The Boston Celtics (28-14) will be at home in TD Garden when they square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (20-23). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points with Boston opening as a 7.5-point favorite. Action starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 22, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies at Boston Celtics Free Preview
The Grizzlies lost to the New Orleans Pelicans in their last contest, 126-116, despite being 3-point favorites. Memphis’ Dillon Brooks put together a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 31 points on 12-for-25 shooting. New Orleans did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (21-24; 87.5 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 22.1). The two teams combined to put up 242 points, which finished under the projected point total of 250.5.
In the Celtics’ previous outing, they blew out the Los Angeles Lakers, 139-107, as 2.5-point underdogs. With 27 points on 10-for-18 shooting, Jayson Tatum was the game’s high scorer. Boston dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 36.8 (above their season average of 23.6) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.645 (above their season average of 0.524). For those same stats, Los Angeles had marks of 26.1 and 0.478, respectively. The two squads combined to account for 246 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 226.5.
This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Celtics won both meetings played against each other last season. In the most recent game, Boston won 122-116. The Celtics dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 and a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.610. For those same stats, the Grizzlies had marks of 17.6 and 0.533, respectively.
Of Memphis’ 43 games, 22 have finished over the projected point total, while 21 of Boston’s 42 games have finished under the projected point total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Celtics have a sizable advantage. They are 28-14 SU and 24-17-1 ATS, while the Grizzlies are 20-23 SU and 22-20-1 ATS.
The high-octane offense of Boston (fifth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 110.4) will square off against the mid-tier defense of Memphis (20th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.7). The Celtics figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Memphis Grizzlies at Boston Celtics ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Over
The Celtics rank sixth in fast break points per game (15.3) while the Grizzlies rank 21st in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
Boston ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.2) while Memphis ranks 15th (47.7).
Boston ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.5) while Memphis ranks 26th (14.4).
Memphis is 9-8-1 ATS on the road with 10 unders and 8 overs.
Boston is 12-10 ATS at home with 12 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
Memphis is 1-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Boston is 9-2.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Grizzlies are 20-18 and the Celtics are 27-8.
The Celtics rank second in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Grizzlies rank 15th (7.7).
Boston ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Memphis ranks 28th (18.9).
The Grizzlies rank first in assists per game (28.0) while the Celtics rank 19th (23.3).
The Celtics rank 11th in three pointers attempted per game (34.0) while the Grizzlies rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (34.6).
Memphis averages 5.4 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Boston ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Boston is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 push in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 6.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 121.2 points per game (7.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.6 points per game (2.4 below their season average).