Memphis at Louisiana-Monroe College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19


The Memphis Tigers (-14) are heading southwest to face the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium. This pivotal afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 3:45 p.m. ET and ESPNU has the TV rights.

Memphis vs. Louisiana-Monroe Betting Odds 10/5/2019

This game’s line is placed at 14 points in favor of Memphis. The Tigers are currently being given -735 moneyline odds while the Warhawks are +500. The over/under is set at 65 points, and if one program catches a lucky break in the early stages, it will probably produce a nice in-game betting opportunity.

The line opened at 13.5 while the over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 65.

The Tigers are 4-0 straight up (SU) while the Warhawks are 2-2 SU. The Tigers are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 2-2.

The Warhawks have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 1-3 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Tigers are looking to stay undefeated following a 35-23 victory over Navy last week. The Tigers defense allowed the Midshipmen to run for 291 yards on 66 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. On the offensive side, Brady White completed 14-of-18 passes for 196 yards and three touchdowns. Kenneth Gainwell (104 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) led the running attack. Kedarian Jones (four receptions, 36 yards, one TD) and Antonio Gibson (three catches, 105 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Louisiana-Monroe is coming off of a 30-17 win over South Alabama. Caleb Evans completed 17-of-25 passes for 286 yards and three touchdowns. Josh Johnson (93 rushing yards on 15 attempts) and the signal-caller Evans (27 yards on 11 carries, one TD) handled the running attack as Pederson (four receptions, 55 yards, one TD) and Brandius Batiste (three catches, 62 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Memphis has run the ball on 62.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana-Monroe has an overall rush percentage of 54.4 percent. The Tigers have rushed for 197 yards per game and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Warhawks are logging 211 rush yards per contest and have eight total rushing TDs.

The Tigers have tallied 246 yards/game through the air overall and have eight passing TDs so far. The Warhawks have produced 232 pass yards per outing and also have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, Memphis should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 160 yards and pass for 103 yards per game. Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 248.8 yards per game on the ground and 251 to opposing teams in the air. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.38 to opponents, while the Warhawks have given up a 6.7 ANY/A.

White likely has the advantage over Evans in this matchup, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 9.47for the season (and 10.76 over the past two games). Evans’ ANY/A is 8.43 for the season and 7.93 across his last two games.

Memphis Tigers at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Memphis, O/U – Over


Betting Trends

The Over/Under for Memphis’ last game was set at 54.5. The over cashed in the team’s 35-23 win over Navy.

As a team, Memphis has produced 5.3 yards per carry over its past three outings and 6.0 over its last two.

Louisiana-Monroe has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.8 over its past two.

The Louisiana-Monroe offense has lost two fumbles this season while Memphis has lost three.

In its last three contests, Memphis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Louisiana-Monroe’s previous match going into it was 59. The under cashed in the 30-17 win over South Alabama.

In its last three matchups, Louisiana-Monroe is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Tigers offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Warhawks have put up one such play.

The Memphis defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Louisiana-Monroe has given up four such plays.

The Memphis offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisiana-Monroe has created 10 such runs.

Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Tigers have given up 20 running plays of 10+ yards while the Warhawks have given up 36 such plays.

The Memphis defense has nine sacks on the year while Louisiana-Monroe has six.

Leave a Reply