Miami (OH) vs. No. 6 Ohio State NCAA Football Betting Pick 9/21/19


The Miami (OH) RedHawks (+39) aren’t traveling far to face the No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium. The Saturday afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and BTN has the TV rights.

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Miami (OH) vs. No. 6 Ohio State Betting Odds 9/21/2019

Miami (OH) is a heavy road dog here and is currently getting 39 points from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 59 points. There should be multiple good live betting possibilities in this game.

This game’s total was placed initially at 60, but the under is receiving most of the early sharp action.

The RedHawks are 1-2 straight up (SU) while the Buckeyes are 3-0 SU. The RedHawks are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-1.

The Buckeyes have gained 2.0 units so far. They’re 2-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-1.

The RedHawks are looking to bounce back after a 35-13 defeat to Cincinnati last week where Brett Gabbert completed only 10-of-18 passes for 143 yards. Dominique Robinson (two receptions, 46 yards) and Johnson (two catches, 40 yards) shared the receiving duties.

The Ohio State Buckeyes just earned a lopsided 51-10 win over Indiana. The defense held its territory in the victory, limiting the Hoosiers to only 215 passing yards and 42 rushing yards. Peyton Hendershot was a bright spot in the loss, posting 70 yards on four catches for Indiana. For Ohio State, Justin Fields completed 14-of-24 passes for 199 yards and three touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins (193 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) and Master Teague III (106 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the win while Binjimen Victor (four receptions, 66 yards) and Chris Olave (three catches, 70 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

Each team has a nearly identical (63-38) run-pass ratio on the season. The RedHawks have produced 104 rush yards/game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Buckeyes are totaling 274 rush yards per contest and have nine total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Buckeyes could own an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their running backs has generated 6.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 1.7 to opponents. The RedHawks have registered 3.0 yards per carry while allowing 4.2 YPC to opponents.

The RedHawks have logged 163 yards/contest in the air overall and have two passing scores so far. The Buckeyes have produced 228 pass yards per game and have nine total pass TDs.

Defensively, Miami (OH) has let opponents rush for an average of 174 yards and pass for 215 yards per game. Ohio State has been a bit better than that, allowing 57.0 rushing yards per game and 195.7 to opponents in the air. The Buckeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.44 to opponents, while the RedHawks have given up a 6.02 ANY/A.

Gabbert is up to 329 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 27-of-45 attempts with two passing touchdowns and one interception. Gabbert’s got a 5.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.35 over the last two games.

The RedHawks have tried to control the pace by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Tyre Shelton (43 rush yards, one rush TD) and Davion Johnson (54 rush yards, 63 receiving yards) have delivered in the Miami (OH) offense.

In the other locker room, Justin Fields has recorded 433 yards, seven TDs and zero INTs. Fields’ ANY/A sits at 10.81 for the season and 10.08 over his past two outings.

The Buckeyes also prefer to leverage their backfield. Binjimen Victor (131 receiving yards, one TD) has stepped up lately, but J.K. Dobbins (284 rush yards, two rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Master Teague III (155 rush yards, one rush TD) have seen a lot of action lately.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio State Buckeyes NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Ohio State, ATS Winner – Miami (OH), O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

Miami (OH) has rushed for 3.2 yards per carry over its past two games.

Ohio State has averaged 6.7 yards per carry over its last two.

The Ohio State offense has lost three fumbles this season while Miami (OH) has lost two.

The RedHawks offense has registered one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Buckeyes have accounted for zero such plays.

The Miami (OH) defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Ohio State has given up two such plays.

The Miami (OH) offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ohio State has created seven such runs.

Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The RedHawks have given up 16 running plays of 10+ yards while the Buckeyes have given up four such plays.

The Ohio State defense has registered 14 sacks on the year while Miami (OH) has just six.

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