Massachusetts vs. Army West Point College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


A couple of teams that like to keep the ball on the ground, Head Coach Walt Bell and the Massachusetts Minutemen (+35) are set to take on their conference rival Army West Point Black Knights at Blaik Field at Michie Stadium. The afternoon matchup will get underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can catch the action live on CBS Sports Network.

Massachusetts vs. Army West Point Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Army West Point has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 35 points to Massachusetts. If the Black Knights fall behind early it would result in a worthwhile live betting opportunity. The over/under has been set at 62 points.

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The total has not changed after it was set initially at 62. Having said that, the opening line was -36 and has recently moved up to -35.

The Minutemen are 1-8 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Black Knights are 3-6 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The Minutemen are down 2.4 units so far and 1-8 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 7-2.

The hapless Black Knights have lost 8.8 units this season. The team is 3-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-5-1.

The Minutemen are trying to get back on track after a 63-21 defeat to Liberty last week. Andrew Brito completed 16-of-27 passes for only 134 yards and two touchdowns. Cam Roberson (73 yards on 15 rushes, one TD) and Gilberto Torres (52 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack while Jermaine Johnson Jr. (five receptions, 35 yards) and Sadiq Palmer (four catches, 55 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back on November 2, Air Force got the win against this Army West Point crew by a score of 17-13. The Black Knights defense allowed the Falcons to run for 328 yards on 55 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Joshua Stoner had a solid outing in the win, recording 59 rushing yards and a score on eight attempts for Air Force. For Army West Point, Jabari Laws completed nine-of-11 passes for 214 yards and one touchdown. Laws (54 rushing yards on 21 attempts, one TD) and Sandon McCoy (67 yards on eight carries) handled the running game while Camden Harrison (three receptions, 103 yards, one TD) and Artice Hobbs IV (three catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Massachusetts has run the ball on 53.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Army West Point has an overall rush percentage of 83.6 percent. The Minutemen have run for 138 yards per game and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Black Knights are logging 249 rush yards per contest and have 24 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then it seems like the Black Knights might be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has allowed only 10 sacks while the D-line has logged 13 sacks. The Minutemen offensive line has allowed 22 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just eight occasions.

The Minutemen have averaged 172 yards in the air overall and have 12 passing scores so far. The Black Knights have recorded 91 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.

Defensively, Massachusetts has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 269 yards and throw for 301 yards per game. Army West Point has been significantly better than that, giving up 170.0 rushing yards per game and 181.8 to opponents in the air. The Black Knights are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.35 to opposing QBs, while the Minutemen have allowed an ugly 10.30 ANY/A.

Brito is up to 449 passing yards this year, and has connected on 56-of-95 attempts with four passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Brito has a 2.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.04 over the past two games.

For the home team, Jabari Laws has tallied 232 yards, one TD and zero INTs. Laws’ ANY/A sits at 17.57 for the season and 20.38 across his last two outings.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Army West Point Black Knights NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Army West Point, ATS Winner – Massachusetts, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

Each team has produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Minutemen have have made seven pass plays of 30+ yards while the Black Knights have created nine such plays.

The Massachusetts defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Army West Point has given up three such plays.

The Massachusetts offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Army West Point has created 12 such runs.

The Minutemen defense has allowed 21 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Black Knights have given up nine such runs.

The Army West Point defense has sacked opposing QBs 13 times this year. Massachusetts has registered eight sacks.

Massachusetts has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.1 over its last two.

Army West Point has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its past two.


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