Home NBA Free NBA Picks Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 02/10/20

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds Pick 02/10/20

The Golden State Warriors (12-41) will be at home in the Chase Center when they square off against the Miami Heat (34-18). Action gets underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Sun.

Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors Free Preview

The Heat were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers in their last contest, 115-109, despite being 1-point favorites. Miami’s Jae Crowder had 18 points and 11 rebounds in the game. Portland did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (16-22; 72.7 percent). Miami, meanwhile, held the Trail Blazers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 22.0). The two teams combined to score 224 points, which finished over the O/U total of 219.5.

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In the Warriors’ last game, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 125-120, but they did cover as 14-point underdogs. Marquese Chriss led Golden State in scoring with 26 points on 12-for-15 shooting. Los Angeles did a fantastic job of making free throws (25-34; 73.5 percent). Golden State, on the other hand, forced the Lakers into a turnover percentage of 19.8 (above their season average of 12.8). Combined, the two teams scored 245 points, which was well over the O/U total of 224.5.

It might be a tough game for Golden State on the offensive glass. The Warriors rank 23rd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.7 percent), while Miami ranks third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.6 percent). Also, the upper-echelon offense of the Heat ranks fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.546), while the Warriors are third-worst in the league at effective field goal percentage allowed (0.550).

Of Miami’s 51 games that accepted bets, 30 have finished over the O/U total, while 28 of Golden State’s 53 games have finished under the O/U total. The Heat have the superior straight up (SU) record (34-18 vs. 12-41) and a narrow edge against the spread (ATS) (27-22-2 vs. 25-27-1).

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 227 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 208. The Heat won 122-105, covering as 12-point favorites. Miami out-rebounded Golden State. The Heat had more offensive rebounds (10 vs. five), defensive rebounds (39 vs. 26) and total rebounds (49 vs. 31). In the victory, Goran Dragic led all scorers with 20 points.

Heat at Warriors Betting Prediction

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Heat average 25.3 assists per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 28th in assists allowed per game (25.8).

Miami ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Golden State ranks 17th (5.1).

Golden State ranks ninth in points off turnovers (17.5 per game) while Miami ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed (18.2 per game).

Golden State ranks 24th in second chance points per game (12.2) while Miami ranks 26th (11.9).

On the road, Miami is 11-14-1 ATS with 14 overs, 11 unders and 1 push.

Golden State is 11-13-1 ATS at home with 14 unders and 11 overs.

In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Miami is 7-1 and Golden State is 5-2.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 12-26 and the Heat are 33-12.

The Heat rank 12th in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while the Warriors rank 25th (30.7).

Miami ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while Golden State ranks 27th (47.3).

The Heat rank second in fast break points allowed per game (11.6) while the Warriors rank 25th (14.5).

The Heat rank 25th in points in the paint per game (44.7) while the Warriors rank last (42.8).

Golden State ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while Miami ranks 22nd (7.1).

Bettings Trends:

Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its past five outings, Miami is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 8.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (0.3 above their season average).

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