Miami (FL) vs. Florida State College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19


The Seminoles of Florida State (-5) are gearing up to welcome their ACC counterpart Miami (Fl) Hurricanes to Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. Kickoff for this pivotal game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ABC.

Miami (FL) vs. Florida State Betting Odds 11/2/2019

The line for this ACC game is placed at 5 points in favor of Florida State. The Hurricanes are currently being given +170 moneyline odds while the Seminoles are -200. The over/under has been set at 47.5 points. There should be some good live betting opportunities for this game.

The game’s total has yet to change after it was initially posted at 47.5. Having said that, the opening line was -6 so square bettors are hammering the Hurricanes.

The Hurricanes are 4-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Seminoles are 4-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play. The hapless Hurricanes are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 23.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Seminoles have lost 2.1 units this season. They’re 3-4-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-5.

The Hurricanes are coming off a 16-12 win over Pittsburgh last week. the Hurricanes completed 14-of-32 passes for 154 yards, one touchdown and one interception. N’Kosi Perry went 10-for-24 for 104 yards and one interception while Jarren Williams completed four-of-eight for 50 yards and one touchdown. Cam’Ron Harris (60 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. K.J. Osborn (six receptions, 94 yards, one TD) and Michael Harley (four catches, 31 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Florida State just earned a 35-17 win over Syracuse. Alex Hornibrook completed 15-of-26 passes for 196 yards. Cam Akers (144 yards on 20 rush attempts, four TDs) and Khalan Laborn (68 yards on 17 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Tre’ McKitty (four receptions, 40 yards) and D.J. Matthews (three catches, 39 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Miami (FL)’s run the ball on 48 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida State has an overall rush percentage of 50.1 percent. The Hurricanes have rushed for 120 yards/game (including 113 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Noles are totaling 140 rush yards per contest (134 in conference) and have 15 total rushing TDs.

The Hurricanes have averaged 264 yards in the air overall (263 per game versus conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Noles have produced 277 pass yards per outing (268.0 in the ACC) and have 17 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Miami (FL) should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 106 yards and throw for 194 yards per game. Florida State has allowed 169.0 yards per game on the ground and 275.3 to opponents in the air. The Hurricanes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.11 to opponents, while the Noles have given up a 6.02 ANY/A.

Perry has amassed 787 passing yards this year, and has completed 61-of-108 attempts with six passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Perry has a 6.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.64 over the past two games.

Cam’Ron Harris, K.J. Osborn and Michael Harley have combined to account for 448 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, James Blackman has put up 1,060 yards, nine TDs and four INTs. Blackman’s ANY/A stands at 6.12 for the year and 6.21 over his past two outings.

We expect the Noles to dictate the game’s pace by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with WR Tamorrion Terry (551 receiving yards, five receiving TDs this season), Cam Akers (760 rush yards, 11 rush TDs, 109 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Khalan Laborn (221 rush yards, two rush TDs, 43 receiving yards) have been key factors in the Florida State offense.

When these two teams met a year ago, Miami (FL) got the victory over Florida State, 28-27.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Miami (FL) defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 25 times this year. Florida State has recorded 24 sacks.

The Florida State offense has lost five fumbles in 2019 while Miami (FL) has let four get away.

The Hurricanes offense has registered four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Seminoles have put up 10 such plays.

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Florida State has given up four such plays.

The Miami (FL) offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida State has created nine such runs.

The Hurricanes defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Seminoles have given up eight such runs.

The O/U for Florida State’s previous match was 60. The under cashed in the team’s 35-17 victory over Syracuse.

Over its last three matchups, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

Over its last three matchups, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Miami (FL)’s last game was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 16-12 win over Pittsburgh.

Miami (FL) has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its last two.

Florida State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.4 over its past two.

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