The Southland Conference Tourney contest between the Lamar Cardinals (16-15, 10-10 SthLnd) and the McNeese State Cowboys (15-16, 10-10 SthLnd) will take place at Leonard E. Merrell Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 147 points with McNeese State set as a 1-point favorite. Action begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020.
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Lamar Cardinals ATS Preview
These two teams have already met twice this season, each winning once. Davion Buster put up 39 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Cardinals lost 70-66, unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to score 136 points, which was 12 points below the projected point total of 148 points. McNeese State’s 0.468 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Lamar, who had a mark of 0.364.
There should be a fair amount of transition offense in this matchup that showcases a pair of the country’s more fast-paced teams. Lamar ranks 50th in possessions per game (72.0) and McNeese State is 54th (71.9). It could also be an error-filled game for the Cowboys’ offense, which ranks 339th in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.4 percent). They’ll be going up against the stingy defense of the Cardinals, which forces the 14th-most turnovers in the nation (24.0 percent).
These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games featuring McNeese State have finished over 61.5 percent of the time, while 57.1 percent of Lamar games have gone under. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (15-16 for McNeese State; 16-15 for Lamar), but the Cowboys hold a slight edge against the spread (ATS). McNeese State is 14-12 ATS, while the Cardinals are 13-15.
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Lamar Cardinals Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – McNeese State, ATS Winner – McNeese State, O/U – Under
The Cowboys rank 176th in three pointers attempted per game (21.3) while the Cardinals rank 269th (18.0).
McNeese State blocks 3.9 opponent shots per game, which is ranked 63rd in the country. Lamar ranks 148th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).
McNeese State ranks eighth in assists per game (16.7) while Lamar ranks 217th in assists allowed per game (14.1).
The Cardinals rank 12th in steals per game (8.9) while the Cowboys rank 216th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
McNeese State ranks 70th in rebounds allowed per game (33.1) while Lamar ranks 225th (37.0).
Lamar is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Across its last five outings, McNeese State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Cardinals’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 2.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cowboys have scored an average of 81.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 78.0 points per game (3.5 above their season average).