Miami (FL) at FIU College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19

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The Panthers (-20.5) are gearing up to welcome the Miami (Fl) Hurricanes to Fiu. CBS Sports Network is scheduled to televise the action and the game gets underway at 7:00 p.m. ET. When the two schools met a year ago, Miami (FL) won by a pair of touchdowns 31-17.

Miami (FL) at FIU Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Miami (FL) is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 20.5 points to FIU. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 49 points. If one team can catch a lucky break early, it will likely generate a worthy in-game betting scenario.

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This matchup’s line has recently shifted up from 17.5 to where it stands now (20.5). The game’s total hasn’t changed after being initially set at 49.

The disappointing Hurricanes are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 20.6 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-5.

The Panthers have lost 4.7 units this season. The team is 2-8 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-6.

The Hurricanes are 6-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Panthers are 5-5 SU.

The Hurricanes are looking to maintain momentum following a solid 52-27 victory over Louisville on November 9 where the defense allowed the Cardinals to pass for 328 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 168 yards and two scores. Chatarius Atwell had a productive day for the Cardinals in that one with 142 yards and a score on six catches. On the offensive side, Jarren Williams completed 15-of-22 passes for 253 yards and six touchdowns. DeeJay Dallas (96 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Cam’Ron Harris (78 yards on eight carries) led the running attack while Michael Harley (six receptions, 116 yards, two TDs) and K.J. Osborn (three catches, five yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

FIU just lost a 37-7 game to Florida Atlantic. The defense allowed the Owls to pass for 318 yards while rushing for 261 yards and three scores. Malcolm Davidson was on a different level for Florida Atlantic, putting up 153 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 18 attempts. For FIU, James Morgan completed 20-of-37 passes for 192 yards. Napoleon Maxwell (95 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Tony Gaiter IV (seven receptions, 94 yards) and Shemar Thornton (five catches, 42 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Miami (FL) has run the ball on 48 percent of its offensive possessions this year while FIU has an overall rush percentage of 58.3 percent. The Hurricanes have rushed for 120 yards per game and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Panthers are putting up 180 rushing yards per game and have 19 total rush TDs.

The Hurricanes offense has averaged 268 yards through the air overall and has 24 passing TDs so far. The Panthers have put up 207 pass yards per outing and have 10 total pass scores.

Defensively, Miami (FL) has allowed 105 rush yards and 205 pass yards per game. The FIU D has given up 180.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 205.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Hurricanes have given up an ANY/A of 4.94 to opposing QBs, while the Panthers are allowing an ANY/A of 5.27.

Williams is up to 1,389 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 109-of-157 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions. Williams has a 7.79 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 11.24 over the last two games.

James Morgan has completed 128-of-219 passes for 1,625 yards, 10 TDs and two INTs for FIU. His ANY/A sits at 7.48 for the season and 5.70 over his past two games.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. FIU Panthers NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – FIU, ATS Winner – FIU, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Trends

The Miami (FL) defense has 37 sacks on the year while FIU has just 13.

The FIU offense has lost nine fumbles this season while the Miami (FL) offense has let five get away.

The Hurricanes offense has produced eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Panthers have put up six such plays.

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while FIU has given up six such plays.

The Miami (FL) offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while FIU has created 13 such runs.

The Hurricanes defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Panthers have given up 18 such runs.

The Over/Under for FIU’s last match going into it was 59. The under cashed in the 37-7 defeat to Florida Atlantic.

Over its last three matchups, FIU is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

In its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Miami (FL)’s previous game was 50. The over cashed in the team’s 52-27 victory over Louisville.

Miami (FL) has averaged 3.5 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.2 over its last two.

FIU has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.5 over its last two.