The Delta Devils and Braves are set to face off at 8:30 ET on None. The Braves will host the game at Davey L. Whitney Complex in Lorman, MS. The odds for this Southwestern Athletic conference game currently have Alcorn State as the -18 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 131.5 points.


The Pick: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +18

This game will be played at Davey L. Whitney Complex at 8:30 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Braves.
  • Even though we have Alcorn State winning straight-up, we like Mississippi Valley State at +18.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Will Mississippi Valley State Make it Happen on the Road?

Mississippi Valley State is 1-28 this season and 1-14 in Southwestern Athletic Conference play. The Delta Devils are 0-20 on the road this season, and their average margin of defeat is -29.9 points per game. They have lost 20 straight games on the road.

As a team, Mississippi Valley State has been the underdog in all 28 of their games this season, and they are 1-27 in those games. Their lone win came at home, where they are 1-7 this season.

As the underdog, Mississippi Valley State has gone 11-17 vs. the spread this season. On the road, they are 8-12 ATS. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Delta Devils have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi Valley State games is 13-15, and today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (135.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 126 points.

The Mississippi Valley State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 69 points vs. UAPB. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.9% while connecting on 10 threes. Rayquan Brown led the team in scoring, putting up 39 points. Additionally, Donovan Sanders contributed 12 points for the Delta Devils.

Looking at the Mississippi Valley State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.9 points per game (307th). So far, the Mississippi Valley State defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.8 times per game (709th).

Can the Braves Hold Strong at Home?

Alcorn State comes into this game with a record of 12-17 and a six-game winning streak. So far, they have gone 10-4 in Southwestern Athletic Conference games and 2-13 in non-conference games.

At home, the Braves have gone 3-2 this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +3.2. They have won their last two games at home and are 6-4 in their last 10.

As the favorite this season, Alcorn State has an impressive ATS record of 8-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Braves have gone 8-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 3-2 this year and they have gone 5-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Alcorn State’s games is 14-12. The average over/under line in their games is 146.1 and their games have averaged 148.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 152 points per game and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-5.

In their recent matchup, the Alcorn State offense ended with 82 points against Texas Southern. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 44.4% and made 2 threes. One area that the Alcorn State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 66th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.

Currently, the Braves’ defense holds the 294th rank in the nation, allowing 77.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Alcorn State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Texas Southern knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 79 points.