The Big Ten Tourney contest between the Michigan Wolverines (19-12, 10-10 Big 10) and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (20-11, 11-9 Big 10) will take place at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Michigan is a 2.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 135 points. Action starts at 12 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview
In the Wolverines’ last outing, they lost to the No. 9 Maryland Terrapins, 83-70. They were not able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. Zavier Simpson put together a solid performance for Michigan, finishing with 13 points, seven rebounds and six assists. Maryland’s 25.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Michigan, who had a rate of 14.8. The Terrapins’ mark was below their season average of 31.7, while the Wolverines’ was below their season average of 25.5. The two teams combined to put up 153 points, which finished over the projected point total of 140.
The Scarlet Knights come in on a high note after edging the Purdue Boilermakers in their last contest, 71-68, as 5-point underdogs. Rutgers was lifted by Geo Baker, who led the team in scoring with 19 points on 8-for-14 shooting. The Scarlet Knights held the Boilermakers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.392 (below their season average of 0.480) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.9 (below their season average of 35.4). Combined, the two teams scored 139 points, which was over the O/U total of 128.
Rutgers may have difficulty getting to the charity stripe in this battle. The Scarlet Knights rank 317th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.187, while Michigan ranks 44th in FTA rate allowed (0.183). Moreover, the sharp-shooting offense of the Wolverines ranks 48th in effective field goal percentage (0.528), while the Scarlet Knights are 13th-best in the nation at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.447).
Of Michigan’s 31 games, 17 have finished over the O/U total, while 16 of Rutgers’ 30 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have solid straight up (SU) records (19-12 for Michigan; 20-11 for Rutgers), but the Scarlet Knights have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Rutgers is 19-11 ATS, while the Wolverines are 17-14.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Prediction
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Rutgers, ATS Winner – Rutgers, O/U – Under
The Wolverines rank 46th in assists per game (14.6) while the Scarlet Knights rank 164th (12.7).
Michigan is eighth in the NCAA with 4.6 steals allowed per game while Rutgers is 37th with 5.4 steals allowed per game.
Michigan ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (17.3) while Rutgers ranks 233rd (23.6).
The Scarlet Knights average 40.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the nation. The Wolverines rank 168th in rebounds allowed per game (35.3).
Michigan averages 4.5 blocks per game, which ranks 33rd in the NCAA. Rutgers ranks 155th in blocks allowed per game (3.7).
Rutgers is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Michigan is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Scarlet Knights have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Rutgers has defeated opponents by an average of 7.3 points.
During their last five games, the Wolverines have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (4.1 above their season average).