Home NBA Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Pick 02/24/20

Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Pick 02/24/20

The Cleveland Cavaliers (15-41) will be at home in Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse when they square off with the Miami Heat (36-20). Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 24, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Ohio.

Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free Preview

These two teams have met three times already this year, with the Heat winning all three. In the most recent contest, Nunn scored a game-high 24 points and the Heat beat the Cavaliers 124-105, covering as 13-point favorites. He also recorded eight assists. The two teams combined to score 229 points, which was 7 points above the projected point total of 222 points. The Heat’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Cavaliers. Miami had a rate of 14.6, while Cleveland posted a mark of 21.3.

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Of Miami’s 56 games, 33 have finished over the O/U total, while 30 of Cleveland’s 56 games have finished over the O/U total. The Heat come into this game with a sizable advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 36-20 SU and 29-25-2 ATS, while the Cavaliers are 15-41 SU and 24-30-2 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the league’s top rebounding teams face off. The Cavaliers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), while Miami ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.6 percent). Furthermore, the Heat rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.546), whereas the bottom-tier defense of the Cavaliers ranks 30th with an effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.560.

Miami Heat at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Heat rank 27th (11.8).

Cleveland ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (33.1) while Miami ranks 28th (37.7).

Miami ranks 10th in assists per game (25.5) while Cleveland ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.1).

Miami ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while Cleveland ranks fifth (42.9).

Cleveland is 10-18-1 ATS at home, while Miami is 12-17-1 ATS on the road.

The total has gone over in 15 of the Cavaliers’ 29 home games, while 16 of the Heat’s 30 road games have gone over.

Miami is 7-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Cleveland is 4-3.

The Cavaliers are 14-28 when they score over 100 points, while the Heat are 35-14.

The Heat rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.6) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (9.3).

Miami ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.8) while Cleveland ranks last (54.2).

The Heat rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Cavaliers rank 28th (6.3).

The Heat rank 23rd in points off turnovers per game (16.0) while the Cavaliers rank last (13.8).

Miami ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (11.6) while Cleveland ranks 25th (14.9).

Bettings Trends:

Cleveland is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Miami is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 8.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.2 points per game (4.5 above their season average).

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