Home NBA Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Pick 03/04/20

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Pick 03/04/20

The Brooklyn Nets (27-33) will be at home in the Barclays Center when they meet the Memphis Grizzlies (30-31). Brooklyn is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 224 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Brooklyn Nets Odds Preview

The Grizzlies had no trouble getting past the Atlanta Hawks in their last outing, 127-88, despite being 2-point underdogs. With 15 points and 15 rebounds, Memphis’ Jonas Valanciunas had a solid outing. Memphis played a perfect game. They had a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.576 (above their season average of 0.528) and a free throw rate of 0.228 (above their season average of 0.176). For those same stats, Atlanta was 0.369 and 0.152, respectively. The two teams combined to score 215 points, which was well under the O/U total of 240.

In the Nets’ last matchup, they defeated the Boston Celtics, 129-120, as 7.5-point underdogs. Brooklyn received a boost from Caris LeVert, who was the game’s leading scorer with 51 points on 17-for-26 shooting. The Nets had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 43.1 (above their season average of 23.2) and had a free throw rate of 0.290 (above their season average of 0.194). The two teams collectively scored 249 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 220.

Brooklyn appears to have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. The Nets rank fourth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506), while Memphis is 17th in effective field goal percentage (0.529).

Of Memphis’ 61 games, 32 have finished under the projected point total, while 29 of Brooklyn’s 59 games have finished under the O/U total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (30-31 for Memphis; 27-33 for Brooklyn), but the Grizzlies have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Memphis is 32-28-1 ATS, while the Nets are 28-29-2.

These two teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to score 267 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 225. The Grizzlies won 134-133, covering as 4-point underdogs. The Grizzlies’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Nets. Memphis had a rate of 9.5, while Brooklyn posted a mark of 12.7. Kyrie Irving scored a game-high 37 points.

Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Grizzlies average 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Nets rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.4).

Memphis averages 46.4 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (46.1).

Memphis ranks 12th in steals per game (8.0) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (6.6).

Memphis averages 56.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. Brooklyn ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.6).

On the road, Memphis is 14-15-1 ATS with 15 overs and 15 unders.

Brooklyn is 16-13 ATS at home with 14 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.

Brooklyn is 8-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Memphis is 6-0.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Grizzlies are 29-24 and the Nets are 27-26.

The Grizzlies rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (16.9) while the Nets rank 26th (14.8).

Brooklyn ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (37.9) while Memphis ranks 25th (30.9).

The Nets rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.1) while the Grizzlies rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).

The Grizzlies rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.8) while the Nets rank 16th (13.0).

Brooklyn ranks third in assists allowed per game (22.4) while Memphis ranks 21st (24.9).

Bettings Trends:

Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.

Across its last five games, Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 0.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 108.4 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.8 points per game (5.5 below their season average).

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