Home NBA Free NBA Picks Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

The Orlando Magic (26-32), the NBA’s top scoring defense, will go head-to-head with the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-40) at Amway Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 236 points with Orlando opening as a 7.5-point favorite. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic Odds Preview

The Timberwolves edged the Miami Heat in their last contest, 129-126, despite being 12-point underdogs. D’Angelo Russell was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 9-for-18 shooting. The Timberwolves forced 21 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.610 (above their season average of 0.509). The two teams combined to put up 255 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 235.

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In the Magic’s last game, they covered the 3-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks, 130-120. Orlando was lifted by Aaron Gordon, who contributed 25 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Orlando dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 22.1) and a turnover percentage of 6.7 (better than their season average of 10.8). For those same stats, Atlanta had marks of 18.8 and 7.9, respectively. Combined, the two squads scored 250 points, which came in well over the O/U total of 230.5.

It will be a matchup of contrasting tempos as the fast-breaking Timberwolves will look to push the more methodical Magic. The Timberwolves currently rank first in possessions per game while the Magic are 29th.

Of Minnesota’s 57 games, 33 have finished over the projected point total, while 30 of Orlando’s 58 games have finished under the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Magic have a sizable advantage. They are 26-32 SU and 25-29-4 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 17-40 SU and 20-35-2 ATS.

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Timberwolves, it’s been Malik Beasley, who has averaged 22 points,5.2 rebounds, while the Magic have received solid contributions from Gordon (19 points,9.8 rebounds,5.8 assists).

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams, after splitting two games last season. In the most recent contest, the Magic won 122-112. Orlando did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (21-23; 91.3 percent). Minnesota, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.0 vs. 27.0).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Orlando Magic Odds Prediction

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

Orlando averages 5.9 blocks per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).

Orlando ranks 18th in rebounds per game (44.7) while Minnesota ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (47.4).

The Magic rank third in fast break points allowed per game (11.8) while the Timberwolves rank 12th (12.8).

Minnesota is 14-14-1 ATS on the road, while Orlando is 10-17-2 ATS at home.

Bettings Trends:

Orlando is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five outings, Minnesota is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Magic have outscored opponents by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Orlando has been defeated by an average of 1.5 points.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 118.6 points per game (5.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 127.0 points per game (10.1 above their season average).

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