Heading into game two of this National League matchup, the Reds (60-55, 29-29 home) will send Luke Weaver to the mound against the Marlins (58-56, 24-32 away) and Braxton Garrett. Check out my pick for today’s Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds game in Cincinnati.


The Pick: Cincinnati Reds +115

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 8th.


  • The Marlins have lost their four most recent games as the underdog.
  • So far, the Reds are 3-1 against the Marlins this season.
  • Opponents are hitting just .181 against Luke Weaver in his last two starts.


Currently, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East on an overall record of 58-56. Their season-long runline record is 51-63, which includes going 27-29 vs. the runline on the road. For the season, Miami has won less than half of their series away from home (7-10). The Marlins’ over/under record this season comes in at 52-59.

Braxton Garrett is set to make his 23rd appearance of the season today, with a 5-3 record and 4.13 ERA. He has allowed an OBP of .297 while striking out 122 batters and maintaining a WHIP of 1.20. On the road, Garrett’s ERA stands at 2.68, compared to 6.33 when pitching at home.

Braxton Garrett recently faced the Phillies, surrendering three runs and six hits in five innings of work. Despite not earning a decision, the Marlins emerged victorious 9-8.

This season, the Marlins are 24th in the league at 4.1 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .245 (11th) leading to 3.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 2.6 walks per game compared to 7 strikeouts. Miami’s on-base percentage of .319 has them 12th in the MLB.

The Marlins have seen Bryan De La Cruz lead the team in hits over their last five games, with a .267 batting average. On the season, De La Cruz has maintained a .267 average and has driven in 58 runs.


Entering game 116 of their season, the Reds are 1.5 games out in the NL Central and are in 2nd place. So far, their overall series record stands at 17-15-4. Cincinnati’s road winning percent is currently 54.4% (31-26) compared to 50.0% at home (29-29).

Luke Weaver brings an overall record of 2-4 and ERA of 6.98 into tonight’s game. On the road, he has gone 1-4 with an ERA of 6.66 in 11 appearances. At home, he has been able to notch a 1-0 record and ERA of 9.35. His season WHIP stands at 1.64, accompanied by a .301 batting average allowed to opponents. Teams have managed a .562 slugging percentage against Weaver thus far in 2023.

Luke Weaver will attempt to rebound from a truncated performance against the Cubs. The Reds were defeated 5-3, and Weaver allowed four runs in three innings of action.

In their ten most recent games, the Reds have put together a batting average of only .231, placing them 23rd compared to the rest of the league. At 4.9 runs per game, Cincinnati is 6th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .250 and OPS of .745 which has them 10th in baseball.

TJ Friedl has been a consistent force in the Reds’ lineup this season, boasting a .284 batting average and .453 slugging percentage. Over the past ten games, Friedl has been particularly impressive, leading Cincinnati with hits and hitting at a .290 clip.