Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets ATS Odds Pick 01/24/20

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The Charlotte Hornets (15-30) and the Milwaukee Bucks (39-6) go head-to-head at AccorHotels Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219 points with Milwaukee set as a 13.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 3 p.m. ET on Friday, January 24, 2020, and it can be seen on NBATV.

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The Bucks were victorious over the Chicago Bulls in their last matchup, 111-98, but were unable to cover as 15.5-point favorites. With 28 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way for Milwaukee with his third triple-double of the year. Milwaukee’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Chicago. The Bucks had a rate of 0.656 (above their season average of 0.556), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.446 (below their season average of 0.507). The two teams combined to put up 209 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 225.5.

The last time the Hornets played, they were handily beaten by the Orlando Magic, 106-83, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Malik Monk led Charlotte in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-13 shooting. Orlando forced the Hornets into a turnover percentage of 17.5 (above their season average of 13.0). Charlotte, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (15-20; 75.0 percent). Combined, the two squads scored 189 points, which came in well under the O/U total of 205.

Charlotte might struggle to put up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency, while the Hornets rank 23rd in offensive efficiency. It will also be a matchup of opposite styles as the up-tempo Bucks rank first in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Hornets rank 30th.

Of Milwaukee’s 45 games, 23 have finished under the O/U total, while 23 of Charlotte’s 45 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Bucks have a clear advantage. They are 39-6 SU and 25-20 ATS, while the Hornets are 15-30 SU and 21-22-2 ATS.

These two clubs have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 233 points, which was over the projected point total of 226. The Bucks won 137-96, covering as 14-point favorites. The Bucks dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 6.4 and a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.667. The Hornets were 10.3 and 0.441, respectively, for those same stats. Devonte’ Graham was the game’s top overall scorer with 24 points.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Charlotte Hornets Free Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Bucks rank first in fast break points per game (18.8) while the Hornets rank 24th (11.7).

Milwaukee ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Charlotte ranks 19th (13.3).

Charlotte averages 34.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Milwaukee ranks last in three pointers allowed per game (39.0).

Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Charlotte ranks 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).

Milwaukee is 11-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Charlotte is 3-0.

When reaching 100 points, the Bucks are 39-6 and the Hornets are 13-16.

The Bucks rank third in blocks per game (6.3) while the Hornets rank 22nd (4.3).

Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.7) while Charlotte ranks 27th (42.6).

The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.3) while the Hornets rank 26th (51.6).

The Bucks rank 16th in steals per game (7.7) while the Hornets rank 27th (6.6).

Milwaukee ranks fifth in assists per game (26.0) while Charlotte ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.0).

Bettings Trends:

Charlotte is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its last five outings, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 13.0, up from 7.2 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 121.2 points per game (1.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (2.5 below their season average).

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