Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh College Football Betting Pick 10/26/19


The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (+6) are heading north to take on their in-conference counterpart Pittsburgh Panthers at Heinz Field. ESPN has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh Betting Odds 10/26/2019

The line for this ACC game is sitting at 6 points in favor of Pittsburgh. The Hurricanes are currently being given +190 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -240. The over/under has been set at 48 points, and it appears that there will likely be some solid live betting opportunities in this matchup.

This game’s opening line was originally set at -5 while the O/U was initially 47.5, so it seems that sharp bettors have been siding with the Panthers.

The Hurricanes are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Panthers are 5-2 SU overall and 2-1 SU in conference play. The disappointing Hurricanes have lost 24.7 units so far in 2019 and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-3.

The Panthers have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.5 units. They’re 5-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-4.

The Hurricanes lost to Georgia Tech 28-21 in a contest where N’Kosi Perry completed 16-of-28 passes for only 188 yards and two touchdowns. Cam’Ron Harris (136 rushing yards on 18 attempts) led the running attack. K.J. Osborn (four receptions, 39 yards, one TD) and Michael Harley (four catches, 50 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Pittsburgh just picked up a 27-20 win over Syracuse. Kenny Pickett completed 18-of-33 passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns. A.J. Davis (103 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Maurice Ffrench (six receptions, 92 yards, one TD) and Taysir Mack (four catches, 34 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Miami (FL) has run the ball on 48.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has an overall rush percentage of 45.2 percent. The Hurricanes have run for 130 yards per game (including 128 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 11 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Panthers are logging 121 rush yards per contest (97 in conference) and have five total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Panthers could have an edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded just 15 sacks while their D-line has registered 36 sacks. The Hurricanes O-line has given up 31 sacks and their defense has created only 21 sacks.

The Hurricanes have logged 280 yards/contest through the air overall (290 per game against conference opposition) and have 15 passing TDs so far. The Panthers have put up 270 pass yards per outing (228.3 against ACC competition) and have 12 total pass scores.

Defensively, Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 96 yards and pass for 201 yards per game. Pittsburgh has allowed 90.4 rushing yards per game and 212.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Panthers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.17 to opponents, while the Hurricanes have given up a 5.78 ANY/A.

Perry probably has the advantage over Pickett in this one, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.85for the season (and 6.70 over the last two outings). Pickett’s ANY/A is 5.80 for the season and 5.41 over his last two outings.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Miami (FL) knocked Pittsburgh off by three touchdowns 24-3.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers Free Pick

SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh D has notched 36 sacks on the year while Miami (FL) has just 21.

Pittsburgh has lost five fumbles this season while the Miami (FL) offense has lost four.

The Hurricanes offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Panthers have accounted for six such plays.

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Pittsburgh has given up nine such plays.

The Miami (FL) offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Pittsburgh has created four such runs.

The Hurricanes defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Panthers have given up four such runs.

The O/U for Pittsburgh’s previous match going into it was 53. The under cashed in that 27-20 victory over Syracuse.

In its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last game was set at 46.5. The over cashed in the team’s 28-21 defeat to Georgia Tech.

Miami (FL) has rushed for 4.2 yards per attempt across its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 2.7 over its last two.

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