagers. I have the Sox -160, so will take Chicago +102 in this one.

Toronto at Houston: The Astros opened -240 and are up to -280 and I made Houston -200.

Seattle at Oakland: The A’s opened -175 and have climbed to -180 after getting two-thirds of the wagers. I have Oakland -110.

Texas at Cincinnati: The Reds opened -150 and are still there after getting 57% of the wagers. I have the Reds -105.

Record 3-3 +1.48

END OF JUNE 14 PICKS

A split for us on the diamond on Wednesday, which is always fine with me, since one of our plays is going to be an underdog. A couple of day games on tap, so we’ll get right to it.

Pittsburgh at Atlanta: Huge reverse movement in this one and I’m on the other side, as Teheran and the Braves opened -180 and the line is down to Atlanta -150 even though the Braves have received close to 70% of the wagers. I have the Braves -275 and obviously will be staying far away from this one.

Arizona at Washington: This one is a little notable due to the lack of movement, as Greinke opened -120 over Fedde and the line has stayed there despite more than three-quarters of the wagers on the Diamondbacks. I have Arizona -160.

St. Louis at New York: The Mets opened -145 and this one is now down to -130 in another reverse move, as deGrom and New York are getting two-thirds of the early wagers. I have this one Mets -150.

San Diego at Colorado: I have Colorado -150 in this one, while Gray and the Rockies opened -155 and the line has dropped to Rockies -137 even with 62% of the early wagers on the home team.

Cubs at Dodgers: Kershaw and the Dodgers opened -185 and are now -175 after getting close to 65% of the wagers. I have LA -110.

Seattle at Minnesota: Pineda and the Twins opened -190 and the line is now Minnesota -170. I have the Mariners -160 in this one, so will go ahead and grab Seattle +160 at 5Dimes, as the Mariners are the only underdog I have winning today.

Toronto at Baltimore: The Jays opened -130 and are still there with 70% of the wagers. I have Stroman -120.

Texas at Boston: Price and the Red Sox opened -200 and the line has now hit -225 with the Sox having a slight majority of the wagers. I made Boston -288.

Angels at Tampa Bay: This one came out and the Rays are -130 after opening a little bit higher. I have Tampa Bay -115.

Detroit at Kansas City: The Tigers opened -115 and are now -126 after getting close to 60% of the wagers. I made the Tigers -150.

Yankees at White Sox: The Yankees have moved from -175 to -180 and are getting 80% of the early wagers. I made Happ -208 over Nova.

Record 3-2 +2.48

END OF JUNE 13 PICKS

A 1-1 day in baseball on Tuesday, losing the side play and winning the total. Another slightly smaller schedule than normal for Wednesday and a few pretty pronounced home/away efforts so some big numbers on a few of the games.

Cubs at Colorado: The Cubs opened -127 and are now up to -145 with 75% of the early wagers. I have the Rockies -118 in this one even though Senzatela has struggled so far this season.

Arizona at Philadelphia: The Phillies opened -145 and the line has dropped a few cents at most places and is around -140 at the majority of sportsbooks in a slight reverse move. I made Philadelphia -190.

St. Louis at Miami: The Cardinals opened -165 and the number is still there despite more than 80% of the early wagers on St. Louis. I have Mikolas -210 over Urena.

Pittsburgh at Atlanta: The Braves opened a bit late and the line is -210, while I have the Braves -365 on the basis or Soroka’s numbers at home.

San Diego at San Francisco: The Padres opened -150 and the line is down to San Diego -135 with two-thirds of the wagers coming in on the Padres. I have San Diego -145.

Oakland at Tampa Bay: Another game that opened late, the Rays are -160 and I made Tampa Bay -200.

Toronto at Baltimore: Ugly pitching matchup here, as Baltimore is -110 and I made Hess -116 over Jackson.

Texas at Boston: The Red Sox opened -168 and are now -145 despite getting the majority of the wagers. I made Texas -175 in this one.

Seattle at Minnesota: There’s no line on this one at the majority of sportsbooks, while I made the Twins -180.

Detroit at Kansas City: The Royals opened -140 in this one and the line is holding steady with the Royals getting a small majority of the wagers. I have Norris -250 over Duffy, so will take the Tigers +130 in this one.

Cincinnati at Cleveland: The Indians opened -130 and the line is holding pretty steady there with the Tribe getting a fair majority of the wagers in the game.

Milwaukee at Houston: Once again, the Brewers are getting hit, as this line has dropped from Astros -155 to Houston -130 even with the Astros getting more than three-quarters of the wagers so far. I have Verlander -300 due to his home numbers and Woodruff posting worse numbers on the road.

Record 2-2 +1.18

END OF JUNE 12 PICKS

Back to .500 overall on the season after yesterday, including a nice win by the Rangers at +220, so on to Tuesday’s bigger slate of games.

Arizona at Philadelphia: The Phillies and Arrieta opened -150 and the line is down to -132 with the Phillies getting 65% of the wagers. I have Arizona -148, so will take the Diamondbacks +122 out of the gate.

St. Louis at Miami: The line was posted a little late on this one and the Cardinals are -150 at most outlets, with a few having them slightly higher. I have St. Louis -210.

Pittsburgh at Atlanta: Two struggling pitchers in this one, as the Braves and Foltynewicz opened -140 over Archer and the Pirates and are now up to -145 after getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have Atlanta -110.

Cubs at Colorado: The line came out -110 both ways and now Chicago is -127 after getting more than 60% of the early wagers. I have the Rockies -145.

San Diego at San Francisco: The Padres opened -150 and the line is holding steady despite San Diego getting 75% of the early wagers. I have San Diego -200.

Toronto at Baltimore: The Orioles opened -120 and the Jays are now -116 even though they’ve gotten less than 40% of the wagers. I have Toronto -160 in this one.

Oakland at Tampa Bay: Another game that opened late, the Rays are now -160, while I have them -240.

Texas at Boston: Another game that opened a little bit, the Sox are dropping in price and are now -170, while I have this one even.

Seattle at Minnesota: The Twins opened -185 and the line has dropped a few cents even though the Twins are getting a good chunk of the wagers. I have Minnesota -190.

Detroit at Kansas City: The Royals have moved from -130 to -140 on pretty mixed betting, while I have the Tigers as slight favorites.

Mets at Yankees: The night game is expected to see Paxton and Vargas and I made the Yankees -175, while the line is currently -195 for New York.

Cincinnati at Cleveland: The Indians are -116, which is up slightly from the opening number, while I made the Reds -108.

Milwaukee at Houston: Peacock opened -145 and the line has dropped all the way down to -116 even though Houston is getting 70% of the wagers. I have Houston -175.

Washington at White Sox: The Nats are -190, which is close to the opening number and I have them -110.

Dodgers at Angels: This one also opened late and the Dodgers are -155, while I have the Angels favored due to Maeda’s struggles on the road this season.

Record 2-1 +2.18

END OF JUNE 11 PICKS

A slightly smaller slate of games on the diamond tonight, with some teams having the traditional travel day. A bit of a slow start to the MLB season for me, although that isn’t all that unusual, as numbers typically begin to get a little better as the season goes on.

Arizona at Philadelphia: The Phillies opened -140 and the line has dropped to -135 in a slight reverse move. I made the Phillies -170, as Clarke hasn’t been that impressive in his couple of road starts.

St. Louis at Miami: Wacha and the Cardinals opened at -125 and the line has climbed to Cards -135 after 75% of the early bets came in on St. Louis. I have the Cardinals -167.

Pittsburgh at Atlanta: The Braves and Gausman opened -150 and the line has climbed a couple of cents on pretty mixed betting. I have Atlanta -105.

Cubs at Colorado: The Rockies and Marquez opened -140 over Darvish and the Cubs, but Chicago has been getting the majority of the wagers in this one, with the line dropping a few cents. I have Chicago as slight favorites, as Marquez has a few poor home starts this season.

Texas at Boston: Sale and the Red Sox opened -230 and the line is now up to -250 with the Sox getting close to 65% of the wagers in the game. Sale hasn’t been very good at home this season, while Minor has pitched decent on the road. Have to take the Rangers +220 as a value play, as I have them favored slightly in this one due to the performances of the two starters, as the offenses have been pretty comparable.

Oakland at Tampa Bay: There’s no line on this one, even though Anderson and Morton have been listed as the starters for a while now. I made Tampa Bay -130 in this one.

Mets at Yankees: The Yankees opened -160 and the line has climbed to -190 and higher at a few places with more than two-thirds of the wagers coming in on the Yankees. I have Tanaka -150 over Vargas.

Washington at White Sox: The White Sox still haven’t listed a starting pitcher for this one, while Sanchez is expected to start for the Nationals.

Dodgers at Angeles: The Dodgers and Ryu opened -150 and the line has hit -170 at the majority of sportsbooks. I have the Dodgers -180 in this one.

END OF JUNE 10 PICKS

A split in our season debut in MLB on Saturday, winning the side and dropping the total, so we’ll get right to today’s slate of games.

Cincinnati at Philadelphia: The Phillies opened -140 and the line has dropped a few cents at the majority of sportsbooks even though the Phillies are getting the bulk of the wagers. I have the Phils -115.

Atlanta at Miami: The Braves moved from -140 to -135 even with 80% of the early wagers. I maade Atlanta -155.

Colorado at Mets: The Mets opened -200 and the line is down to -170 with Colorado getting the majority of the wagers. I have the Mets -115.

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee: The Brewers have climbed to -190 after opening at -165, while I made Milwaukee -155.

St. Louis at Cubs: The Cubbies opened -150 and the line is now up to Chicago -160 after two-thirds of the early wagers came in on New York. I made Chicago -157.

Dodgers at San Francisco: The Dodgers opened -165 and the line has dropped to -150 with Los Angeles getting the majority of the wagers in the game. I made the Dodgers -170.

Washington at San Diego: The Nationals are settling in around -145 to -150 in this one and I have Sreasburg -150 over Perdomo, which looks to be the starting match-up in this one.

Tampa Bay at Boston: The Rays opened -125 and the line is now down to -108 after the Rays received 60% of the early wagers. I have Boston -150, so will take a shot on the Red Sox -102 in this one after they were thumped 9-2 on Saturday.

Minnesota at Detroit: The Twins opened -240 and the line is still hovering in that vicinity, while I made Minnesota -300.

New York at Cleveland: The Indians opened -135 and the line has dropped to -125 with the Yanks getting a small majority of the wagers. I have the Yanks -135.

Baltimore at Houston: The Astros opened -205 and are still right around that number, while I made it -195.

Chicago at Kansas City: The Royals opened -130 and are still there, while I have Kansas City -160.

Oakland at Texas: The A’s have climbed from -160 to -180 and I have Oakland at -235.

Seattle at Angels: Late pitching change for the Angels to Suarez and I’ll just pass on this one.

Arizona at Toronto: The Diamondbacks opened -150 and the line dropped to -140 with Arizona getting the majority of the wagers. I have Arizona -200 in this one.

END OF JUNE 9 PICKS

It’s that time of year, and we’ll slowly be phasing MLB into the picture, with the NBA and NHL winding down. Still, a number of games that are listing the dreaded “Undecided” for starting pitcher, so we’ll take a look at the games that are on the board.

Cincinnati at Philadelphia: The Phillies opened -135 and we really haven’t seen a whole lot of movement despite 70% of the wagers on the home team. I made Pivetta -120 over Tanner Roark.

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee: Davies and the Brewers opened -150 and the line has inched upwards a little bit and is right around -155 at the majority of sportsbooks who have the game posted. I made the Brewers -175.

Atlanta at Miami: The Braves opened -155 and we’ve seen line movement towards the Marlins, as the line has dropped to -142 even though Atlanta is getting three-quarters of the wagers. I have Teheran -250, but not about to lay those types of odds, especially considering the reverse move.

St. Louis at Chicago: This one opened -110 in both directions and has now dropped to -105 both ways after the move from overnight lines to game lines. I have the Cubs -180 so will go ahead and take Chicago -105 for today’s play.

Los Angeles at San Francisco: The Dodgers opened -190 and have been bet all the way up to LAD -240 with Hill and Samardzija the starting pitchers. I have Los Angeles -230.

Colorado at New York Mets: This one opened -110 in both directions on the overnight line and now the Mets are -112 after getting a little less than 40% of the overnight wagers. I have Colorado -108.

Washington at San Diego: The Nats opened -135 and the line is now up to -155 after Washington received three-fourths of the wagers in the game. I have Washington -120 and will stay clear of a game I really wanted to take the Padres, but can’t quite pull the trigger.

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City: The White Sox are -135, which is right around the opening number, although Chicago has gotten more than 80% of the early wagers. Those who followed last year remember Giolito was our guy on the road, although he wasn’t quite as well at home. I have Chicago -155 here.

Baltimore at Houston: The Astros are -240, which is at the opening number, and I have them -165, in a game I’ll just skip over.

New York Yankees at Cleveland: The Yankees and Sabathia have moved from -130 to -138 after getting two-thirds of the wagers. I have New York -180.

Arizona at Toronto: The Diamondbacks opened -145 and the line is down to -135 with 80% of the early wagers on Greinke. I have Arizona -195 over Sanchez, but will stay clear.

 

 

 

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