Home NBA Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick 03/03/20

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick 03/03/20

The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-42) travel to New Orleans to play the Pelicans (26-34) in a game that will likely be up-tempo. New Orleans opened as an 11.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 247.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.

Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans Free Preview

The last time the Timberwolves played, they were blown out by the Dallas Mavericks, 111-91. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. Minnesota’s Juancho Hernangomez contributed 12 points and 12 rebounds in the contest. Dallas had a better free throw rate (0.128 vs. 0.061). Minnesota, meanwhile, held the Mavericks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 23.9). The two teams combined to score 202 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 243.5.

The Pelicans were unable to cover as 2-point favorites in their 122-114 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers in their last outing. With 19 points, nine rebounds and nine assists, New Orleans’ Lonzo Ball played well. Los Angeles held the Pelicans to an effective field goal percentage of 0.458 (below their season average of 0.540). New Orleans, on the other hand, did a great job of getting and making free throws (27-33; 81.8 percent). The two clubs collectively scored 236 points, which was just under the projected point total of 236.5.

There should be plenty of transition action in this showdown that showcases a pair of the NBA’s more fast-breaking teams. New Orleans currently ranks fourth in possessions per game (106.4) and Minnesota is first (107.0).

Games including these teams have a tendency to finish over the projected point total. Minnesota games have gone over 57.6 percent of the time, while 55.0 percent of New Orleans games have finished over. The Pelicans hold a substantial advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 26-34 SU and 28-28-4 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 17-42 SU and 20-37-2 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 206 points in that game, which was well under the projected point total of 230. The Pelicans won 107-99, covering as 3-point underdogs. The Pelicans played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.523. The Timberwolves were 21.4 and 0.432, respectively, for those same stats. Brandon Ingram was the game’s top overall scorer with 34 points.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Free Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

New Orleans ranks fifth in fast break points per game (17.1) while Minnesota ranks 25th (11.0).

Minnesota ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (48.5) while New Orleans ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.0).

The Timberwolves average 40.0 three pointers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 15th in three pointers allowed per game (33.7).

Minnesota is 14-15-1 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 14-16 ATS at home.

Bettings Trends:

New Orleans is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Minnesota is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.

The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 4.4 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 1.1 points.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 128.0 points per game (10.8 above their season average).

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