Memphis vs. South Alabama Free Pick 9/14/19


The Memphis Tigers (-19) will meet the South Alabama Jaguars at Ladd-Peebles Stadium. ESPNU has the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 3:30 p.m. ET.

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Memphis vs. South Alabama Betting Odds 9/14/2019

The line for this game is placed at 19 points in favor of Memphis. The Tigers are currently being given -1600 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +850. It appears that there will likely be some solid in-game betting possibilities while the match is underway, and the over/under (O/U) has been placed at 61 points.

Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Jags. The game’s opening line was initially set at 21 and the total was originally 61.5.

The Tigers are 2-0 straight up (SU) while the Jaguars are 1-1 SU. The Tigers have gained 1.0 unit this season and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-1.

The Jaguars have gained 0.0 units in 2019. The team is 1-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Tigers are hoping to remain unbeaten following a 55-24 victory over Southern University last week. The passing attack was on point as the Tigers completed 23-of-28 passes for 398 yards and two touchdowns. Brady White went 17-for-21 for 337 yards and two touchdowns while Connor Adair completed six-of-seven for 61 yards. Kenneth Gainwell (85 rushing yards on 16 attempts, two TDs) and Kylan Watkins (35 yards on 10 carries, one TD) provided the ground attack in the win while Damonte Coxie (six receptions, 112 yards) and Gainwell (four catches, 38 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

The South Alabama Jags are coming off of a 37-14 win over Jackson State. The defense let the Tigers rush for 142 yards on 30 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Keyshawn Harper had a productive outing in the loss for Jackson State, recording 75 rushing yards on 10 attempts. For South Alabama, Cephus Johnson completed 11-of-18 passes for 120 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Tra Minter really did it all in the win. In addition to 189 yards on 16 rush attempts (and two TDs), Minter also reeled in four catches for 33 yards.

Memphis has run the ball on 61.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Alabama has a rush percentage of 65.8 percent. The Tigers have produced 185 rush yards/game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Jags are averaging 248 rushing yards per contest and have five total rush TDs.

If 2019 numbers are any indication, then the Jags may own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.8 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.2 to opponents. The Tigers have rushed for 4.0 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.4 to opponents.

The Tigers have averaged 285 yards in the air overall and have two passing TDs so far. The Jags have recorded 178 pass yards per outing and have three total pass scores.

Memphis appears to have an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 124 yards and throw for 92 yards per game. South Alabama has allowed 120.0 yards per game on the ground and 150.5 to opposing teams in the air. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.09 to opponents, while the Jags have given up a 4.06 ANY/A.

White likely has the advantage over Johnson in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 16.77for the season (and 8.85 over the last two outings). Johnson’s ANY/A is 2.78 for the year and 3.55 across his last two outings.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Memphis got the victory over South Alabama, 52-35.

Memphis Tigers vs. South Alabama Jaguars NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – South Alabama, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Memphis defense has five sacks on the year while South Alabama has three.

The South Alabama offense has lost three fumbles this season while Memphis has lost one.

The Tigers offense has registered four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Jaguars have put up zero such plays.

The Memphis defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while South Alabama has given up one such play.

The Memphis offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while South Alabama has created six such runs.

Both defenses have allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Tigers have given up nine running plays of 10+ yards while the Jaguars have given up 10 such plays.

The O/U for South Alabama’s last matchup was 47. The over cashed in the 37-14 victory over Jackson State.

The Over/Under for Memphis’ last game was set at 68.5. The over cashed in the team’s 55-24 win over Southern University.

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