March Madness Props — Do the REALLY Low Seeds Have a Chance?


When it comes to the Big Dance, VietBet has so many options for placing prop wagers that it is positively dizzying. We wouldn’t lie to you. If you really want to know where the “madness” in March Madness comes from, all you have to do is look at some of the special props they have available. I can’t even understand all of them. But let’s take a look at a few of them.

One of the selling points for the NCAA Tournament is that we are bound to see upsets. But seriously, how big could these upsets possibly be? Well, they are going to let you wager on it.

Can a #16 seed come up with a victory? You’ve got four tries – with Maryland-Baltimore County (UMBC), Radford, Penn and the winner between North Carolina-Central and Texas Southern (undetermined at press time). So what are the odds of that happening? Well, this is what they’ve posted at VietBet:

16 seed wins a game +550
16 seeds are winless -800

Okay, so let’s look at this. There have been a number of close calls with 16th seeds, including one situation where Alonzo Mourning and Georgetown snuck by a deliberate, determined Princeton squad by a single point. But top seeds have a 132-0 record against #16 seeds. So there is obviously very little chance of this happening. Laying 8-1 on this would look like something with a lot of value.


What about the #15 seeds? Surely they must have a better chance, right? Well, they do, but only slightly more. First, the numbers for this March Madness prop that we see in the sportsbook:

15 seed wins a game +430
15 seeds are winless -560

This year, the #15 seeds are Georgia State, Lipscomb, Cal State-Fullerton and Iona. Can any of them beat Cincinnati, North Carolina, Purdue or Duke, respectively?

History would indicate otherwise. Second seeds have registered a 124-8 record, which converts to a 93.94% win rate. And in 2012, Lehigh and Norfolk State did it in the same tourney.

Still, you’ve got value here once again.

And what about those #14 seeds? In this year’s Big Dance, they are – Wright State, which plays Tennessee; Montana, which takes on Michigan; Stephen F. Austin, which meets Texas A&M, and Bucknell, which goes against Michigan State.

The March Madness prop at VietBet shows us this:

14 seed wins a game +125
14 seeds are winless -145

The #14 seeds have won only 16% of the time, which is actually pretty respectable. But you don’t want to be taking the +125 price.

Could a 15 seed win more than one game? Well, that’s taking it to the next level, and the question that poses is whether one of them can get to the Sweet Sixteen, which is played on the second weekend.

In 2013, Florida Gulf Coast, a school a lot of people had never even heard of, won its first two rounds to get to the Sweet Sixteen, and that eventually got Andy Enfield a better job, with USC, which was a “snub” from this year’s tournament field.

But that is the only time that has happened.

Here’s the prop:

15 seed total wins over 1-1/2 +6500
15 seed total wins under 1-1/2 -16500

This kind of stuff goes on and on and on. We are relatively certain that whatever kind of action you are looking for in terms of low seeds winning, you’ll be able to hunt it down at VietBet.

And oh by the way, you can get +4500 (45-1) that somebody who entered the contest at gets a perfect bracket. If YOU got the perfect bracket you would probably get paid a lot better. Haha

Remember that you can get the best March Madness props available ANYWHERE when you hook up with VietBet. They give you a great free play bonus for signing up, along with reduced juice, Live Betting Ultra, and a lot of ways to make a deposit, including Bitcoin, which is easy to transact with, and NEVER comes with a fee!