Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Week 15 Betting Pick


In a battle of two offenses that like to pass the ball, the New York Giants (-4) are gearing up to play host to the Miami Dolphins at MetLife Stadium. CBS will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Betting Odds 12/15/2019

This game’s line is placed at 4 points in favor of New York. The Dolphins are currently being given +140 moneyline odds while the Giants are -160. The over/under is set at 48 points. There might be some good live betting opportunities in this game.

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The opening line was -3. The game’s O/U has yet to change since being initially posted at 48.

The Dolphins are 3-10 straight up (SU) while the Giants are 2-11 SU. The Dolphins are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.4 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-7.

The Giants have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 7.5 units. They’re 4-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-5.

The Dolphins are looking to bounce back after a narrow 22-21 loss to the Jets last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed only 21 passes on 37 attempts for 245 yards and one interception. Patrick Laird (48 yards on 15 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Fitzpatrick (65 yards on seven carries) led the ground attack in the loss. Isaiah Ford (six receptions, 92 yards) and Allen Hurns (five catches, 68 yards) handled the receiving duties.

New York most recently fell 23-17 to Philadelphia in Week 14. The defense allowed the Eagles to pass for 325 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 118 yards. Boston Scott had a productive showing, recording 59 rushing yards and a score on 10 attempts, along with 69 yards and a score on six catches for Philadelphia. For New York, Eli Manning completed 15-of-30 passes for 203 yards and two touchdowns. Saquon Barkley (66 rushing yards on 17 attempts) led the ground game in the defeat as Darius Slayton (five receptions, 154 yards, two TDs) and Sterling Shepard (four catches, 28 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

When looking at offensive play selection, each of these squads has a nearly identical (64-36 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Dolphins have produced 67 rush yards/game and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The G-Men are totaling 94 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the G-Men may hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.8 to opponents. The Dolphins have rushed for 3.3 yards per carry while allowing 4.6 YPC to opponents.

The Dolphins have tallied 237 yards/game through the air overall and have 15 passing TDs so far. The G-Men have recorded 241 pass yards per outing and have 22 total pass scores.

Miami has allowed opponents to run for an average of 141 yards and throw for 266 yards per game. New York has allowed 114.5 yards per game on the ground and 277 to opposing teams in the air. The G-Men are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.37 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have given up a 7.93 ANY/A.

Jones has put up 2,374 yards, 18 TDs and 11 INTs for New York. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 4.90 for the season and 3.38 over his past two outings. In the other huddle, Fitzpatrick is up to 2,146 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 202-of-329 attempts with 10 passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Fitzpatrick has a 4.74 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 6.91 over the last two outings.

Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants Free NFL Pick

SU Winner – Dolphins, ATS Winner – Dolphins, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The New York D has tallied 29 sacks on the year while Miami has just 17.

The New York offense has lost 15 fumbles this season while the Miami offense has let seven get away.

The Dolphins offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Giants have put up nine such plays.

The Miami defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New York has given up 14 such plays.

The Miami offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created eight such runs.

The Dolphins defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Giants have given up 10 such runs.

Miami has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.

New York has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.

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