The Milwaukee Bucks (42-7) look to continue their five-game road winning streak in a matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans (20-30) at Smoothie King Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 245 points with Milwaukee opening as a 6-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020.
Milwaukee Bucks at New Orleans Pelicans Free Preview
The last time the Bucks played, they had no trouble getting past the Phoenix Suns, 129-108, comfortably covering as 12.5-point favorites. Khris Middleton led Milwaukee in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-15 shooting. The Bucks held the Suns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.419 (below their season average of 0.526) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 32.0 (above their season average of 20.8). The two teams combined to score 237 points, which was just over the projected point total of 235.
The Pelicans are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 5-point underdogs in their 117-109 loss to the Houston Rockets in their last contest. Brandon Ingram was New Orleans’ high scorer with 28 points on 10-for-23 shooting. Houston had a turnover percentage of 5.8 (better than their season average of 12.3). New Orleans, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 23.7). Combined, the two squads scored 226 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 252.
There should be plenty of transition action in this showdown that showcases a pair of the NBA’s more up-tempo teams. New Orleans ranks fifth in possessions per game (106.2) and Milwaukee is first (106.5). Additionally, the second-ranked offense of the Bucks (offensive efficiency of 112.7) will try to exploit the 23rd-ranked defense of the Pelicans (defensive efficiency of 110.3).
Of Milwaukee’s 49 games, 25 have finished over the O/U total, while 28 of New Orleans’ 50 games have finished over the O/U total. The Bucks come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 42-7 SU and 27-22 ATS, while the Pelicans are 20-30 SU and 24-23-3 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Bucks, it’s been Middleton, who has averaged 27 points,6.2 rebounds,5.8 assists, while the Pelicans have received solid contributions from Zion Williamson (19 points,7.8 rebounds).
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 239 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 232.5. The Bucks won 127-112, covering as 9-point favorites. Milwaukee had a much better turnover percentage (12.6 vs. 17.7). New Orleans, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (18-22; 81.8 percent). Eric Bledsoe had a standout performance in the victory, producing 29 points and six assists.
Milwaukee Bucks at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
The Bucks average 19.0 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. The Pelicans rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
Milwaukee ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (7.2) while New Orleans ranks 25th (8.4).
Milwaukee ranks eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.6) while New Orleans ranks 27th (18.9).
Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while New Orleans ranks 10th (5.3).
Milwaukee is 13-10 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 13-12 ATS at home.
The Bucks have 12 unders and 11 overs in 23 road games.
The Pelicans have 14 overs and 11 unders in 25 home games.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, New Orleans is 3-0 and Milwaukee is 11-0.
The Bucks are 42-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Pelicans are 20-27.
The Bucks average 51.7 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.5) while New Orleans ranks 28th (52.6).
The Pelicans average 38.0 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Bucks rank last in three pointers allowed per game (38.6).
The Bucks average 26.3 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 15th in assists allowed per game (24.2).
Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while New Orleans ranks 25th (14.0).
New Orleans is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Pelicans have outscored opponents by an average of 8.4 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has lost by an average of 2.0 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 124.4 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (5.8 above their season average).