Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Odds Pick 01/07/20


The Memphis Grizzlies (15-22) will be at home in FedExForum when they square off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (14-21). Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 7, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Free Preview

The last time the Timberwolves played, they were victorious over the Cleveland Cavaliers, 118-103, comfortably covering as 6-point favorites. Gorgui Dieng led Minnesota in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-10 shooting. Minnesota played a nearly flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 13.7 (worse than their season average of 12.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.568 (above their season average of 0.498). For those same stats, Cleveland was 17.8 and 0.524, respectively. The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which was over the projected point total of 217.

The Grizzlies come in on a high note after topping the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 121-114, as 7-point underdogs. With 30 points on 12-for-16 shooting, Jonas Valanciunas was Memphis’ high scorer. Memphis’ effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Phoenix. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.651 (above their season average of 0.530), while the Suns posted a mark of 0.484 (below the 0.534 mark opponents have averaged against Memphis this season). The two clubs collectively scored 235 points, which finished just under the projected point total of 236.

The physical Minnesota offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Timberwolves rank eighth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.214, while Memphis is among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 27th-ranked FTA rate of 0.226).

Of Minnesota’s 35 games, 18 have finished over the O/U total, while 20 of Memphis’ 37 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (14-21 for Minnesota; 15-22 for Memphis), but the Grizzlies have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Memphis is 18-18-1 ATS, while the Timberwolves are 15-18-2.

Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Timberwolves, it’s been Robert Covington, who has averaged 15 points,8.6 rebounds,2.0 steals,1.6 blocks, while the Grizzlies have gotten solid contributions from Jaren Jackson Jr. (19 points,6.6 rebounds,2.0 blocks).

These two teams have already met twice this season, with the Grizzlies winning both. In the most recent matchup, the Timberwolves lost 115-107, unable to cover as 12-point favorites. Karl-Anthony Towns put up 21 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. The two teams combined to score 222 points, which was 9 points below the projected point total of 231 points. The Grizzlies played a nearly flawless game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.1 and an effective field goal percentage of 0.490. For those same stats, the Timberwolves had marks of 13.7 and 0.453, respectively.

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

Minnesota averages 6.4 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Memphis ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).

Minnesota averages 8.6 steals per game, which ranks second in the league. Memphis ranks 18th in steals allowed per game (7.8).

The Timberwolves rank third in three pointers attempted per game (39.2) while the Grizzlies rank 17th (32.8).

Memphis is 9-10 ATS at home, while Minnesota is 11-7-1 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Memphis is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Minnesota is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 6.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has lost by an average of 4.0 points.

During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 106.2 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.4 points per game (13.9 below their season average).


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