The Sacramento Kings (21-33) will be at home in the Golden 1 Center when they square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (28-26). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 229 points with Sacramento set as a 1.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 20, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings ATS Preview
The last time the Grizzlies played, they defeated the Portland Trail Blazers, 111-104, covering as 3.5-point favorites. With 12 points and 18 rebounds, Jonas Valanciunas had a good outing for Memphis. The Grizzlies held the Trail Blazers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.438 (below their season average of 0.526) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 21.8). The two teams combined to put up 215 points, which was well under the projected point total of 234.5.
The Kings failed to cover as 8.5-point underdogs in their 130-111 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last outing. Buddy Hield led Sacramento in scoring with 22 points on 8-for-21 shooting. Dallas was lights out from beyond the arc (17-40; 42.5 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 4.4 (better than their season average of 12.8). Combined, the two clubs scored 241 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 226.
These two teams have already met twice this year, each winning once. De’Aaron Fox scored a game-high 27 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Kings beat the Grizzlies 128-123, covering as 4-point favorites. He also recorded nine assists and five steals. The two teams combined for 251 points, which was 26.5 points above the projected point total of 224.5 points. The Kings dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.4 and a solid free throw rate of 0.289. For those same stats, the Grizzlies were 14.3 and 0.215, respectively.
Of Memphis’ 54 games, 27 have finished over the O/U total, while 29 of Sacramento’s 54 games have finished over the O/U total. The Grizzlies come into this game with a clear advantage in both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 28-26 SU and 30-23-1 ATS, while the Kings are 21-33 SU and 26-28 ATS.
Opposite tempos will be on display in this battle. Memphis prefers an up-and-down style of play (eighth in possessions per game), while Sacramento is more half-court-oriented (22nd in possessions per game).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
The Kings rank seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (14.2).
Sacramento ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (34.9) while Memphis ranks 19th in three pointers allowed per game (34.3).
Sacramento ranks 10th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.4) while Memphis ranks 27th (18.3).
Memphis averages 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Sacramento ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (4.5).
On the road, Memphis is 13-11-1 ATS with 13 overs and 12 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 10-16 ATS with 13 overs and 13 unders.
Sacramento is 9-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Memphis is 4-0.
The Grizzlies are 27-20 when they score above 100 points, while the Kings are 19-26.
The Kings rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Grizzlies rank 21st (14.3).
Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (57.0) while Sacramento ranks 24th (45.4).
The Grizzlies rank first in assists per game (27.4) while the Kings rank 23rd (23.2).
The Grizzlies average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Kings rank 19th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
Memphis ranks ninth in rebounds per game (45.8) while Sacramento ranks last (42.3).
Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Memphis is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Kings have outscored opponents by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento has lost by an average of 2.9 points.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.2 points per game (12.2 below their season average).