The No. 22 Virginia Cavaliers (22-7, 14-5 ACC) and No. 10 Louisville Cardinals (24-6, 15-4 ACC) will square off at John Paul Jones Arena to close out the regular season. Action gets underway at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN.
Louisville Cardinals vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
In the Cardinals’ last contest, they beat the Virginia Tech Hokies, 68-52. Jordan Nwora was the game’s leading scorer with 20 points on 8-for-16 shooting. Louisville played a flawless game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 32.3) and a free throw rate of 0.175 (below their season average of 0.241). Virginia Tech recorded marks of 12.1 and 0.080, respectively, for those same stats.
The Cavaliers hope to maintain momentum after edging the Miami (FL) Hurricanes in their last matchup, 46-44. Virginia was led by Mamadi Diakite, who finished with 14 points and 10 rebounds. Virginia played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.102 (below their season average of 0.189) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.6 (below their season average of 26.9). Miami (FL) had marks of 0.039 and 18.8, respectively, for those same stats.
These two teams have already met once this season. The Cardinals won 80-73. The Cardinals dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 and a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.429. The Cavaliers were 11.5 and 0.204, respectively, for those same stats. Kihei Clark had a stellar game with 23 points, seven assists and five rebounds.
The inefficient offense of Virginia (332nd in the country with an offensive efficiency of 94.1) will go head-to-head against the stingy defense of Louisville (52nd in the NCAA with a defensive efficiency of 95.1). The Cardinals should have the edge on that end of the court. Furthermore, the Cardinals rank 51st in offensive rebounding percentage (32.4 percent), while the Cavaliers rank 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent).
Louisville vs. Virginia Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Virginia, ATS Winner – Virginia, O/U – Over
The Cavaliers allow the fourth-fewest assists per game (8.9) while the Cardinals rank 30th (10.6).
Louisville ranks 35th in rebounds per game (38.9) while Virginia ranks 195th (34.3).
The Cavaliers rank 20th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Cardinals rank 160th (2.7).
Louisville ranks 147th in three pointers attempted per game (21.8) while Virginia ranks 238th (18.9).
The Cavaliers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 4.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cardinals have scored an average of 71.8 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (2.5 above their season average).