The Miami Heat (-294) will take on the Detroit Pistons (+238) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Miami is currently 8th in the East with a record of 35-30, while Detroit is 14th in the East with a record of 12-53. The Heat are favored by 7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 213.5 points.

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET and can be seen on BSDE.


The Pick: Detroit Pistons +7.5

This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 112-108 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Terry Rozier finishing with Terry Rozier points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and knocking down 11 threes.

Can Miami Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

Miami is looking to end their 4-game losing streak today against the Pistons. The Heat are favored by 7.5 points and have gone 15-18 against the spread as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they are 25-11 straight-up.

The Heat’s ATS record for the season is 30-32, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 18-12 ATS compared to 12-20 ATS at home.

Miami’s O/U record for the season is 24-41, and their games have averaged 219.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 213.5, and the team has gone 4- straight games hitting the under.

In their last game, the Heat lost to the Nuggets by a score of 100-88. Miami was getting 3.5 points going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 217 points.

This season, the Heat are 35-30 overall, which has them in 8th place in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 23-17 and 11-3 against their division.

When it comes to scoring, the Miami Heat are 27th in the NBA at 110.2 points per game. Interestingly, they are better on the road (107.7 PPG) than at home (112.7 PPG).

So far this season, Miami has scored less than the NBA scoring average in 61.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league, averaging 96 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Heat are 22nd in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 27th in two-point shooting (52%). From beyond the arc, Miami is 8th in the league at 37%.

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 6th in the league at 109.8 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.2% and allowing 36.3% from beyond the arc.

Can the Pistons Lock in a Home Win?

Currently, the Pistons are 14th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 12-53. In the Central Division, they are in 5th place. In non-conference games, Detroit is 3-22 compared to 9-31 against the East.

Detroit has won two straight games and is 33-31 against the spread this season. As the underdog, they have an ATS record of 30-27 and are 16-16 ATS at home.

This season, the Pistons have been the underdog in 58 of their 65 games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 9-49, and they are 9-49 straight-up as the underdog. Today, they are getting 7.5 points.

In their most recent game, the Pistons defeated the Raptors by a score of 113-104. The O/U line for that game was 233 points, and Detroit was favored by 3.5 points.

On average, the Pistons’ games have finished with 232.9 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 213.5. This season, Detroit has an O/U record of 34-30-1.

When it comes to scoring, the Pistons have been below the NBA average in 67.7% of their games this season. They are 21st in the league in scoring at 112.4 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.1 points per game.

In terms of pace, Detroit is 7th in the NBA at 100.3 possessions per game. They are also 7th in two-point field goal attempts, hitting 53% of their shots inside the arc.

So far this season, the Pistons are 18th in field goal percentage at 47%. They have also struggled from beyond the arc, ranking 29th in three-point shooting at 35%.

Coming into today’s game, the Pistons’ defense is giving up an average of 120.5 points per contest. So far this season, the Pistons’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 1st in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 26.0 times per game vs. Detroit.