Home NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds Pick 02/21/20

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds Pick 02/21/20

The Los Angeles Lakers (41-12) will be at home in the Staples Center when they square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (28-27). Los Angeles opened as an 11-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 21, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Preview

The Grizzlies lost to the Sacramento Kings in their last matchup, 129-125. They were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. Memphis’ De’Anthony Melton had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 24 points on 5-for-10 shooting. Sacramento had a turnover percentage of 9.2 (better than their season average of 12.6). Memphis, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.4 (above their season average of 22.0). The two teams combined to score 254 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 234.5.

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In the Lakers’ previous outing, they covered the 3-point spread against the Denver Nuggets, 120-116. Los Angeles was lifted by LeBron James, who registered his 11th triple-double this year. He dominated, registering 32 points, 14 assists and 12 rebounds. The Lakers held the Nuggets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 7.1 (below their season average of 25.2) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.570 (above their season average of 0.551). Combined, the two clubs scored 236 points, which was well over the O/U total of 220.5.

Los Angeles should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Lakers rank fourth in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 17th in defensive efficiency.

Of Memphis’ 54 games that accepted bets, 27 have finished over the projected point total, while 27 of Los Angeles’ 53 games have finished over the projected point total. The Lakers have the superior straight up (SU) record (41-12 vs. 28-27), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Los Angeles is 28-24-1, while Memphis is 30-23-1 ATS.

These two teams have already met twice this season, with the Lakers winning both. Ja Morant recorded 26 points, six assists and five steals in the most recent game, in which the Grizzlies lost 109-108 but covered as 8-point underdogs. The two teams combined to score 217 points, which was 9.5 points below the projected point total of 226.5 points. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Los Angeles’ largest advantages. They made 29 trips to the line, while Memphis went just 13 times.

Grizzlies at Lakers Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (14.9) while Memphis ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).

Los Angeles ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Memphis ranks 12th (44.9).

The Lakers average 53.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.7).

Los Angeles is 13-11-1 ATS at home, while Memphis is 13-11-1 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its past five games, Memphis is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 7.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (0.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (3.1 below their season average).

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