Home NBA Free NBA Picks Minnesota Timberwolves at Toronto Raptors Betting Pick 02/10/20

Minnesota Timberwolves at Toronto Raptors Betting Pick 02/10/20

The Minnesota Timberwolves (16-35) will try to put an end to the 14-game winning streak of Toronto when they travel to Scotiabank Arena to go head-to-head against the Raptors (39-14). Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020, and it can be seen on CTV Sportsnet Toronto.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Toronto Raptors ATS Preview

The Timberwolves had no trouble getting past the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game, 142-115, despite being 9.5-point underdogs. With 22 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists, Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns had a good outing. Minnesota played a nearly flawless game. They had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.684 (above their season average of 0.506) and a turnover percentage of 10.4 (better than their season average of 12.7). For those same stats, Los Angeles had marks of 0.523 and 13.1, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 257 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 232.5.

In the Raptors’ last matchup, they slipped past the Brooklyn Nets, 119-118, but they were unable to cover as 6-point favorites. Toronto received a boost from Fred VanVleet, who was the team’s leading scorer with 29 points on 11-for-20 shooting. Toronto dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 12.2) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 21.9). Brooklyn was 8.1 and 27.1, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams collectively scored 237 points, which was well over the projected point total of 218.5.

Toronto could dominate on the defensive side of the ball as they battle against one of the worst offenses in the NBA. The Raptors currently rank second in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.503), while Minnesota is 26th in effective field goal percentage (0.509).

Of Minnesota’s 51 games, 28 have finished over the projected point total, while 29 of Toronto’s 53 games have finished over the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Raptors have a significant advantage. They are 39-14 SU and 29-23-1 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 16-35 SU and 18-31-2 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 234 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 224. The Raptors won 122-112, covering as 3.5-point favorites. Toronto’s 0.588 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Minnesota, who had a rate of 0.479. VanVleet scored a game-high 29 points.

Timberwolves vs. Raptors Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Raptors rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while the Timberwolves rank 20th (49.3).

Minnesota ranks 10th in rebounds per game (45.7) while Toronto ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).

Minnesota blocks 6.0 opponent shots per game, which is ranked fourth in the league. Toronto ranks 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).

Minnesota averages 23.7 assists per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Toronto ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.3).

On the road, Minnesota is 12-12-1 ATS with 14 overs and 11 unders.

At home, Toronto is 15-12 ATS with 17 overs and 10 unders.

When allowing less than 100 points, Toronto is 13-3 and Minnesota is 2-1.

The Timberwolves are 15-28 when they score over 100 points, while the Raptors are 37-9.

The Timberwolves average 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Raptors rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).

Minnesota averages 39.5 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the league. Toronto ranks 29th in three pointers allowed per game (38.6).

The Raptors rank third in fast break points per game (18.3) while the Timberwolves rank 27th (10.1).

The Raptors average 8.8 steals per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 13th in steals allowed per game (7.6).

Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.1) while Minnesota ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).

Bettings Trends:

Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Minnesota is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 6.5 for the season.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 121.2 points per game (9.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.2 points per game (5.7 above their season average).

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