The Oklahoma City Thunder (15-14) will attempt to lengthen a five-game home winning streak when they square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (11-20) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 26, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Preview
The last time the Grizzlies played, they got blown out by the San Antonio Spurs, 145-115. They were not able to cover as 1-point underdogs. Memphis’ Jonas Valanciunas put up 18 points and 12 rebounds in the contest. San Antonio had an effective field goal percentage of 0.758 (above their season average of 0.514). Memphis, meanwhile, held the Spurs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.5). The two teams combined to put up 260 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 229.
The Thunder hope to maintain momentum after covering the 1.5-point spread against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest, 118-112. Oklahoma City’s Steven Adams had a solid performance, putting up 20 points and 17 rebounds. The Thunder, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.5, had a ridiculous mark of 33.3 and had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 12.9). The two teams combined to record 230 points, which was under the projected point total of 235.5.
These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 248 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 219. The Thunder won 126-122, but were unable to cover as 7-point favorites. The Thunder played a nearly perfect game. They had a fantastic free throw rate of 0.321 and a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.589. For those same stats, the Grizzlies were 0.121 and 0.556, respectively. Despite the loss, Valanciunas was a top performer in the game with 24 points and nine rebounds.
Of Memphis’ 31 games, 16 have finished over the O/U total, while 16 of Oklahoma City’s 29 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Thunder have a significant advantage. They are 15-14 SU and 17-11-1 ATS, while the Grizzlies are 11-20 SU and 14-17 ATS.
The aggressive Oklahoma City offense could be living from the charity stripe in this contest. The Thunder rank second in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.234, while Memphis ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.229).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Prediction
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
The Grizzlies rank first in points in the paint per game (53.6) while the Thunder rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).
Oklahoma City ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Memphis ranks 15th (34.0).
Oklahoma City ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Memphis ranks 25th (14.4).
On the road, Memphis is 6-7 ATS with 8 unders and 5 overs.
Oklahoma City is 9-6-1 ATS at home with 8 overs and 8 unders.
Oklahoma City is 5-3 when they allow under 100 points.
The Grizzlies are 11-15 when they score more than 100 points, while the Thunder are 15-8.
The Thunder rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (20.1).
Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (16.0) while Oklahoma City ranks last (8.4).
The Grizzlies rank third in assists per game (27.0) while the Thunder rank 25th (21.8).
The Grizzlies rank 18th in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Thunder rank 25th (42.6).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Memphis ranks 26th (5.8).
Oklahoma City is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 1.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (5.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.2 points per game (5.0 above their season average).