Miami (OH) vs. Ball State College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19


In a battle of two teams that like to run the football, Cardinals of Ball State (-3) are gearing up to welcome their MAC counterpart Miami (OH) RedHawks to Scheumann Stadium. This afternoon game will begin at 12:00 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network will broadcast the action.

Miami (OH) vs. Ball State Betting Odds 11/29/2019

Ball State is favored by 3 points in this MAC game. The RedHawks are currently getting +120 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are -140. The over/under is set at 55 points, and on the surface it appears that there should be some good live betting opportunities for this game.

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The RedHawks are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 6-1 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinals are 4-7 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play. The RedHawks have recorded 4.5 units so far in 2019 and are 6-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.

The Cardinals are down 4.3 units this season. The team is 6-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-5.

Miami (OH) enters this matchup on a zero-game losing skid while Ball State has won each of its last zero. The RedHawks continue riding high after a 20-17 win over Akron last week. Brett Gabbert completed just 10-of-21 passes for 117 yards and two interceptions. Jaylon Bester (128 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and Tyre Shelton (87 yards on 15 carries, one TD) provided the ground attack while Jack Sorenson (three receptions, 46 yards) and Andrew Homer (two catches, 17 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

A week ago, Kent State got the victory against this Ball State crew by a score of 41-38. Drew Plitt completed 16-of-24 passes for 208 yards and one touchdown. Caleb Huntley (192 rushing yards on 30 attempts, two TDs) and Walter Fletcher (90 yards on 16 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Fletcher (four receptions, 74 yards, one TD) and Yo’Heinz Tyler (four catches, 61 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Miami (OH) has run the ball on 62.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ball State has an overall rush percentage of 59.1 percent. The RedHawks have produced 141 rush yards per game (including 166 per game against Mid-American opponents) and have 18 scores on the ground this year. The Cards are logging 216 rush yards per contest (267 in conference) and have 24 total rushing TDs.

The RedHawks have averaged 171 yards in the air overall (191 per game against conference opposition) and have nine passing scores so far. The Cards have put up 237 pass yards per outing (175.4 in the MAC) and have 21 total pass TDs.

Miami (OH) seems to possess an advantage in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 173 yards and pass for 192 yards per game. Ball State has allowed 186.2 rushing yards per game and 252.1 to opponents in the air. The RedHawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.18 to opposing QBs, while the Cards have given up a 6.02 ANY/A.

Gabbert is up to 1,626 passing yards this season, and has completed 124-of-235 attempts with six passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Gabbert has a 5.18 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.28 over the last two outings.

The RedHawks will likely try to maintain the clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Jaylon Bester (479 rush yards, eight rush TDs) and Tyre Shelton (443 rush yards, two rush TDs) have brought significant production to the Miami (OH) gameplan.

On the other sideline, Drew Plitt has tallied 2,333 yards, 18 TDs and six INTs. Plitt’s ANY/A stands at 6.93 for the season and 9.44 across his last two outings.

The Cards will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. Justin Hall (546 receiving yards, three TDs) has contributed lately, but Walter Fletcher (549 rush yards, five rush TDs, 261 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Caleb Huntley (1,035 rush yards, eight rush TDs) have gotten quite a few action recently.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 42-21 win for Miami (OH).

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Ball State Cardinals Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Miami (OH), ATS Winner – Miami (OH), O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The RedHawks offense has produced nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinals have put up seven such plays.

The Miami (OH) defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Ball State has given up eight such plays.

The Miami (OH) offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ball State has created 22 such runs.

The RedHawks defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cardinals have given up 17 such runs.

The Miami (OH) D has 32 sacks on the year while Ball State has just 13.

Miami (OH) has produced 4.7 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.

Ball State has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.3 over its last two.

Over its last three games, Ball State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Miami (OH)’s last game going into it was 45. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 victory over Akron.

Over its last three matches, Miami (OH) is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Ball State’s last game was set at 67. The over cashed in that 41-38 loss to Kent State.