Michigan State vs. Rutgers College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19

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The Michigan State Spartans and Rutgers Scarlet Knights are ready to face off on the turf at SHI Stadium. This daytime game is scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and FS1 will televise the action.

Michigan State at Rutgers Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Michigan State is the heavy road favorite and is currently giving up 20.5 points to Rutgers. The over/under is set at 43 points. If one team can create a bunch of points early, it will probably generate a solid in-game betting scenario.

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Early action has moved toward the under, as the game’s O/U was set initially at 45.

The Spartans are 4-6 straight up (SU), including 2-5 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 2-8 SU overall and 0-7 SU in conference play. The underwhelming Spartans are 2-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 20.4 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-5.

The Scarlet Knights have lost 0.5 units this season. They’re 3-7 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4-1.

The Spartans fell to Michigan 44-10 in a thumping where the passing attack could’ve been sharper as Brian Lewerke completed only 17 passes on 30 attempts for 166 yards, one score and two interceptions. Cody White (six receptions, 78 yards) and Julian Barnett (three catches, 29 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Rutgers just fell 56-21 to Ohio State. Johnny Langan completed 12-of-26 passes for 121 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Isaih Pacheco (56 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running attack while Aaron Young (three receptions, 2 yards) and Bo Melton (three catches, 57 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Michigan State has run the ball on 49.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Rutgers has a rush percentage of 62.6 percent. The Spartans have run for 123 yards/game (including 109 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Scarlet Knights are putting up 134 rushing yards per contest (112 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

It appears that the Spartans might own an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 3.6 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Scarlet Knights have tallied 3.5 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Spartans have logged 228 yards/game in the air overall (209 per game against conference opposition) and have 13 passing scores so far. The Scarlet Knights have put up 142 pass yards per game (81.7 in the Big 10) and have seven total pass TDs.

Defensively, Michigan State should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 106 yards and pass for 232 yards per game. Rutgers has allowed 200.8 rushing yards per game and 247 to opponents in the air. The Spartans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.98 to opposing QBs, while the Scarlet Knights have given up a staggering 8.52 ANY/A.

Lewerke is up to 1,927 pass yards this season. He’s connected on 164-of-292 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Lewerke’s got a 5.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.04 over the last two games.

In the home locker room, Johnny Langan has tallied 533 yards, three TDs and seven INTs. Langan’s ANY/A sits at a terrible 1.64 for the year and 2.40 over his past two games.

When these two schools faced one another last year, Michigan State emerged victorious by a final score of 14-10.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Rutgers, ATS Winner – Rutgers, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Over/Under for Michigan State’s previous game was 44. The over cashed in the team’s 44-10 defeat to Michigan.

As a team, Michigan State has averaged 3.7 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 4.1 over its last two.

Rutgers has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and only 3.2 over its past two.

Rutgers has lost seven fumbles this season while Michigan State has lost eight.

Over its last three matchups, Michigan State is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Rutgers’ last outing was set at 63. The over cashed in the team’s 56-21 defeat to Ohio State.

In its last three matchups, Rutgers is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Rutgers has lost nine of its last 10 games SU, with a 10-point win over Liberty on October 26th representing the only victory over that stretch.

The Spartans offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have put up six such plays.

The Michigan State defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Rutgers has given up 12 such plays.

The Michigan State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Rutgers has created 10 such runs.

The Spartans defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have given up 15 such runs.

The Michigan State D has sacked opposing QBs 29 times this season. Rutgers has registered just 12 sacks.

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