Marshall at Rice College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19

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Two teams that like to run the football, Head Coach Doc Holliday and the Marshall Thundering Herd (-10.5) are set to face off against the Rice Owls at Rice Stadium. This conference matchup kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and spectators can witness the action live on FCBK.

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Marshall vs. Rice Betting Odds 11/2/2019

The line for this CUSA game is placed at 10.5 points in favor of Marshall. The Thundering Herd are currently receiving -425 moneyline odds while the Owls are +315. The over/under has been set at 47 points, and if one school can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it’ll likely produce a nice betting scenario in-game.

This game’s line opened at 10. The total hasn’t moved since it opened at 47.

The Thundering Herd are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Owls are 0-8 SU overall and 0-4 SU in conference play. The Thundering Herd have gained 0.7 units so far in 2019 and are 2-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 6-2.

The Owls have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.2 units. They’re 3-4-1 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4.

These two conference foes did not get a chance to face each other in 2018.

The Thundering Herd are coming off a 26-23 victory over Western Kentucky last weekTheir defense allowed the Hilltoppers to run for 134 yards on 24 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Lucky Jackson had a productive day for the Hilltoppers in that one with 168 yards on 16 catches. On the offensive side, Isaiah Green completed 20 passes for 230 yards and one touchdown. Brenden Knox (84 rushing yards on 19 attempts) mounted the ground attack. Armani Levias (10 receptions, 77 yards, one TD) and Broc Thompson (three catches, 91 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Back on October 26, Southern Miss got the victory against this Rice team by a score of 20-6. The Owls defense allowed the Golden Eagles to kill the clock by running for 157 yards on 35 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Tim Jones put up a productive outing in the win for Southern Miss, posting 96 yards on 10 catches. As a group, the Owls collectively completed 14-of-31 passes for 131 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Wiley Green went 12-for-26 for 104 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Evan Marshman was two-of-five for 27 yards. Charlie Booker (28 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the running game while Austin Trammell (five receptions, 52 yards, one TD) and Brad Rozner (five catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

In terms of offensive play selection, each of these teams sports a nearly identical (56-44) run-pass ratio on the season. The Thundering Herd, however, have produced 211 rush yards per game (including 216 per game versus Conference USA opponents) and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Owls haven’t been quite as successful, as they’re averaging 110 rushing yards per contest (120 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it appears the Thundering Herd ought to have an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has generated 5.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Owls have recorded 3.1 yards per carry and allowed 4.3 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Thundering Herd have averaged 219 yards through the air overall (255 per game versus conference opposition) and have 12 passing TDs so far. The Owls have recorded 168 pass yards per game (168.3 against CUSA foes) and have eight total pass scores.

Defensively, Marshall has allowed opponents to run for an average of 135 yards and pass for 254 yards per game. Rice has allowed 155.5 yards per game on the ground and 239.6 to opponents in the air. The Thundering Herd are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.51 to opponents, while the Owls have allowed an 8.37 ANY/A.

Isaiah Green has put up 1,401 passing yards this year, and has completed 119-of-204 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Green’s got a 6.07 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.45 over the last two games.

We expect the Marshall offense to mix it up in this one. As a group, Brenden Knox, Armani Levias and Willie Johnson have combined for 568 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Wiley Green has put up 652 yards, three TDs and one INT. Green’s ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.53 for the year and 3.50 across his last two games.

As a trio, Brad Rozner, Austin Trammell and Aston Walter have combined for 419 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two games.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Rice Owls Betting Pick

SU Winner – Marshall, ATS Winner – Marshall, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Marshall has rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt across its last three games and 5.4 over its last two.

Rice has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 2.4 over its past two.

The Rice offense has lost nine fumbles this season while Marshall has lost three.

The Thundering Herd offense has tallied eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Owls have put up four such plays.

The Marshall defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Rice has given up six such plays.

The Marshall offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Rice has created eight such runs.

Both defenses have allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Thundering Herd have given up 30 running plays of 10+ yards while the Owls have given up 37 such plays.

The Marshall defense has 29 sacks on the year while Rice has just eight.

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