Home NBA Miami Heat vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds Pick 02/09/20

Miami Heat vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Odds Pick 02/09/20

The Portland Trail Blazers (24-29) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they square off against the Miami Heat (34-17). Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 9, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Sun.

Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

In the Heat’s last outing, they were beaten by the Sacramento Kings, 105-97, despite being 1-point favorites. Bam Adebayo had a good game for Miami, leading both teams in scoring with 26 points on 12-for-16 shooting. Sacramento forced the Heat into a turnover percentage of 18.5 (above their season average of 12.8). Miami, on the other hand, had a much better free throw rate (0.221 vs. 0.073). The two teams combined to score 202 points, which finished well under the O/U total of 219.5.

Although the Trail Blazers were defeated by the Utah Jazz in their last game, 117-114, they did cover as 10.5-point underdogs. Damian Lillard was the game’s leading scorer with 42 points on 16-for-30 shooting. Utah did a fantastic job of making free throws (17-24; 70.8 percent). Portland, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.0 vs. 12.9). The two squads collectively scored 231 points, which finished just over the projected point total of 230.5.

Portland should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Portland ranks third in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent), while Miami forces the sixth-fewest turnovers (12.7 percent).

Of Miami’s 51 games, 30 have finished over the O/U total, while 29 of Portland’s 53 games have finished over the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Heat have a significant advantage. They are 34-17 SU and 27-22-2 ATS, while the Trail Blazers are 24-29 SU and 22-29-2 ATS.

These two teams have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined for 233 points, well over the projected point total of 215.5. The Heat won 122-111, covering as 5-point favorites. The Heat dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 and an extraordinary effective field goal percentage of 0.622. For those same stats, the Trail Blazers put up marks of 18.2 and 0.534, respectively. In the loss, Lillard recorded a double-double with 34 points and 12 assists.

Heat vs. Trail Blazers Betting Prediction

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while Miami ranks 25th (18.2).

Portland ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (34.0) while Miami ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (37.8).

The Trail Blazers rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Heat rank 15th (7.6).

Portland is 10-14-1 ATS at home, while Miami is 11-14-1 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Portland is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Miami is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Trail Blazers have outscored opponents by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has been defeated by an average of 1.5 points.

During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average).

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